A month has gone by since the last earnings report for HP (HPQ) . Shares have lost about 5.3% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is HP due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.HPQ's Q3 Earnings Match Estimates, ...

Core Insights - HP Inc. reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings of 75 cents per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but down from 84 cents per share a year ago [1][10] - The company has missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 4.3% [1] Revenue Performance - HP's revenues for the quarter reached $13.93 billion, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.19%, compared to $13.52 billion in the same quarter last year [2][10] - Personal Systems (PS) revenues, which account for 71% of net revenues, were $9.9 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [3] - The Printing business, contributing 29% of net revenues, generated $4.0 billion, down 4% year over year [4] Segment Analysis - In the Personal Systems division, total PC units rose by 5%, with Consumer PS shipments increasing by 8% and Commercial PS shipments by 3% [3] - The Printing division saw declines in Consumer Printing revenues by 8%, Commercial Printing revenues by 3%, and Supplies revenues by 4% [4] - Revenue growth was observed in all geographic regions, with Asia Pacific & Japan growing by 11% year over year [5] Operating Results - The non-GAAP operating margin for Personal Systems was 5.4%, down 120 basis points year over year, while the Printing division maintained a non-GAAP operating margin of 17.3% [6] - Overall, HP's non-GAAP operating margin from continuing operations was 7.1%, contracting 110 basis points compared to the prior year [6] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - HP ended the fiscal third quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $2.9 billion, up from $2.7 billion in the previous quarter [7] - The company generated $1.66 billion in cash from operating activities and delivered $1.47 billion in free cash flow, a significant improvement from negative free cash flow in the prior quarter [7][8] - During the quarter, HP returned $400 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [8] Future Guidance - For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, HP expects non-GAAP EPS between 87 cents and 97 cents, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at 89 cents [11] - The company anticipates free cash flow for fiscal 2025 to be in the range of $2.6 billion to $3.0 billion [11]

Core Insights - HP reported revenue of $13.93 billion for the quarter ended July 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, with EPS of $0.75 compared to $0.83 a year ago, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.96 billion by -0.19% [1] Financial Performance - The stock has returned +5.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.3% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] Key Metrics - Days in accounts payable: 138 days, above the average estimate of 133 days - Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable: 33 days, slightly above the average estimate of 32 days - Days of supply in inventory: 68 days, in line with the average estimate of 69 days [4] Personal Systems Revenue - Net revenue from Commercial Personal Systems: $7.04 billion, below the average estimate of $7.11 billion, representing a +5.4% change year-over-year - Net revenue from Consumer Personal Systems: $2.9 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $2.89 billion, with a +7.5% year-over-year change - Total Net revenue from Personal Systems: $9.93 billion, below the average estimate of $10 billion, with a +6% year-over-year change [4] Printing Revenue - Net revenue from Printing Supplies: $2.6 billion, above the average estimate of $2.58 billion, but a -3.7% change year-over-year - Net revenue from Commercial Printing: $1.11 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $1.1 billion, with a -3% year-over-year change - Net revenue from Consumer Printing: $269 million, below the average estimate of $275.02 million, representing an -8.2% year-over-year change - Total Net revenue from Printing: $3.99 billion, above the average estimate of $3.95 billion, with a -3.8% year-over-year change [4] Earnings from Operations - Earnings from operations in Personal Systems: $541 million, above the average estimate of $529.65 million - Earnings from operations in Corporate Investments: -$32 million, significantly better than the average estimate of -$124.78 million [4]

