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Why Is HP (HPQ) Down 5.3% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 16:31
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for HP (HPQ) . Shares have lost about 5.3% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is HP due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.HPQ's Q3 Earnings Match Estimates, ...
HP (HPQ) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-03 13:52
Summary of HP Inc. 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: HP Inc. (HPQ) - **Event**: 2025 Conference Call on September 3, 2025 Key Points on Demand and Market Performance - Overall demand has performed in line with expectations, with growth in the Personal Computing market and expected performance in Printing [2][3] - The consumer market for PCs was stronger than anticipated, while the office market for Printing was softer than expected [2][3] - Long-term expectations include continued growth in PCs through 2025 and 2026, while the print market is expected to slightly decline in 2025 and remain similar in 2026 [3] Insights on Personal Computing (PC) Market - Factors driving PC growth include: - Refresh cycle from increased sales during COVID-19 - Transition from Windows 10 to Windows 11, with over 50% of the transition completed [5][6] - Growth in AI PCs, with HP achieving 25% of its mix being AI PCs ahead of schedule [6] - Revenue growth is expected to outpace unit growth due to higher sales in premium categories and related peripherals [8] - Strong growth observed across commercial segments, with education being a notable exception [9] - Geographic performance is strong in Europe, but China shows relative weakness due to economic conditions [10] Pricing and Supply Chain Management - HP has accelerated changes in its supply chain to mitigate tariff impacts, moving production from China to Southeast Asia, Mexico, and the US [13][14] - Price increases have been implemented to offset rising costs, with expectations that the market will adjust accordingly [15] - The company aims for profitable growth rather than market share for its own sake [15] AI PC Adoption and Use Cases - AI PCs are expected to drive demand through new applications and enhanced performance of existing software [19][20] - HP is focusing on security and performance as key differentiators in the AI PC market [26] Printing Business Outlook - The print business faces secular challenges, with expected declines in 2025 and 2026, but usage metrics remain stable [41][42] - Customers are prioritizing investments in AI and PCs over print installations [43] - HP's supplies business is performing as expected, with a mid-single-digit decline projected [52] - Competitive pressures from Japanese companies and pricing strategies are being monitored [54] Innovations and Subscription Models - AI innovations in printing include features like "perfect print," which enhances user experience [58][59] - HP has around 13 million subscribers for its printing services, with a growing portfolio that includes all-in subscription models [61][63] - The shift towards integrated printer and supply models is expected to enhance customer convenience and retention [67] Conclusion and Investor Insights - HP has demonstrated operational resilience in a fluid market environment and continues to focus on innovation in AI and the future of work [81] - The company aims to return 100% of free cash flow to investors if leverage remains below 2, emphasizing a shareholder-friendly capital approach [81]
HPQ's Q3 Earnings Match Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-08-28 15:46
Core Insights - HP Inc. reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings of 75 cents per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but down from 84 cents per share a year ago [1][10] - The company has missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 4.3% [1] Revenue Performance - HP's revenues for the quarter reached $13.93 billion, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.19%, compared to $13.52 billion in the same quarter last year [2][10] - Personal Systems (PS) revenues, which account for 71% of net revenues, were $9.9 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [3] - The Printing business, contributing 29% of net revenues, generated $4.0 billion, down 4% year over year [4] Segment Analysis - In the Personal Systems division, total PC units rose by 5%, with Consumer PS shipments increasing by 8% and Commercial PS shipments by 3% [3] - The Printing division saw declines in Consumer Printing revenues by 8%, Commercial Printing revenues by 3%, and Supplies revenues by 4% [4] - Revenue growth was observed in all geographic regions, with Asia Pacific & Japan growing by 11% year over year [5] Operating Results - The non-GAAP operating margin for Personal Systems was 5.4%, down 120 basis points year over year, while the Printing division maintained a non-GAAP operating margin of 17.3% [6] - Overall, HP's non-GAAP operating margin from continuing operations was 7.1%, contracting 110 basis points compared to the prior year [6] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - HP ended the fiscal third quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $2.9 billion, up from $2.7 billion in the previous quarter [7] - The company generated $1.66 billion in cash from operating activities and delivered $1.47 billion in free cash flow, a significant improvement from negative free cash flow in the prior quarter [7][8] - During the quarter, HP returned $400 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [8] Future Guidance - For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, HP expects non-GAAP EPS between 87 cents and 97 cents, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at 89 cents [11] - The company anticipates free cash flow for fiscal 2025 to be in the range of $2.6 billion to $3.0 billion [11]
Compared to Estimates, HP (HPQ) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-27 23:00
