Summary of HP (NYSE:HPQ) 2026 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: HP Inc. (HPQ) - **Event**: 2026 Morgan Stanley TMT Conference - **Date**: March 02, 2026 Key Points Financial Performance - **Q1 Performance**: Achieved 7% revenue growth and EPS at the high end of guidance range [7] - **Market Share**: Gained share in key areas such as Personal Systems (PS), high-value segments, and consumer markets [7] - **Print Segment**: Increased share in Big Tank and developed markets, with a focus on supplies [7] Outlook and Guidance - **Revenue Growth**: Expected to moderate in the second half of the year due to supply chain challenges, particularly in memory [8] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Anticipated to be at the lower end of the annual range due to current market conditions [9] - **Memory Supply**: Addressing supply challenges through a strong mitigation playbook, including securing supply and increasing prices [12] CEO Transition - **Interim CEO**: Bruce Broussard is providing continuity and stability during the CEO search [13] - **Search Criteria**: The board is looking for a leader with experience in managing large global businesses [14] Memory Supply Challenges - **Supply Relationships**: Long-term relationships with major suppliers are being leveraged to ensure memory supply [16] - **Cost Impact**: Memory costs are expected to double sequentially, impacting pricing strategies [18] Personal Systems Business - **Revenue Growth Expectation**: Mid-single digit revenue growth anticipated, despite expected unit declines [19] - **Market Trends**: Industry experts predict a high single-digit to low-teens decline in units for the calendar year [21] - **AI PCs**: 35% of shipments were AI PCs, indicating a growing trend in this segment [29] Print Business Insights - **Print Demand**: Stable usage patterns observed, with potential for growth as businesses return to office settings [41] - **Market Share**: HP maintains a 33.5% share in the print market, focusing on disciplined pricing strategies [47] Strategic Initiatives - **Cost Reduction**: A $1 billion AI-enabled cost savings program is in place, with $300 million expected in savings this fiscal year [68] - **Investment Focus**: Investments are aligned with driving AI PCs and enhancing print capabilities [66] Capital Allocation - **Free Cash Flow**: Emphasis on maintaining free cash flow despite market challenges, with a focus on revenue growth from share gains and pricing actions [61] - **Shareholder Returns**: HP has returned approximately $19 billion to shareholders over the last five years [86] Competitive Landscape - **Tariff Environment**: Section 301 tariffs remain a concern for the print business, but the PS business is largely exempt [84] - **Market Position**: HP is positioned strongly in both print and personal systems, with no immediate need for consolidation [72] Future Outlook - **Long-term Strategy**: Focus on AI and the future of work, with a commitment to delivering shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation [86] Additional Insights - **Peripherals Market**: A third of the PS growth margins come from non-PC related businesses, which are expected to grow and have higher margins [32] - **AI Integration**: AI is being integrated into supply chain processes to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [69]

分组1 - HP reported quarterly earnings of $0.81 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.77 per share, and up from $0.74 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +4.65% [1] - The company posted revenues of $14.44 billion for the quarter ended January 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.22%, compared to $13.5 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - HP shares have declined approximately 17.6% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has only declined by 0.1% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.72 on revenues of $13.38 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.95 on revenues of $55.01 billion [7] - The Computer - Micro Computers industry, to which HP belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 9% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment for the sector [8] - Dell Technologies, a competitor in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.54 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +32.1%, with revenues anticipated to be $31.91 billion, up 33.3% from the previous year [9][10]

Group 1 - The company expects its fiscal-year results to be closer to the low end of its prior guidance range [1]

Company Performance - HP's stock closed at $18.49, reflecting a -4% change from the previous day's closing price, underperforming the S&P 500's 0.1% gain [1] - Over the past month, HP shares have decreased by 5.45%, compared to a 4.05% loss in the Computer and Technology sector and a 1.43% loss in the S&P 500 [1] Upcoming Earnings - HP is set to release its earnings report on February 24, 2026, with an expected EPS of $0.77, indicating a 4.05% growth year-over-year [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $14.06 billion, representing a 4.13% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $2.97 per share and revenue of $55.16 billion, reflecting changes of -4.81% and -0.25% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes in analyst estimates for HP are crucial as they indicate shifts in near-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting optimism about the business outlook [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - HP currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate having decreased by 0.79% over the past month [6] - The Forward P/E ratio for HP is 6.48, which is lower than the industry average of 10.53 [7] - HP has a PEG ratio of 0.3, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 0.84 [8] Industry Context - The Computer - Micro Computers industry, to which HP belongs, ranks in the bottom 7% of all industries, with a Zacks Industry Rank of 230 [9]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in HP's earnings and revenues for the quarter ending January 2026, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - HP is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.77 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.1%, with revenues projected at $14.06 billion, also up 4.1% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.9% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding HP's earnings prospects [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for HP is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.65%, suggesting a bearish outlook [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, HP exceeded earnings expectations with a surprise of +2.20%, but has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [13][14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, other factors may influence stock movement, and HP does not currently appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings surprise [15][17].

