Market Overview - Wall Street's rally in U.S. stocks is expected to continue into 2026, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite projected to rise by 13%, 16.4%, and 20.4% respectively [1] - Financial analysts and economists are optimistic about the potential for a continued rally in 2026 [1] AI Infrastructure Growth - The demand for data center capacity is surging due to the growth of cloud computing, indicating a robust market for AI infrastructure [2] - Goldman Sachs and Bank of America predict AI infrastructure capital expenditure (capex) will exceed $1 trillion by 2028, while JP Morgan and Citigroup forecast a cumulative total of $5 trillion by 2030 [3] - McKinsey & Co. estimates that global AI-powered data center infrastructure capex will reach around $7 trillion by 2030 [3] Capital Expenditure Trends - Four of the "magnificent 7" stocks are set to invest $380 billion in AI infrastructure in 2025, marking a 54% year-over-year increase, with expectations to rise to $440 billion in 2026 [4] U.S. Economic Fundamentals - The U.S. GDP growth rate increased by 4.3% in Q3 2025, following a 3.8% growth in Q2, with consumer spending rising by 3.5% year-over-year [5] - Analysts predict a 7.6% increase in total earnings for the S&P 500 in Q4 2025, with a 12.3% increase expected in 2026 [6] Federal Reserve Rate Cuts - The Federal Reserve lowered the benchmark lending rate by 75 basis points in 2025, following a 1% reduction in 2024, with expectations for two additional 25 basis point cuts in 2026 [7] Company-Specific Insights Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) - MRVL is positioned for growth in AI-driven data centers, with a focus on custom XPU silicon and partnerships with hyperscalers [9][11] - The company is acquiring Celestial AI, which specializes in photonic fabric technology, expected to close in Q1 FY 2027 [14] - MRVL's revenue and earnings growth rates are projected at 22.3% and 26.1% respectively for the next year, with a long-term EPS growth rate of 46.9% [18] PG&E Corp. (PCG) - PG&E operates California's only nuclear power plant and is integrating AI to enhance efficiency and safety at Diablo Canyon [21][23] - The company has an expected revenue and earnings growth rate of 6.4% and 9.1% respectively for the current year [24] Snap Inc. (SNAP) - SNAP is integrating AI across its platform, creating monetization opportunities beyond traditional advertising [25] - The partnership with Perplexity will generate $400 million over one year, targeting Snap's 943 million monthly active users [27] - SNAP's expected revenue and earnings growth rates are 13.4% and 52.3% respectively for the current year [30]

Core Insights - Marvell Technology Inc. reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings, with EPS of $0.76, exceeding estimates by 1.3%, and total revenues of $2.08 billion, surpassing estimates by 0.61% [1][11] Financial Performance - Revenues grew 36.8% year over year, driven by data center growth and recovery in enterprise networking and carrier infrastructure markets [3] - Data center revenues reached $1.52 billion, up 37.8% year over year and 1.8% sequentially, contributing 73.2% of total revenues [4] - Enterprise networking revenues increased 57% year over year to $237.2 million, accounting for 11.4% of total revenues [5] - Carrier infrastructure revenues surged 98% year over year to $167.8 million, representing 8.1% of total revenues [5] Strategic Positioning - Marvell is positioned as a key player in high-performance computing with custom AI silicon and electro-optics products, supported by partnerships with leading hyperscalers [6] - The acquisition of Celestial AI, expected to close in Q1 fiscal 2027, aims to enhance Marvell's capabilities in next-generation optical interconnects [7][9] Future Outlook - Marvell provided strong revenue guidance for Q4, expecting revenues of $2.20 billion, reflecting an 18.52% year-over-year improvement [12] - Projected non-GAAP EPS for Q4 is $0.79, indicating a 30% year-over-year increase [13] - The company anticipates continued growth in data center revenues driven by accelerating AI demand [12] Growth Projections - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the next fiscal year are 15.3% and 18.9%, respectively, with a long-term EPS growth rate of 38.2% compared to the S&P 500's 16.1% [14] Valuation Metrics - Marvell currently has a forward P/E of 32.8%, lower than the industry average of 34% [16] - The stock has experienced a decline of over 11% year to date and is trading at a 21.4% discount to its 52-week high [16] Market Position - Strong growth in data center, enterprise networking, and carrier infrastructure revenues, along with the Celestial AI acquisition, positions Marvell as a potential dark horse in the AI infrastructure sector [18]

Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, driven by the rapid growth of its Active Electrical Cable (AEC) business and increasing traction with major hyperscale customers [1][2] Financial Performance - In the fiscal second quarter, CRDO achieved revenues of $268 million, reflecting a 20% sequential increase and a remarkable 272% year-over-year growth [2][11] - The company anticipates a 27% sequential revenue increase for the fiscal third quarter and projects fiscal 2026 revenues to grow over 170% year over year [6][11] Customer Base and Market Dynamics - Four hyperscalers contributed more than 10% each to total revenues, with a fifth hyperscaler beginning to generate initial revenues, indicating strong adoption of CRDO's AEC solutions [3][11] - The emergence of a fifth hyperscaler and strengthened customer forecasts mark a significant inflection point for the company [3][6] Product and Technology Advancements - AECs have become the standard for inter-rack connectivity, replacing optical connections up to 7 meters, offering up to 1,000 times more reliability and 50% lower power consumption compared to optical solutions [4] - CRDO's architecture is designed to meet the critical demands of AI clusters, focusing on reliability, signal integrity, latency, power efficiency, and total cost of ownership [5] Competitive Landscape - Broadcom and Marvell Technology are also making significant strides in the AI space, with Broadcom securing over $10 billion in orders for AI racks and Marvell reporting a 37% year-over-year revenue increase [8][10] - Marvell's acquisition of Celestial AI, which specializes in Photonic Fabric technology, is expected to enhance its capabilities in optical interconnects [10][12] Valuation and Market Performance - CRDO is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 28.87, significantly higher than the Electronic-Semiconductors sector's multiple of 7.9 [13] - The company's shares have increased by 40.6% in the past month, outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry's growth of 25.4% [14]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Marvell reported record revenue of $2.075 billion for Q3 FY2026, reflecting a 3% sequential increase and a 37% year-over-year growth [6][39] - Non-GAAP earnings per share were $0.76, exceeding guidance by $0.02, with a year-over-year growth of 77% [6][40] - GAAP gross margin was 51.6%, while non-GAAP gross margin was 59.7%, showing a sequential increase of 30 basis points [39] - Cash flow from operations reached a record $582 million, growing approximately $121 million from the prior quarter [41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Data center revenue was $1.52 billion, representing 2% sequential growth and 38% year-over-year growth, contributing 73% of total revenue [19][39] - Communications and other end market revenue was $557 million, growing 8% sequentially and 34% year-over-year [33][39] - Excluding the automotive Ethernet business, communications revenue growth would be approximately 20% sequentially and 50% year-over-year [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The data center market is expected to grow year-over-year by more than 25% in FY2027, driven by increased demand for switching products and custom solutions [19][36] - The communications end market is projected to grow approximately 25% year-over-year in Q4 FY2026, with an annualized revenue run rate of about $1 billion [34][39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Marvell announced the acquisition of Celestial AI, aimed at enhancing its data center portfolio with disruptive photonic technology [8][9] - The company is focusing on data center growth, having divested its automotive Ethernet business and made several strategic acquisitions since 2019 [9][10] - Marvell anticipates significant revenue contributions from Celestial AI starting in the second half of FY2028, with a forecast of reaching a $500 million annualized run rate by Q4 FY2028 [16][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued growth in the data center business, with expectations of strong demand for AI-related infrastructure [17][36] - The company expects to see a strong finish to FY2026 and anticipates revenue growth to accelerate in FY2027 and FY2028 [36][37] - Management highlighted the importance of partnerships with hyperscalers and the expected increase in Cloud CapEx, which is projected to grow over 30% next year [17][36] Other Important Information - Marvell executed a $1 billion accelerated stock repurchase program and repurchased $300 million of stock through its ongoing buyback program [35][41] - The company plans to fund the acquisition of Celestial AI through a combination of stock and cash on hand, without taking on additional debt [44] Q&A Session Summary Question: Revenue expectations for next year - Management confirmed that the implied revenue target for next year is around $10 billion, based on organic growth without M&A contributions [48][49] Question: Update on sub-3-nanometer design win pipeline - Management indicated strong visibility on the transition to next-generation products, with several programs in the pipeline for 2-nanometer designs [58][60] Question: Revenue targets for Celestial AI - Management clarified that the $500 million and $1 billion targets for Celestial AI include all potential revenue streams, primarily driven by the PF chiplet products [65][66] Question: Breadth of revenue stream from Celestial