Packaged meat

Search documents
猪肉:全国猪肉零售会后要点,2025 年下半年包装肉制品受关注;其他板块前景良好;买入万洲国际-Pork_ NDR takeaways_ 2H25 packaged meat in spotlight; sound outlook for other segments; Buy WH Group
2025-08-18 02:52
14 August 2025 | 1:10AM HKT China Consumer Staples Pork: NDR takeaways: 2H25 packaged meat in spotlight; sound outlook for other segments; Buy WH Group We hosted WH Group C-suite NDR on Aug 13th, and we went away with positives on all segments, where we see 1) better packaged meat outlook in 2H25 with stronger China and Europe, meanwhile US remains steady; 2) approaching breakeven/profitable for poultry and hog production business in China, and the US hog production positive outlook was reiterated, where ou ...
中国必需消费品_猪肉_首次关注_2025 年第二季度运营利润超预期;中国包装肉制品前景向好;美国生猪产量指引上调-China Consumer Staples_ Pork First Take_ 2Q25 OP beat; better packaged meat outlook in China; US hog production guidance raised
2025-08-13 02:16
13 August 2025 | 1:53AM HKT China Consumer Staples: Pork First Take: 2Q25 OP beat; better packaged meat outlook in China; US hog production guidance raised WH group and Shuanghui reported 2Q25 results and hosted a results briefing after market close on 12 Aug. WH group 2Q25 revenue increased by 12% yoy to US$6,834mn, 2% above GSe mainly on higher US hog production partially offset by weaker fresh pork sales in China. EBIT increased by 3% yoy to US$656m, 6% above GSe on lower SG&A expenses and better profita ...
高盛:猪肉_2025 年第二季度预览_美国生猪生产走强;中国有望增长;买入万洲国际
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-11 01:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating on WH Group with a 12-month price target of HK$8.6 per share, indicating an upside of 15.9% from the current price of HK$7.42 [7]. - A "Neutral" rating is assigned to Shuanghui with an unchanged 12-month price target of Rmb25.2 per share, reflecting a modest upside of 2.4% from the current price of Rmb24.62 [8][18]. Core Insights - WH Group is expected to see a cyclical recovery in its US hog production business, with full-year profit forecasts uplifted to US$67 million, significantly above the company's guidance range [9][14]. - The China operations of WH Group are projected to return to a growth trajectory, with operating profit expected to grow by 8% year-over-year in 2Q25, following a decline of 14% in 1Q25 [9][10]. - The report anticipates WH Group's recurring operating profit in 2Q25 to grow approximately 13% year-over-year, one of the highest among traditional food companies [9][15]. Summary by Sections WH Group Financials - WH Group's market capitalization is HK$95.2 billion (approximately US$12.1 billion) with a revenue forecast of US$25.9 billion for 2025 [7]. - The company is expected to achieve an EBITDA of US$3.2 billion in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 8x for 2025E and a dividend yield of 7% [7]. - The report highlights a projected EPS of US$0.12 for 2025, with a consistent growth trajectory anticipated in subsequent years [7]. Shuanghui Financials - Shuanghui's market capitalization is Rmb85.3 billion (approximately US$11.9 billion) with a revenue forecast of Rmb59.7 billion for 2025 [8]. - The company is expected to achieve an EBITDA of Rmb8.8 billion in 2025, with a P/E ratio of 17.8x for 2025E and a dividend yield of 5.5% [8]. - The report projects an EPS of Rmb1.48 for 2025, indicating stable performance in the coming years [8]. Operational Insights - WH Group's China business is expected to stabilize in packaged meat and narrow upstream losses, although fresh meat remains under pressure due to a tough comparison base [9][10]. - The US business is projected to see a 3% year-over-year sales growth in packaged meat, with EBIT expected to decline by 3% year-over-year [13][14]. - The international segment is anticipated to trend upwards sequentially, with efficiency enhancements contributing to stable performance [15].