Core Insights - HP Inc. reported a net revenue of $13.9 billion for Q3 FY25, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.1% [3][4] - The company achieved a GAAP diluted net EPS of $0.80, up 23% from $0.65 in the prior year [6][10] - Non-GAAP diluted net EPS decreased to $0.75, down 11% from $0.84 in the previous year [6][10] Financial Performance - GAAP net revenue for Q3 FY25 was $13.9 billion, compared to $13.5 billion in Q3 FY24, marking a 3.1% increase [3][4] - GAAP operating margin decreased to 5.1%, down from 7.0% in the prior year [6][10] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 7.1%, down from 8.2% year-over-year [6][10] - Net earnings for Q3 FY25 were $0.8 billion, up 19% from $0.6 billion in Q3 FY24 [6][10] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.7 billion, an increase of 17% from $1.4 billion in the prior year [5][6] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $1.5 billion, up 13% from $1.3 billion in Q3 FY24 [6][7] - The company returned $0.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [6][8] Segment Performance - Personal Systems segment net revenue was $9.9 billion, up 6% year-over-year, with a 5.4% operating margin [14] - Printing segment net revenue was $4.0 billion, down 4% year-over-year, with a 17.3% operating margin [14] - Consumer Printing net revenue decreased by 8%, while Commercial Printing net revenue fell by 3% [14] Outlook - For Q4 FY25, HP estimates GAAP diluted net EPS to be in the range of $0.75 to $0.85 and non-GAAP diluted net EPS to be in the range of $0.87 to $0.97 [10][11] - The company anticipates generating free cash flow between $2.6 billion and $3.0 billion for FY25 [11]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that HP (HPQ) will report quarterly earnings of $0.74 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 10.8%, with revenues expected to reach $13.85 billion, an increase of 2.4% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.6% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Commercial PS' will reach $7.11 billion, a year-over-year increase of 6.4% [5]. - The estimate for 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Consumer PS' stands at $2.89 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of 7.4% [5]. - The average prediction for 'Net revenue- Personal Systems' is $10.00 billion, suggesting a year-over-year change of 6.7% [5]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Supplies' is expected to reach $2.58 billion, reflecting a decline of 4.6% from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Commercial Printing' is forecasted at $1.10 billion, indicating a decrease of 4.2% from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Consumer Printing' is projected at $275.02 million, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 6.1% [7]. - Overall, 'Net revenue- Printing' is expected to reach $3.95 billion, indicating a decline of 4.6% from the year-ago quarter [7]. Operational Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Days in accounts payable' to be 133 days, compared to 131 days in the same quarter of the previous year [8]. - 'Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable' is expected to reach 32 days, up from 31 days in the year-ago figure [8]. - 'Days of supply in inventory' is projected to be 69 days, compared to 67 days in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Earnings from operations- Personal Systems' is estimated at $529.65 million, down from $599.00 million in the previous year [9]. - 'Earnings from operations- Printing' is projected at $721.47 million, slightly up from $715.00 million in the prior year [10]. Market Performance - Over the past month, HP shares have recorded returns of 3.5%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 1.1% change [10]. - Based on its Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), HPQ is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the upcoming period [10].

Core Viewpoint - HP Inc. reported lower-than-expected earnings for Q2 fiscal 2025, leading to a 7.8% decline in share price after market hours. The company also provided a profit outlook for Q3 that fell short of expectations, indicating ongoing challenges in the personal computer market [1][10]. Financial Performance - HP's non-GAAP earnings for Q2 were 71 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate by 11.3% and declining 13% from the previous year's earnings of 82 cents [1][2]. - Revenues increased by 2.4% year-over-year to $13.2 billion, but this also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.7% [2]. - The Personal Systems (PS) segment, which accounts for 68.2% of total revenues, generated $9 billion, reflecting a 7% increase year-over-year (8% at constant currency) [3][4]. Segment Performance - The total PC units sold increased by 6% year-over-year, with a notable 11% rise in Commercial PS shipments, while Consumer PS shipments decreased by 2% [4]. - The Printing business, making up 31.8% of net revenues, saw a 4% decline in revenues year-over-year to $4.2 billion, primarily due to weaknesses in the Commercial Printing and Supplies segments [5]. Regional Performance - HP experienced growth across all regions, with the Americas up 4.7%, EMEA growing by 1.5%, and Asia Pacific and Japan increasing by 8.8% year-over-year [6]. Operating Margins - The non-GAAP operating margin for the PS segment contracted by 150 basis points to 4.5%, while the Printing division's margin decreased by 50 basis points to 19.5%. Overall, HP's non-GAAP operating margin from continuing operations contracted by 120 basis points to 9% [7]. Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - At the end of Q2, HP had cash and cash equivalents of $2.73 billion, down from $2.89 billion in the previous quarter. The company generated $38 million in cash from operations but reported negative free cash flow of $95 million [8]. - During the quarter, HP repurchased $100 million in shares and paid $273 million in dividends, totaling $546 million in dividends and $200 million in share buybacks for the first half of fiscal 2025 [9]. Guidance - For Q3 fiscal 2025, HP estimates non-GAAP EPS between 68 cents and 80 cents, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 82 cents. The company also lowered its fiscal 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $3.00 to $3.30, down from $3.06 to $3.36, with the consensus at $3.44 [10].