AI - Management noted that while there is strong engagement across the industry, initial revenue will likely come from a few large customers, including a tier-one hyperscaler [70][71]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Marvell reported record revenue of $2.075 billion, reflecting a 3% sequential increase and a 37% year-over-year growth [6][39] - Non-GAAP earnings per share were $0.76, exceeding guidance by $0.02, with a year-over-year growth of 77% [6][40] - GAAP gross margin was 51.6%, while non-GAAP gross margin was 59.7%, an increase of 30 basis points sequentially [39][40] - Cash flow from operations reached a record $582 million, growing approximately $121 million from the prior quarter [41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Data center revenue was $1.52 billion, representing 2% sequential growth and 38% year-over-year growth, contributing 73% of total revenue [19][39] - Communications and other end market revenue was $557 million, growing 8% sequentially and 34% year-over-year [33][39] - Excluding the divested automotive Ethernet business, communications revenue growth would be approximately 20% sequentially and 50% year-over-year [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects total revenue for the fourth quarter to be around $2.2 billion, representing a 6% sequential and 21% year-over-year growth [35][42] - Data center revenue is projected to grow year-over-year by more than 25% in fiscal 2027, while communications and other end market is expected to grow by 10% [19][34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Marvell announced the acquisition of Celestial AI, aimed at enhancing its data center portfolio with disruptive photonic fabric technology [8][9] - The acquisition is expected to close in the first quarter of next year and is anticipated to generate meaningful revenue contributions starting in the second half of fiscal 2028 [16][44] - The company is focusing on data center growth, divesting non-core businesses, and investing in high-growth areas such as AI and optical interconnects [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued growth in the data center market, driven by strong demand for AI and cloud infrastructure [17][36] - The outlook for fiscal 2027 is stronger than previously expected, with anticipated growth in interconnect and custom businesses [17][19] - Management highlighted the importance of strategic acquisitions and product innovation in driving future growth [37][44] Other Important Information - Marvell executed a $1 billion accelerated stock repurchase program and repurchased $300 million of stock through its ongoing buyback program [35][41] - The company has a strong balance sheet with cash and cash equivalents of $2.7 billion, reflecting robust operating cash flow [41] Q&A Session Summary Question: Revenue expectations for next year - Analyst inquired if the implied revenue for next year is around $10 billion and how it aligns with long-term targets [48] - Management confirmed the $10 billion target is motivational and based on organic growth without M&A contributions [49] Question: Update on sub-3-nanometer design win pipeline - Analyst asked for an update on the design win pipeline for sub-3-nanometer products [58] - Management indicated strong visibility and execution on design programs, with significant product ramps expected [60] Question: Revenue targets for Celestial AI - Analyst questioned if the $500 million and $1 billion targets for Celestial AI include PFLink products and potential memory businesses [65] - Management clarified that the targets encompass all of Celestial AI's activities, with initial revenue driven by PF chiplets [66] Question: Breadth of revenue stream from Celestial AI - Analyst asked about the customer base for Celestial AI's revenue ramp [67] - Management noted strong engagement across the industry, with a tier-one hyperscaler as a key partner [68] Question: Growth rate for custom business - Analyst sought clarification on the growth rate for the custom business in fiscal 2027 [75] - Management indicated expectations for at least 20% growth next year, with potential for higher rates in subsequent years [75]

Core Insights - Marvell Technology, Inc. has announced a definitive agreement to acquire Celestial AI, which specializes in a disruptive Photonic Fabric technology platform designed for scalable optical interconnects [1] - This acquisition is seen as a transformational milestone that will enhance Marvell's connectivity strategy, particularly for next-generation AI and cloud data centers [1] Company Summary - Marvell Technology is recognized as a leader in data infrastructure semiconductor solutions [1] - The acquisition of Celestial AI aligns with Marvell's strategic focus on advancing its capabilities in AI and cloud data center connectivity [1] Industry Summary - The move reflects a growing trend in the semiconductor industry towards integrating advanced technologies that support AI and cloud infrastructure [1] - Photonic technology is becoming increasingly important for improving data transfer speeds and efficiency in data centers [1]