Company Performance - HP's stock closed at $19.43, down 1.12%, underperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.47% [1] - Over the past month, HP shares have decreased by 8.48%, while the Computer and Technology sector lost 1.96% and the S&P 500 lost 0.16% [1] Upcoming Financial Results - HP is set to announce its earnings on February 24, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of $0.77 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 4.05% [2] - The revenue forecast for the upcoming quarter is $14.06 billion, indicating a 4.13% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] Annual Estimates - For the entire year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $2.97 per share and revenue of $55.16 billion, showing changes of -4.81% and -0.25% respectively compared to the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for HP are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating analyst optimism [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which incorporates estimate changes, currently rates HP at 4 (Sell), with a 0.79% decline in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] Valuation Metrics - HP's Forward P/E ratio stands at 6.62, which is below the industry average of 10.78 [7] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.31, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 0.61 [8] Industry Context - The Computer - Micro Computers industry, part of the broader Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 204, placing it in the bottom 17% of over 250 industries [9]

Core Viewpoint - Barclays downgraded HP Inc. to Underweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $18, indicating a potential downside of approximately -12.66% from the current trading price of $20.61 [1][5]. Company Performance - HPQ's stock is currently trading at $20.61, experiencing a slight decrease of 0.77%, or $0.16, with fluctuations between a low of $20.50 and a high of $21.02 on the day [2][5]. - Over the past year, HPQ's stock has shown significant volatility, with a high of $35.28 and a low of $20.50 [2]. Market Capitalization and Trading Volume - HP Inc.'s market capitalization is approximately $19.26 billion, with a trading volume of 14,110,542 shares on the NYSE [3]. Competitive Landscape - While HPQ faces a downgrade, other tech companies like AMD and Intel have received upgrades, highlighting the competitive nature of the technology sector [4]. - HP Inc. continues to focus on its core products and market strategies to maintain its competitive position in the industry despite the challenges [4][5].

Good morning everyone. Uh my name is Nash Naraman Tupil and today I'm going to talk about the HP story you might not know. So before I go to HP story a bit about my story. I joined HP in 1997. So it's more than 28 years I've been working in HP. I'm currently the services business leader for Asia-Pacific, Japan and Europe, Middle East Africa. And I've done various other roles in HP in marketing, in uh e-commerce, in channel management, in category management, etc. Apart from my work, I have three areas of pa ...

Core Viewpoint - HP Inc. is facing challenges due to rising memory costs, which are expected to significantly impact earnings in fiscal 2026, leading to a potential 10% reduction in full-year EPS [2][4]. Group 1: Financial Outlook - Bernstein maintains a Hold rating for HP Inc. with a price target of $30, while Wall Street analysts have a consensus Hold rating with a one-year average share price target of $25.88, closely aligning with the recent close of $25.91 [1][5]. - The stock has declined by 21% year-to-date, reflecting market concerns regarding its financial performance [5]. Group 2: Memory Costs Impact - Rising memory prices now account for 15% to 18% of the cost of an average PC for HP Inc., as stated by CEO Enrique Lores during the Q4 2025 earnings call [3]. - The company anticipates a challenging second half of 2026, with potential price increases and strategies to onboard new suppliers and reduce memory configurations in new products to mitigate impacts [4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - Analysts express caution regarding HP Inc. amid the rising memory costs and their anticipated effects on the company's financial outlook for 2026 [2][4].

Core Insights - HP plans to lay off between 4,000 and 6,000 employees as part of a cost-cutting initiative aimed at saving $1 billion over the next three fiscal years, which could represent up to 10% of its workforce [2][8] - Despite reporting better-than-expected revenue of $14.6 billion for the fiscal fourth quarter, HP's profit outlook for fiscal 2026, projected at $2.90 to $3.20 in EPS, fell below analyst consensus [5][6] - The layoffs at HP reflect a broader trend in the tech industry, where companies like Amazon and Microsoft are also reducing their workforce while increasing investments in AI [4][5] Company Strategy - CEO Enrique Lores emphasized the company's commitment to investing in AI-related initiatives, viewing it as a significant opportunity to enhance product innovation, customer satisfaction, and productivity [3] - The restructuring plan is part of a strategic move to align resources with the company's long-term goals, particularly in the context of rising AI investments [8] Market Reaction - Following the announcement of layoffs and the restructuring plan, HP's stock experienced a decline of approximately 2%, contributing to a year-to-date loss of nearly 27% [6]