Financial Performance - HP reported $13.22 billion in revenue for the quarter ended April 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.3% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.71, down from $0.82 a year ago, representing a decline of 13.4% [1] - The reported revenue was a surprise of -1.51% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.42 billion [1] - The EPS surprise was -11.25% against the consensus estimate of $0.80 [1] Key Metrics - Days in accounts payable were 130 days, better than the two-analyst average estimate of 134 days [4] - Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable were 30 days, slightly above the average estimate of 29 days [4] - Days of supply in inventory were 70 days, compared to the average estimate of 73.5 days [4] Revenue Breakdown - Net revenue from Personal Systems - Commercial PS was $6.79 billion, below the average estimate of $6.99 billion, with a year-over-year change of +8.7% [4] - Net revenue from Personal Systems - Consumer PS was $2.24 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $2.20 billion, representing a +2.5% year-over-year change [4] - Total net revenue from Personal Systems was $9.02 billion, below the average estimate of $9.19 billion, with a +7.1% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Supplies was $2.73 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $2.75 billion, reflecting a -4.9% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Commercial Printing was $1.17 billion, below the average estimate of $1.19 billion, with a -3.2% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Consumer Printing was $289 million, slightly above the average estimate of $287.61 million, representing a -3.3% year-over-year change [4] - Total net revenue from Printing was $4.18 billion, below the average estimate of $4.23 billion, reflecting a -4.3% year-over-year change [4] Operational Earnings - Earnings from operations in Printing were $814 million, exceeding the average estimate of $795.04 million [4] - Earnings from operations in Personal Systems were $409 million, below the average estimate of $532.89 million [4] Stock Performance - HP shares returned +11.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +7.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]

Core Insights - HP Inc. reported a net revenue of $13.2 billion for Q2 FY25, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.3% (4.5% in constant currency) compared to Q2 FY24 [2][3] - The company's GAAP diluted net earnings per share (EPS) decreased to $0.42, down 31% from $0.61 in the prior-year period, and below the previous outlook of $0.62 to $0.72 [3][6] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS also fell to $0.71, down 13% from $0.82 in the prior-year period, and below the previous outlook of $0.75 to $0.85 [3][6] Financial Performance - GAAP net earnings for Q2 FY25 were $0.4 billion, a decline of 33% from $0.6 billion in Q2 FY24 [1][6] - Non-GAAP net earnings were $0.7 billion, down 17% from $0.8 billion in the prior-year period [1][6] - The GAAP operating margin decreased to 4.9%, down from 7.4% in the prior-year period, while the non-GAAP operating margin fell to 7.3% from 8.8% [1][3] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - HP generated $0.0 billion in net cash from operating activities, a significant decrease of 94% from $0.6 billion in Q2 FY24 [1][5] - The company reported a free cash flow of $(0.1) billion, down 120% from $0.5 billion in the prior-year period [1][5] - HP returned $0.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter [6] Segment Performance - Personal Systems segment net revenue was $9.0 billion, up 7% year-over-year, with a 4.5% operating margin [14] - Printing segment net revenue was $4.2 billion, down 4% year-over-year, with a 19.5% operating margin [14] Outlook - For Q3 FY25, HP estimates GAAP diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.57 to $0.69 and non-GAAP diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.68 to $0.80 [9] - For the full fiscal year 2025, HP anticipates GAAP diluted EPS in the range of $2.32 to $2.62 and non-GAAP diluted EPS in the range of $3.00 to $3.30 [10]

