Workflow
Networking silicon
icon
Search documents
Marvell Stock Or Broadcom -- A Look At Valuation
Forbes· 2025-12-10 11:15
Core Insights - The investment landscape surrounding the AI boom is heavily focused on hardware providers, particularly Broadcom and Marvell Technology, which are key players in AI infrastructure development [2] - Broadcom has a significant market capitalization of $1.8 trillion compared to Marvell's $80 billion, highlighting a stark difference in scale and market presence [2] - Broadcom's stock has appreciated by 600% since the debut of ChatGPT, while Marvell's stock has increased by 105% during the same period [2] Market Positioning - Hyperscalers are shifting investments towards custom silicon, moving away from general-purpose GPUs to manage costs and reduce reliance on Nvidia [3] - Broadcom operates with a larger customer scale and deeper penetration in the hyperscaler market compared to Marvell, leading to revenue and margin disparities [4] - Broadcom's revenue for FY exceeds $63 billion, while Marvell's revenue is approximately $8 billion, with forward earnings multiples of 41x for Broadcom and 24x for Marvell [9] Financial Performance - Broadcom's chip division generated $9.2 billion last quarter, reflecting a 26% year-over-year growth with 67% EBITDA margins, while Marvell reported around $2 billion in total revenue with 37% year-over-year growth and only 15% operating margins [10][14] - Broadcom's extensive software division, particularly after acquiring VMware, contributes to its high margins and valuation premium, with adjusted EBITDA margins at 67% [13] Competitive Dynamics - Broadcom has established itself as a market leader in custom AI chips (ASICs) and high-speed networking, with significant competitive barriers due to its large clientele [6][8] - Marvell's reliance on Amazon Web Services for custom silicon exposes it to revenue concentration risks, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in a single customer's capital expenditures [11][17] Strategic Initiatives - Marvell aims to close the valuation gap with Broadcom by focusing on growth, technical differentiation, and improving financial metrics [15] - The company is investing in Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) and photonic technologies to enhance its interconnection capabilities, which are critical for AI infrastructure [16] - Marvell's acquisition of Celestial AI is a strategic move to secure expertise in photonics, which could redefine its position in AI infrastructure [19] Future Outlook - To achieve a re-rating, Marvell needs to secure additional Tier-1 hyperscaler partnerships to mitigate revenue volatility and enhance market confidence [19] - The company must also focus on improving high-margin data center revenues and managing costs effectively to reduce the profitability gap with Broadcom [20]
EARNINGS ALERT: CRWD, MRVL, OKTA
Youtube· 2025-12-02 21:26
分组1 - Okta reported third quarter adjusted EPS of $0.82, beating estimates of $0.76, with revenue of $742 million, exceeding expectations of $730.5 million [1][2] - For the fourth quarter, Okta forecasts EPS between $0.84 and $0.85, with revenue estimates of $748 to $750 million, surpassing previous estimates of $738.6 million [2][3] - Fiscal year revenue is now expected to be $2.91 billion, up from earlier estimates of $2.88 to $2.89 billion, indicating upward revisions across the board [3][4] 分组2 - Remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew by 17% year-over-year to $4.292 billion, while current remaining performance obligations (CRPO) increased by 13% to $2.328 billion, slightly above expectations [5][7] - Analysts expressed concerns about a potential deceleration in growth, as the current RPO number may indicate challenges for near-term revenue [6][9] - The company operates primarily on a subscription model, with over 80-90% of revenue derived from subscriptions, making the backlog of orders critical for future revenue [6][12] 分组3 - Marvell's third quarter EPS came in at $0.76, slightly above expectations, with revenue of $2.07 billion, also just above the forecast [15][17] - Marvell announced the acquisition of Celestial AI for approximately $3.25 billion, which has raised concerns among investors regarding the impact on stock performance [16][22] - The expected gross margins for the quarter are between 51.1% and 52.1%, with potential impacts on free cash flow due to the acquisition and expansion in the AI space [19][20] 分组4 - CrowdStrike reported third quarter EPS of $0.96, beating expectations of $0.94, with revenue of $1.23 billion, slightly above the forecast of $1.21 billion [27][28] - For the fourth quarter, CrowdStrike's EPS guidance is between $1.09 and $1.11, with revenue expected to be between $1.29 billion and $1.3 billion, aligning with estimates [28][30] - The company achieved record Q3 net new recurring revenue of $265 million, a 73% year-over-year acceleration, with an ending annual recurring revenue of $4.92 billion, up 23% year-over-year [33][34]