Core Insights - HP reported revenue of $13.93 billion for the quarter ended July 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.1%, with EPS of $0.75 compared to $0.83 a year ago, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.96 billion by -0.19% [1] Financial Performance - The stock has returned +5.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.3% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] Key Metrics - Days in accounts payable: 138 days, above the average estimate of 133 days - Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable: 33 days, slightly above the average estimate of 32 days - Days of supply in inventory: 68 days, in line with the average estimate of 69 days [4] Personal Systems Revenue - Net revenue from Commercial Personal Systems: $7.04 billion, below the average estimate of $7.11 billion, representing a +5.4% change year-over-year - Net revenue from Consumer Personal Systems: $2.9 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $2.89 billion, with a +7.5% year-over-year change - Total Net revenue from Personal Systems: $9.93 billion, below the average estimate of $10 billion, with a +6% year-over-year change [4] Printing Revenue - Net revenue from Printing Supplies: $2.6 billion, above the average estimate of $2.58 billion, but a -3.7% change year-over-year - Net revenue from Commercial Printing: $1.11 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $1.1 billion, with a -3% year-over-year change - Net revenue from Consumer Printing: $269 million, below the average estimate of $275.02 million, representing an -8.2% year-over-year change - Total Net revenue from Printing: $3.99 billion, above the average estimate of $3.95 billion, with a -3.8% year-over-year change [4] Earnings from Operations - Earnings from operations in Personal Systems: $541 million, above the average estimate of $529.65 million - Earnings from operations in Corporate Investments: -$32 million, significantly better than the average estimate of -$124.78 million [4]
HP Inc. Reports Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Results
Globenewswire· 2025-08-27 20:05
Core Insights - HP Inc. reported a net revenue of $13.9 billion for Q3 FY25, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.1% [3][4] - The company achieved a GAAP diluted net EPS of $0.80, up 23% from $0.65 in the prior year [6][10] - Non-GAAP diluted net EPS decreased to $0.75, down 11% from $0.84 in the previous year [6][10] Financial Performance - GAAP net revenue for Q3 FY25 was $13.9 billion, compared to $13.5 billion in Q3 FY24, marking a 3.1% increase [3][4] - GAAP operating margin decreased to 5.1%, down from 7.0% in the prior year [6][10] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 7.1%, down from 8.2% year-over-year [6][10] - Net earnings for Q3 FY25 were $0.8 billion, up 19% from $0.6 billion in Q3 FY24 [6][10] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.7 billion, an increase of 17% from $1.4 billion in the prior year [5][6] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $1.5 billion, up 13% from $1.3 billion in Q3 FY24 [6][7] - The company returned $0.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [6][8] Segment Performance - Personal Systems segment net revenue was $9.9 billion, up 6% year-over-year, with a 5.4% operating margin [14] - Printing segment net revenue was $4.0 billion, down 4% year-over-year, with a 17.3% operating margin [14] - Consumer Printing net revenue decreased by 8%, while Commercial Printing net revenue fell by 3% [14] Outlook - For Q4 FY25, HP estimates GAAP diluted net EPS to be in the range of $0.75 to $0.85 and non-GAAP diluted net EPS to be in the range of $0.87 to $0.97 [10][11] - The company anticipates generating free cash flow between $2.6 billion and $3.0 billion for FY25 [11]
HP (HPQ) Q3 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures
ZACKS· 2025-08-22 14:15
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that HP (HPQ) will report quarterly earnings of $0.74 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 10.8%, with revenues expected to reach $13.85 billion, an increase of 2.4% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.6% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Commercial PS' will reach $7.11 billion, a year-over-year increase of 6.4% [5]. - The estimate for 'Net revenue- Personal Systems- Consumer PS' stands at $2.89 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of 7.4% [5]. - The average prediction for 'Net revenue- Personal Systems' is $10.00 billion, suggesting a year-over-year change of 6.7% [5]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Supplies' is expected to reach $2.58 billion, reflecting a decline of 4.6% from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Commercial Printing' is forecasted at $1.10 billion, indicating a decrease of 4.2% from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net revenue- Printing- Consumer Printing' is projected at $275.02 million, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 6.1% [7]. - Overall, 'Net revenue- Printing' is expected to reach $3.95 billion, indicating a decline of 4.6% from the year-ago quarter [7]. Operational Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Days in accounts payable' to be 133 days, compared to 131 days in the same quarter of the previous year [8]. - 'Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable' is expected to reach 32 days, up from 31 days in the year-ago figure [8]. - 'Days of supply in inventory' is projected to be 69 days, compared to 67 days in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Earnings from operations- Personal Systems' is estimated at $529.65 million, down from $599.00 million in the previous year [9]. - 'Earnings from operations- Printing' is projected at $721.47 million, slightly up from $715.00 million in the prior year [10]. Market Performance - Over the past month, HP shares have recorded returns of 3.5%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 1.1% change [10]. - Based on its Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), HPQ is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the upcoming period [10].
