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AI威胁与广告寒流侵袭 欧洲老牌媒体巨头们迎来“艰难2026”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 09:57
Core Viewpoint - European media giants are expected to face significant operational challenges in 2026 due to threats from artificial intelligence disrupting traditional business models and a potential reduction in advertising budgets driven by global economic uncertainties [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Analysts predict a 6.9% profit growth for media and entertainment companies in the Stoxx Europe 600 index in 2026, significantly lower than the 10% growth expected for the broader index [1] - European broadcasters are projected to see a decline in advertising sales in 2025, with estimates indicating an average decrease in the mid-single digits [2] Group 2: Advertising Market Challenges - Ongoing trade tensions and political uncertainties in Europe have severely impacted companies' confidence in expansion and significantly squeezed marketing budgets, particularly affecting ad-revenue-dependent media companies [2] - WPP Plc lowered its performance outlook due to client losses and demand drying up, while ITV Plc reported a cautious sentiment around the UK budget that has curtailed advertising demand [2] Group 3: Risks from Artificial Intelligence - The emergence of artificial intelligence poses a dual threat to the media industry, potentially creating new revenue opportunities while also rendering some advertising products redundant [2] - Traditional business models, such as Pearson Plc's online higher education courses, are particularly at risk due to the disruptive nature of AI [3] Group 4: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - European content publishers and broadcasters have underperformed the broader European stock market, with ongoing debates among analysts regarding the extent of AI's threat to traditional media companies [4] - Some analysts believe concerns about AI's impact are exaggerated and anticipate a more nuanced positive market response in the coming year [4] Group 5: Potential Winners in the Industry - Companies that proactively address both the opportunities and risks presented by AI are likely to emerge as winners in the traditional media landscape [5] - Scout24, a real estate platform, is highlighted for its innovative use of AI tools, which may position it favorably in the evolving market [5]