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【期货热点追踪】投行三连降价的背后依据是什么?未来马棕油市场前景如何?今日市场将关注这一重磅报告!
news flash· 2025-07-10 00:49
投行三连降价的背后依据是什么?未来马棕油市场前景如何?今日市场将关注这一重磅报告! 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...
原油日报:欧佩克进一步上调生产配额,油价先抑后扬-20250708
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 08:50
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The short - term oil price is expected to fluctuate within a range, and a short - position allocation is recommended for the medium term [3] Group 2: Core View of the Report - OPEC+ has decided to increase the daily production by 548,000 barrels in August and is expected to increase by about 550,000 barrels in September. However, the increase in OPEC's production quota does not equal the increase in actual production, and the actual production increase is still in the hands of Saudi Arabia. If Saudi Arabia intends to control oil prices, the actual production increase will be slow. Although OPEC is further lifting production restrictions, the oil price showed a trend of first falling and then rising instead of a sharp decline [1][2] Group 3: Summary According to the Directory Market News and Important Data - The price of light crude oil futures for August delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 93 cents to $67.93 per barrel, a 1.39% increase; the price of Brent crude oil futures for September delivery rose $1.28 to $69.58 per barrel, a 1.87% increase. The main SC crude oil contract closed up 2.13% at 512 yuan per barrel [1] - OPEC+ agreed to increase daily production by 548,000 barrels in August. The monthly production increase approved in May, June, and July was 411,000 barrels per day, and 138,000 barrels per day in April. Since April, the production released by OPEC+ will reach 1.918 million barrels per day, and only 280,000 barrels per day of the previously voluntarily cut 2.2 million barrels per day remains unrecovered. It is reported that OPEC+ oil - producing countries will approve another significant production increase of about 550,000 barrels per day in September on August 3 [1] - Analyst Priyanka Sachdeva of financial institution Phillip Nova pointed out that the continuous uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policy will continue to put pressure on oil prices. The current oil price has declined under pressure due to OPEC+'s decision to increase crude oil production in August more than expected. The only factor supporting the oil price is the weakening of the US dollar [1] - Ukraine used long - range drones to attack a refinery in Russia's Krasnodar Krai. The refinery is one of the major oil - processing companies in southern Russia [1] - The first round of the Gaza cease - fire negotiation in Doha ended without an agreement. The Israeli negotiation team did not have sufficient authorization to reach an agreement with Hamas [1] - Canadian Prime Minister Carney said it is "highly likely" to list a new oil pipeline to the west coast of Canada as a national construction project. A few weeks ago, the Canadian Parliament passed Bill C - 5, which simplifies the approval process for national important development projects [1] Investment Logic - Although OPEC decides to further lift the production limit by 550,000 barrels per day starting from August and will completely lift the 2.2 million barrels per day voluntary production limit before October, the oil price did not drop significantly. The actual production increase is still in the hands of Saudi Arabia, and if it wants to control the oil price, the actual production increase will be slow [2] Strategy - The short - term oil price is expected to fluctuate within a range, and a short - position allocation is recommended for the medium term [3] Risk - Downside risks include the US lifting sanctions on Iranian oil and macro black - swan events; upside risks include tightened supply of sanctioned oil (Russia, Iran, Venezuela) and large - scale supply disruptions caused by Middle - East conflicts [3]
CME Group Sets Record Quarterly and June ADV, Driven by Growth Across Asset Classes
Prnewswire· 2025-07-02 11:30
CHICAGO, July 2, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- CME Group, the world's leading derivatives marketplace, today reported its Q2 and June 2025 market statistics, with average daily volume (ADV) reaching a new quarterly record of 30.2 million contracts and June ADV reaching a record 25.7 million contracts. In Q2, the company's ADV grew 15% year-over-year, with record quarterly volume in interest rate, agricultural and metals products. CME Group's deeply liquid SOFR futures also hit a quarterly ADV record of 4.6 million c ...
Oil Be Rich: 2 Of My All-Time Favorite Energy Stocks For Income And Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-26 11:30
Join iREIT on Alpha today to get the most in-depth research that includes REITs, mREITs, Preferreds, BDCs, MLPs, ETFs, and other income alternatives. 438 testimonials and most are 5 stars. Nothing to lose with our FREE 2-week trial .I love watching oil futures, which is something I do on a daily basis, as it is part of my Big Picture research framework, for a wide number of reasons.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of CNQ, TPL, LB either through stock ownership, options ...
