Core Insights - United Parcel Service (UPS) reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.74 and revenues of $21.4 billion, both exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates [1][9] - Despite the positive results, EPS declined 1.1% year over year, and revenues decreased 3.7% year over year [1][9] Financial Performance - The adjusted operating margin for the December quarter is projected to be in the range of 11-11.5%, an improvement from the 10% reported in the September quarter [2] - U.S. Domestic Package revenues were $14.2 billion, down 2.7% year over year, attributed to a decline in volume, although revenue per piece and air cargo revenues remained strong [3] - International Package revenues increased by 5.9% year over year to $4.67 billion, driven by a 4.8% rise in average daily volume [4] - Supply Chain Solutions revenues fell 22.1% year over year to $2.52 billion, impacted by the divestiture of Coyote, but adjusted operating profit rose to $536 million [5] Future Outlook - UPS maintains its 2025 outlook with capital expenditures estimated at $3.5 billion, dividend payments around $5.5 billion, and completed share repurchases of approximately $1 billion [6] - The effective tax rate is expected to be around 23.75% [6]

Earnings Reports - United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $20.83 billion [2] - Waste Management Inc. (WM) posted weaker-than-expected results for Q3, leading to a 3.4% decline in shares to $206.50 [2] - Visa Inc. (V) is anticipated to report quarterly earnings of $2.97 per share on revenue of $10.61 billion [2] - Nucor Corp. (NUE) reported Q3 earnings of $2.63 per share, exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.25 per share, with revenue of $8.52 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $8.15 billion [2] - PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.20 per share on revenue of $8.23 billion [2] Stock Performance - UPS shares rose 0.7% to $89.80 in after-hours trading [2] - WM shares fell 3.4% to $206.50 in after-hours trading [2] - Visa shares increased by 0.3% to $348.80 in after-hours trading [2] - Nucor shares slipped 0.6% to $143.24 in after-hours trading [2] - PayPal shares gained 1.3% to $71.15 in after-hours trading [2]

Core Insights - UPS stock has been declining for over 1,300 days, with a negative outlook under the Adhishthana Principles [1] Group 1: Guna Triads and Stock Performance - UPS entered its Guna Triads in April 2023, but failed to show any meaningful bullishness, ruling out the possibility of a Nirvana move in Phase 18 [2][4] - The stock officially entered Phase 18 in March 2025, and has since declined approximately 32%, with this sluggish trend expected to continue until August 2026 [4] Group 2: Investor Outlook - With weak triads and no signs of Satoguna, UPS is anticipated to experience bearish pressure throughout Phase 18, suggesting that investors should remain cautious [5] - Options traders may find opportunities in this weak structure, as bearish or range-bound credit spreads could benefit from UPS's projected trajectory [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company, United Parcel Service (UPS), is undergoing a significant business transformation while providing essential services to modern society [1]. Group 1: Business Performance and Market Conditions - During the pandemic, UPS experienced a temporary surge in demand for its package delivery services, leading to a spike in stock prices, which later fell as demand normalized [2][5]. - UPS stock is currently trading approximately 60% lower than its peak during the pandemic, returning to pre-pandemic levels despite a broader market recovery [5]. - The company is now viewed as a turnaround story, with ongoing updates to its operations causing investor concerns about future performance [6]. Group 2: Operational Changes and Financial Impact - UPS is in the process of updating its operating systems and streamlining operations, focusing on more profitable business segments, which incurs significant costs [8]. - In Q2, UPS reported after-tax transformation strategy costs of $57 million, impacting earnings by $0.04 per share, while revenue fell 2.7% year over year [9]. - Despite lower revenue, revenue per piece in the U.S. market increased by 5.5%, indicating a positive shift in customer and product mix [10]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook and Dividend Concerns - The package delivery business is expected to grow in importance, and UPS is making strides to enhance profitability through operational updates [11]. - The dividend yield of 7.4% is becoming less sustainable, with a payout ratio exceeding 100% in Q2, raising concerns about potential dividend cuts [12]. - For long-term investors, UPS presents a compelling turnaround opportunity, supported by a critical delivery business that is difficult to replicate [12].

