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惠普公司-2025 财年第二季度初步评估:业绩未达预期,个人电脑需求和利润率下降
2025-06-02 15:44
Summary of HP Inc. (HPQ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: HP Inc. (HPQ) - **Industry**: Personal Computers and Printing Key Financial Metrics - **F2Q25 EPS**: $0.71, missing Goldman Sachs (GS) estimate of $0.82 and consensus of $0.80 [2][3] - **Revenue**: $13.2 billion, in line with GS estimate of $13.2 billion but slightly below consensus of $13.1 billion [2][5] - **EBIT**: $961 million with a margin of 7.3%, missing GS estimate of $1.1 billion and consensus of $1.1 billion [2][9] - **Personal Systems Group Revenue**: $9.024 billion, above GS estimate of $9.019 billion [5] - **Printing Revenue**: $4.181 billion, below GS estimate of $4.221 billion [5] Guidance and Outlook - **F3Q25 EPS Guidance**: $0.68-$0.80, below consensus of $0.90 [6] - **F2025 EPS Guidance**: Lowered to $3.00-$3.30 from $3.45-$3.75, reflecting moderated demand and tariff impacts [2][7] - **Free Cash Flow Guidance**: Lowered to $2.6-$3.0 billion from $3.2-$3.6 billion [2][7] - **PC Industry Outlook**: Now expects low single-digit percentage (LSD%) unit growth year-over-year, down from mid-single-digit percentage (MSD%) [1][7] Performance Analysis - **PC Margins**: Weakness attributed to supply chain resiliency initiatives and competitive dynamics [1] - **Printing Margins**: Improved to 19.5%, above GS estimate of 19.0% [2][9] - **Cost of Revenue**: Increased to $10.481 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase [10] Risks and Challenges - **Demand Risks**: Slower-than-expected consumer demand and potential increases in hybrid work could negatively impact commercial PC demand [12] - **Pricing Pressure**: High levels of industry channel inventory and declining component costs may lead to lower margins [12] - **Market Competition**: Increased competition in both commercial and consumer printing markets [13] Strategic Initiatives - **Focus on Higher-Margin Products**: HPQ is shifting towards higher-margin hardware and ink subscription services to mitigate headwinds in the printing segment [13] - **Capital Allocation Policy**: HPQ aims to return 100% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [14] Investment Thesis - **Neutral Rating**: Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating on HPQ with a 12-month price target of $27, indicating a downside potential of 4.7% from the current price of $28.34 [11][15] Conclusion HPQ's recent performance reflects challenges in the PC market due to macroeconomic factors and competitive pressures, leading to lowered guidance and expectations. The company's strategic focus on higher-margin products and commitment to returning capital to shareholders may provide some support in navigating these challenges.
HP Stock Falls 8% on Q2 Earnings Miss, Revenues Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 15:36
HP Inc. (HPQ) shares fell 7.8% during Wednesday’s after-market hours after the personal computer (PC) maker reported lower-than-expected bottom-line results for second-quarter fiscal 2025 and issued a profit outlook for the fiscal third quarter that fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate.HP reported second-quarter non-GAAP earnings of 71 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate by 11.3%. The bottom line declined 13% from the year-ago quarter’s earnings of 82 cents.HP’s earnings missed the Zacks C ...
HP (HPQ) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 23:01
Financial Performance - HP reported $13.22 billion in revenue for the quarter ended April 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.3% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.71, down from $0.82 a year ago, representing a decline of 13.4% [1] - The reported revenue was a surprise of -1.51% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.42 billion [1] - The EPS surprise was -11.25% against the consensus estimate of $0.80 [1] Key Metrics - Days in accounts payable were 130 days, better than the two-analyst average estimate of 134 days [4] - Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable were 30 days, slightly above the average estimate of 29 days [4] - Days of supply in inventory were 70 days, compared to the average estimate of 73.5 days [4] Revenue Breakdown - Net revenue from Personal Systems - Commercial PS was $6.79 billion, below the average estimate of $6.99 billion, with a year-over-year change of +8.7% [4] - Net revenue from Personal Systems - Consumer PS was $2.24 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $2.20 billion, representing a +2.5% year-over-year change [4] - Total net revenue from Personal Systems was $9.02 billion, below the average estimate of $9.19 billion, with a +7.1% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Supplies was $2.73 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $2.75 billion, reflecting a -4.9% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Commercial Printing was $1.17 billion, below the average estimate of $1.19 billion, with a -3.2% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Consumer Printing was $289 million, slightly above the average estimate of $287.61 million, representing a -3.3% year-over-year change [4] - Total net revenue from Printing was $4.18 billion, below the average estimate of $4.23 billion, reflecting a -4.3% year-over-year change [4] Operational Earnings - Earnings from operations in Printing were $814 million, exceeding the average estimate of $795.04 million [4] - Earnings from operations in Personal Systems were $409 million, below the average estimate of $532.89 million [4] Stock Performance - HP shares returned +11.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +7.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]
Ahead of HP (HPQ) Q2 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-23 14:21
The upcoming report from HP (HPQ) is expected to reveal quarterly earnings of $0.80 per share, indicating a decline of 2.4% compared to the year-ago period. Analysts forecast revenues of $13.43 billion, representing an increase of 4.9% year over year.Over the last 30 days, there has been an upward revision of 8.7% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, leading to its current level. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their initial forecasts over the course of this tim ...