原油日报:EIA商业原油库存延续大幅下降-20250626
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-26 03:47
原油日报 | 2025-06-26 EIA商业原油库存延续大幅下降 市场要闻与重要数据 1、纽约商品交易所8月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨55美分,收于每桶64.92美元,涨幅为0.85%;8月交货的伦敦 布伦特原油期货价格上涨54美分,收于每桶67.68美元,涨幅为0.80%。SC原油主力合约收跌0.77%,报505元/桶。 2.、阿联酋富查伊拉石油工业区最新数据显示,截至6月23日当周,阿联酋富查伊拉港的成品油总库存为1912万桶, 比一周前上涨3.8%,达到五周以来的最高水平,因为用于航运和发电的燃料油库存飙升了22%。其中轻质馏分油 库存减少133.2万桶至673.8万桶,中质馏分油库存增加15.1万桶至204.4万桶,重质残渣燃料油库存增加188.2万桶至 1033.8万桶。(来源:Bloomberg) 3、巴西国家能源政策委员会(CNPE):巴西将生物柴油在柴油中的强制掺混比例从14%上调至15%,将汽油中乙 醇强制掺混比例从27%上调至30%。(来源:Bloomberg) 4、美国至6月20日当周EIA原油库存 -583.6万桶,预期-79.7万桶,前值-1147.3万桶;当周EIA俄克拉荷马州库 ...
US Attacks Iran | Balance of Power: Special Edition 6/22/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-23 00:35
TONIGHT, A SPECIAL EDITION OF BALANCE OF POWER. THE U.S. MILITARY STRIKE ON IRAN AND THE THREAT OF A WIDENING WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST. >> THE PRESIDENT AUTHORIZED A PRECISION MISSION TO NEUTRALIZE THE THREATS TO OUR NATIONAL INTEREST POSED BY THE IRANIAN NUCLEAR MISSION. THIS MISSION HAS NOT BEEN ABOUT REGIME CHANGE. >> PRESIDENT TRUMP ACTED TO DENY THE WORLD'S MOST DANGEROUS REGIME FROM THE WORLD'S MOST DANGEROUS WEAPONS. >> TONIGHT I CAN REPORT TO THE WORLD THAT THESE STRIKES WERE A SPECTACULAR MILITARY SU ...
Soybean Oil Futures Energized by EPA Proposal | Presented by CME Group
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-18 18:43
[Music] On June 13th, the Environmental Protection Agency released its long-awaited renewable volume obligation proposal for 2026 and 2027 under the renewable fuel standard. The proposal will greatly increase the required volume of biomassbased diesel blended by refiners from 3.35% billion gallons in 2025 to 5.61% 61 billion gallons in 2026 and 2027. The proposal also prioritizes using soybean oil and ethanol produced in the United States and discourages the use of biomass and feed stocks produced outside o ...
原油日报:国际原子能机构宣布伊朗违反核不扩散条约-20250613
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 02:46
国际原子能机构宣布伊朗违反核不扩散条约 市场要闻与重要数据 1、纽约商品交易所7月交货的轻质原油期货价格下跌11美分,收于每桶68.04美元,跌幅为0.16%;8月交货的伦敦 布伦特原油期货价格下跌41美分,收于每桶69.36美元,跌幅为0.59%。SC原油主力合约收涨0.67%,报494元/桶。 2、由35个成员国组成的国际原子能机构理事会周四通过一项决议,正式宣布伊朗违反了核不扩散义务,这是近20 年来的第一次。"理事会发现,自2019年以来,伊朗多次未能履行其义务,就伊朗多个未申报地点的未申报核材料 和活动向原子能机构提供充分和及时的合作,构成不遵守国际原子能机构保障协议规定的义务",国际原子能机构 理事会决议文本称。伊朗谴责国际原子能机构的决议,称这是一个没有技术或法律基础的"政治"决定,计划对此 采取额外反制措施。(来源:Bloomberg) 原油日报 | 2025-06-13 3、即便美国总统特朗普决定退出,G7多数国家仍准备单独行动,下调对俄罗斯石油的价格上限。G7领导人定于6 月15日至17日在加拿大会晤,届时将讨论2022年底首次达成的油价上限机制。该机制规定,俄罗斯石油若以不超 过60美元 ...
长期投资组合中黄金和石油的战略理由
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-30 02:40
28 May 2025 | 7:03AM EDT Commodity Analyst The Strategic Case for Gold and Oil in Long-Run Portfolios Daan Struyven +1(212)357-4172 | daan.struyven@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Lina Thomas +44(20)7051-3062 | lina.thomas@gs.com Goldman Sachs International Samantha Dart +1(212)357-9428 | samantha.dart@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Ap ...