Core Viewpoint - HP is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.80 per share, reflecting a 2.4% decline year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to increase by 4.9% to $13.43 billion [1] Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 8.7%, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [3] Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Commercial PS' to reach $6.99 billion, a year-over-year increase of 12% [5] - 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Consumer PS' is estimated at $2.20 billion, reflecting a 0.6% increase year-over-year [5] - The total 'Net revenue- Personal Systems' is expected to be $9.19 billion, indicating a 9% increase from the prior-year quarter [5] - 'Net revenue- Printing- Supplies' is projected at $2.76 billion, showing a year-over-year decline of 3.8% [6] - 'Net revenue- Printing- Commercial Printing' is expected to be $1.19 billion, a decrease of 1% from the previous year [6] - 'Net revenue- Printing- Consumer Printing' is forecasted at $286.82 million, indicating a 4.1% decline year-over-year [7] - The total 'Net revenue- Printing' is estimated at $4.24 billion, reflecting a 3% decrease from the prior year [7] Operational Metrics - 'Days in accounts payable' is expected to reach 134 days, compared to 132 days in the previous year [7] - 'Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable' is projected at 30 days, down from 31 days year-over-year [8] - 'Days of supply in inventory' is estimated at 73.5 days, compared to 70 days in the previous year [8] - 'Earnings from operations- Printing' is forecasted at $796.32 million, down from $829 million in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Earnings from operations- Personal Systems' is expected to reach $528.27 million, compared to $508 million reported in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - HP shares have increased by 12.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 10.7% increase [9]

Core Viewpoint - HP Inc. reported lower-than-expected earnings for Q1 fiscal 2025, leading to a 3.9% decline in shares during extended trading, and provided a profit outlook for Q2 that also fell short of expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - HP's Q1 non-GAAP earnings were 74 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate by one cent, and down 9% from 81 cents in the same quarter last year due to higher expenses [2][3]. - Revenues increased by 2.4% year-over-year to $13.5 billion, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, driven by higher Personal Systems sales, which offset declines in the Printing business [3][4]. Segment Performance - Personal Systems (PS) revenues, accounting for 68.1% of total revenues, reached $9.2 billion, a 5% increase year-over-year (5% at constant currency) due to strong commercial unit performance and market share gains [4][5]. - Total PC units sold decreased by 1% year-over-year, with a significant 11% drop in Consumer PS shipments, partially offset by a 6% increase in Commercial PS shipments [5]. - Printing business revenues, making up 31.9% of total revenues, fell by 2% year-over-year to $4.45 billion, impacted by weaknesses in Commercial Printing and Supplies [6]. Regional Performance - Growth was observed across all regions, with the Americas up 3%, EMEA growing 2%, and Asia Pacific and Japan increasing by 5% year-over-year [7]. Operating Margins - The non-GAAP operating margin for PS contracted by 60 basis points to 5.5%, while the Printing division's margin decreased by 90 basis points to 19%. Overall, HP's non-GAAP operating margin from continuing operations fell by 80 basis points to 9.6% due to higher commodity costs and increased strategic investments [8]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - At the end of Q1, HP had cash and cash equivalents of $2.89 billion, down from $3.25 billion in the previous quarter. The company generated $374 million in cash from operations and $70 million in free cash flow, returning $373 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [9]. Guidance - For Q2 fiscal 2025, HP estimates non-GAAP EPS between 75 cents and 85 cents, with a midpoint of 80 cents, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 85 cents. The company raised its fiscal 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $3.45 to $3.75, up from $3.06-$3.36, with a consensus estimate of $3.57 [11].