高盛:中国必需消费品-猪肉板块估值诱人,股东回报前景明朗
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-14 02:38
Investment Rating - The report initiates a Buy rating for WH Group with a 12-month target price (TP) of HK$8.6 per share, and a Neutral rating for Shuanghui with a TP of Rmb25.2 per share [4][25]. Core Insights - WH Group is the largest pork player globally, with a vertically integrated business model spanning hog production to packaged meat, and a significant presence in China, the US, and Europe [1][15]. - The company offers compelling shareholder returns with a dividend yield of 6%, one of the highest in the consumer staples sector, and potential share price upside of 26% [2][20]. - WH Group's operating profit (OP) is expected to grow at 6% year-on-year in 2025, driven by 4% growth in China, 7% in the US, and 10% in Europe, supported by favorable feed costs and ongoing operational efficiencies [2][24]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - WH Group operates a vertically integrated business model from hog production to packaged meat, with significant market shares in China (32% of sales), the US (53% of sales), and Europe (15% of sales) [1][15]. Financial Performance - The report anticipates WH Group's OP growth of 6% year-on-year in 2025, with specific growth rates of 4% in China, 7% in the US, and 10% in Europe, primarily due to stable hog prices and resilient packaged meat demand [2][24]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong cash flow, supporting its dividend payout ratio, with a forecasted free cash flow conversion rate of approximately 80% in 2026-27 [20][71]. Valuation - WH Group is valued attractively at 4x EV/EBITDA and 7x PE, with a potential re-rating opportunity as the US business stabilizes [3][25]. - The report highlights a significant valuation gap, with WH Group's current trading value reflecting only 40%-50% of the proportionate Smithfield Foods (SFD) market cap [3][27]. Market Dynamics - The report identifies three key themes affecting WH Group: the pork cycle, competition dynamics, and operating efficiency, with a focus on the company's leading market share and comprehensive product portfolio [16][17]. - Shuanghui, as the largest processed packaged meat player in China, is expected to maintain defensiveness amid pork cycles, with a track record of passing through inflation during hog upcycles [5][12]. Growth Outlook - The report projects a small decline in packaged meat OP in China, offset by growth in fresh meat OP, with expectations of breakeven in hog and poultry production [24][23]. - The US business is anticipated to recover from losses in 2024 to profits in 2025, while Europe is expected to see a 10% growth driven by acquisitions and favorable market conditions [24][25].
WH GROUP(00288) - 2024 H2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-25 05:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, WH Group reported a revenue of $25.941 billion, a decrease of 1.1% compared to the previous year [3] - Packaged meat sales volume was 3.1 million tonnes, down 3%, while pork sales volume was 3.765 million tonnes, down 4.9% [3] - EBITDA increased by 56.1% to $3.078 billion, and operating profit rose by 63% to $2.4 billion [4] - Profit before tax surged by 115% to $2.208 billion, with profit attributable to owners of the company reaching $1.471 billion, up 142% [4] - Basic earnings per share increased to $0.1147 [4] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Packaged meat contributed 52.6% of total revenue, while pork contributed 40% of revenue and 14.8% of profit [4][5] - North America accounted for 50.3% of revenue and 49% of profit, while Europe contributed 14.5% of revenue and 11.4% of profit [6] - Operating profit from packaged meat was $1.174 billion, up 9.5%, with a margin of 14.1% [15] - The pork business saw an operating profit of $170 million, with a margin of 2% [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, the number of slaughtered hogs decreased by 3.3% to 703 million heads, with an average hog price of RMB 17.04 per kilo, up 10.6% [10] - In the U.S., the average hog price was $1.42 per kilo, up 4.5%, while in Europe, it was EUR 1.59 per kilo, down 7.9% [11] - Corn prices in the U.S. averaged $4.27 per bushel, down 23.3% [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - WH Group aims to focus on core packaged meat business, improve fresh meat operations, and maintain appropriate hog production levels [16] - The company plans to reduce hog production from 14.7 million heads in 2024 to below 10 million heads in the future [17] - The strategy includes industrialization, diversification, internationalization, and digitalization to enhance competitiveness [19][30] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The global economic recovery is slow and uneven, with inflation moderating and cost pressures alleviating [8] - Management expects challenges in demand but anticipates benefits from lower raw material costs in 2025 [21][22] - The outlook for the U.S. pork market is positive, with expectations of strong demand and favorable pricing dynamics [35][36] Other Important Information - The company reported strong operating cash flow of $2.519 billion, up 55.8%, and a low leverage ratio of 0.29 [7][8] - WH Group completed the acquisition of a Spanish packaged meat producer, Argo, to expand its high-end packaged meat business [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: How will WH Group maintain high profitability per metric ton in 2025? - Management indicated that while profitability per ton may decrease in 2025, it will remain relatively high due to low raw material costs and adjustments in product mix [21][22] Question: What measures will be taken to increase packaged meat volumes in 2025? - Eight measures were outlined, including reforming the sales team, enhancing market research, and increasing marketing investments [23][24][25][26][27] Question: Will there be changes in strategy after the Smithfield IPO? - Management confirmed that the strategy remains focused on strengths, with an emphasis on industrialization, diversification, and digitalization [30] Question: What is the outlook for the first quarter in China and the U.S.? - The outlook for China is stable with potential growth, while the U.S. market shows strength in hog prices and meat prices [38][41] Question: How will WH Group manage labor costs in the U.S.? - The company has not experienced significant impacts from labor costs and is focused on automation and becoming an employer of choice [70][72]