Core Insights - United Parcel Service (UPS) reported a revenue of $21.22 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a decrease of 2.7% year-over-year, while EPS was $1.55 compared to $1.79 in the same quarter last year [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $20.85 billion by 1.77%, but the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $1.56 by 0.64% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Average revenue per piece for International Package was $21.14, surpassing the estimated $20.58 [4] - Average daily package volume for International Package - Export was 1.68 million, exceeding the estimate of 1.6 million [4] - Average daily package volume for International Package - Domestic was 1.51 million, slightly above the estimate of 1.49 million [4] - Revenue from Supply Chain Solutions was $2.65 billion, below the estimated $2.78 billion, marking a year-over-year decline of 20.3% [4] - Revenue from International Package was $4.49 billion, exceeding the estimate of $4.25 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 2.6% [4] - Revenue from U.S. Domestic Package was $14.08 billion, above the estimate of $13.83 billion, but showed a slight decline of 0.3% year-over-year [4] - Revenue from U.S. Domestic Package - Next Day Air was $2.29 billion, slightly below the estimate of $2.33 billion, reflecting a year-over-year change of -0.7% [4] - Revenue from U.S. Domestic Package - Ground was $10.48 billion, exceeding the estimate of $10.24 billion, with a year-over-year decline of 2.1% [4] - Revenue from International Package - Domestic was $830 million, surpassing the estimate of $765.8 million, with a year-over-year increase of 7.8% [4] - Revenue from International Package - Cargo and other was $171 million, exceeding the estimate of $164.91 million, with a year-over-year increase of 4.9% [4] Stock Performance - UPS shares returned +0.6% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by +3.6% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance compared to the broader market in the near term [3]

Group 1 - UPS ranks No. 11 in the S&P 500 in terms of dividend yield with a forward rate of 6.84% as of May 21, 2025 [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of creating engaging financial content that is relevant and accessible to everyday investors [1] - The focus is on analyzing various asset classes including stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and crypto, highlighting macro drivers that influence market conditions [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific investment recommendations or advice regarding the suitability of investments for particular investors [2][3] - It clarifies that past performance is not indicative of future results, emphasizing the need for caution in investment decisions [3] - The authors of the article are not licensed securities dealers or investment advisers, indicating a lack of formal regulatory oversight [3]

Group 1: Lockheed Martin - Lockheed Martin has a record backlog of $176 billion, representing 2.4 years of sales based on 2025 guidance [4] - The company has a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 times in 2024, indicating strong order momentum across all business areas [5] - Management expects mid-single-digit sales growth in 2025, with earnings per share guidance of $27-$27.30, comfortably covering the dividend per share of $13.20 [5] - Lockheed Martin's customers are primarily governments, ensuring reliable demand even during economic slowdowns [8] Group 2: Air Products & Chemicals - Air Products has increased its dividend for over 43 consecutive years, with a forward dividend yield of 2.4% [9][11] - The company has a strong infrastructure, including 1,800 miles of industrial gas pipeline and over 750 production facilities, creating high barriers to entry [10] - Air Products has achieved an approximately 8% compound annual growth rate in dividends from 2014 to 2025, with a payout ratio averaging 61% over the past five years [11] - The stock is currently trading at 17 times trailing earnings, below its historic P/E of 27, making it an attractive option for passive income [12] Group 3: FedEx - FedEx reported adjusted revenue of $22.2 billion, a 2.3% increase year-over-year, but has faced challenges with a poor near-term outlook [13] - The company has lowered its full-year guidance, projecting adjusted earnings per share of $18 to $18.60, which is below previous forecasts [14] - Despite near-term challenges, FedEx offers a dividend yield of 2.3%, comparable to well-known dividend stocks like Procter & Gamble and McDonald's [17] - The dividend payout of $5.52 per share is less than a third of its earnings guidance, indicating a safe payout ratio [18] - FedEx is considered a value stock for long-term investors with a three to five-year investment horizon [19]