惠普公司-2025 财年第二季度初步评估:业绩未达预期,个人电脑需求和利润率下降
2025-06-02 15:44
Summary of HP Inc. (HPQ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: HP Inc. (HPQ) - **Industry**: Personal Computers and Printing Key Financial Metrics - **F2Q25 EPS**: $0.71, missing Goldman Sachs (GS) estimate of $0.82 and consensus of $0.80 [2][3] - **Revenue**: $13.2 billion, in line with GS estimate of $13.2 billion but slightly below consensus of $13.1 billion [2][5] - **EBIT**: $961 million with a margin of 7.3%, missing GS estimate of $1.1 billion and consensus of $1.1 billion [2][9] - **Personal Systems Group Revenue**: $9.024 billion, above GS estimate of $9.019 billion [5] - **Printing Revenue**: $4.181 billion, below GS estimate of $4.221 billion [5] Guidance and Outlook - **F3Q25 EPS Guidance**: $0.68-$0.80, below consensus of $0.90 [6] - **F2025 EPS Guidance**: Lowered to $3.00-$3.30 from $3.45-$3.75, reflecting moderated demand and tariff impacts [2][7] - **Free Cash Flow Guidance**: Lowered to $2.6-$3.0 billion from $3.2-$3.6 billion [2][7] - **PC Industry Outlook**: Now expects low single-digit percentage (LSD%) unit growth year-over-year, down from mid-single-digit percentage (MSD%) [1][7] Performance Analysis - **PC Margins**: Weakness attributed to supply chain resiliency initiatives and competitive dynamics [1] - **Printing Margins**: Improved to 19.5%, above GS estimate of 19.0% [2][9] - **Cost of Revenue**: Increased to $10.481 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year increase [10] Risks and Challenges - **Demand Risks**: Slower-than-expected consumer demand and potential increases in hybrid work could negatively impact commercial PC demand [12] - **Pricing Pressure**: High levels of industry channel inventory and declining component costs may lead to lower margins [12] - **Market Competition**: Increased competition in both commercial and consumer printing markets [13] Strategic Initiatives - **Focus on Higher-Margin Products**: HPQ is shifting towards higher-margin hardware and ink subscription services to mitigate headwinds in the printing segment [13] - **Capital Allocation Policy**: HPQ aims to return 100% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [14] Investment Thesis - **Neutral Rating**: Goldman Sachs maintains a neutral rating on HPQ with a 12-month price target of $27, indicating a downside potential of 4.7% from the current price of $28.34 [11][15] Conclusion HPQ's recent performance reflects challenges in the PC market due to macroeconomic factors and competitive pressures, leading to lowered guidance and expectations. The company's strategic focus on higher-margin products and commitment to returning capital to shareholders may provide some support in navigating these challenges.
HP Stock Falls 8% on Q2 Earnings Miss, Revenues Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 15:36
Core Viewpoint - HP Inc. reported lower-than-expected earnings for Q2 fiscal 2025, leading to a 7.8% decline in share price after market hours. The company also provided a profit outlook for Q3 that fell short of expectations, indicating ongoing challenges in the personal computer market [1][10]. Financial Performance - HP's non-GAAP earnings for Q2 were 71 cents per share, missing the consensus estimate by 11.3% and declining 13% from the previous year's earnings of 82 cents [1][2]. - Revenues increased by 2.4% year-over-year to $13.2 billion, but this also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.7% [2]. - The Personal Systems (PS) segment, which accounts for 68.2% of total revenues, generated $9 billion, reflecting a 7% increase year-over-year (8% at constant currency) [3][4]. Segment Performance - The total PC units sold increased by 6% year-over-year, with a notable 11% rise in Commercial PS shipments, while Consumer PS shipments decreased by 2% [4]. - The Printing business, making up 31.8% of net revenues, saw a 4% decline in revenues year-over-year to $4.2 billion, primarily due to weaknesses in the Commercial Printing and Supplies segments [5]. Regional Performance - HP experienced growth across all regions, with the Americas up 4.7%, EMEA growing by 1.5%, and Asia Pacific and Japan increasing by 8.8% year-over-year [6]. Operating Margins - The non-GAAP operating margin for the PS segment contracted by 150 basis points to 4.5%, while the Printing division's margin decreased by 50 basis points to 19.5%. Overall, HP's non-GAAP operating margin from continuing operations contracted by 120 basis points to 9% [7]. Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - At the end of Q2, HP had cash and cash equivalents of $2.73 billion, down from $2.89 billion in the previous quarter. The company generated $38 million in cash from operations but reported negative free cash flow of $95 million [8]. - During the quarter, HP repurchased $100 million in shares and paid $273 million in dividends, totaling $546 million in dividends and $200 million in share buybacks for the first half of fiscal 2025 [9]. Guidance - For Q3 fiscal 2025, HP estimates non-GAAP EPS between 68 cents and 80 cents, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 82 cents. The company also lowered its fiscal 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $3.00 to $3.30, down from $3.06 to $3.36, with the consensus at $3.44 [10].
HP (HPQ) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 23:01
Financial Performance - HP reported $13.22 billion in revenue for the quarter ended April 2025, a year-over-year increase of 3.3% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.71, down from $0.82 a year ago, representing a decline of 13.4% [1] - The reported revenue was a surprise of -1.51% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.42 billion [1] - The EPS surprise was -11.25% against the consensus estimate of $0.80 [1] Key Metrics - Days in accounts payable were 130 days, better than the two-analyst average estimate of 134 days [4] - Days of sales outstanding in accounts receivable were 30 days, slightly above the average estimate of 29 days [4] - Days of supply in inventory were 70 days, compared to the average estimate of 73.5 days [4] Revenue Breakdown - Net revenue from Personal Systems - Commercial PS was $6.79 billion, below the average estimate of $6.99 billion, with a year-over-year change of +8.7% [4] - Net revenue from Personal Systems - Consumer PS was $2.24 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $2.20 billion, representing a +2.5% year-over-year change [4] - Total net revenue from Personal Systems was $9.02 billion, below the average estimate of $9.19 billion, with a +7.1% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Supplies was $2.73 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $2.75 billion, reflecting a -4.9% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Commercial Printing was $1.17 billion, below the average estimate of $1.19 billion, with a -3.2% year-over-year change [4] - Net revenue from Printing - Consumer Printing was $289 million, slightly above the average estimate of $287.61 million, representing a -3.3% year-over-year change [4] - Total net revenue from Printing was $4.18 billion, below the average estimate of $4.23 billion, reflecting a -4.3% year-over-year change [4] Operational Earnings - Earnings from operations in Printing were $814 million, exceeding the average estimate of $795.04 million [4] - Earnings from operations in Personal Systems were $409 million, below the average estimate of $532.89 million [4] Stock Performance - HP shares returned +11.1% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +7.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]
HP Inc. Reports Fiscal 2025 Second Quarter Results
Globenewswire· 2025-05-28 20:15
Core Insights - HP Inc. reported a net revenue of $13.2 billion for Q2 FY25, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.3% (4.5% in constant currency) compared to Q2 FY24 [2][3] - The company's GAAP diluted net earnings per share (EPS) decreased to $0.42, down 31% from $0.61 in the prior-year period, and below the previous outlook of $0.62 to $0.72 [3][6] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS also fell to $0.71, down 13% from $0.82 in the prior-year period, and below the previous outlook of $0.75 to $0.85 [3][6] Financial Performance - GAAP net earnings for Q2 FY25 were $0.4 billion, a decline of 33% from $0.6 billion in Q2 FY24 [1][6] - Non-GAAP net earnings were $0.7 billion, down 17% from $0.8 billion in the prior-year period [1][6] - The GAAP operating margin decreased to 4.9%, down from 7.4% in the prior-year period, while the non-GAAP operating margin fell to 7.3% from 8.8% [1][3] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - HP generated $0.0 billion in net cash from operating activities, a significant decrease of 94% from $0.6 billion in Q2 FY24 [1][5] - The company reported a free cash flow of $(0.1) billion, down 120% from $0.5 billion in the prior-year period [1][5] - HP returned $0.4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter [6] Segment Performance - Personal Systems segment net revenue was $9.0 billion, up 7% year-over-year, with a 4.5% operating margin [14] - Printing segment net revenue was $4.2 billion, down 4% year-over-year, with a 19.5% operating margin [14] Outlook - For Q3 FY25, HP estimates GAAP diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.57 to $0.69 and non-GAAP diluted EPS to be in the range of $0.68 to $0.80 [9] - For the full fiscal year 2025, HP anticipates GAAP diluted EPS in the range of $2.32 to $2.62 and non-GAAP diluted EPS in the range of $3.00 to $3.30 [10]