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Gear Up for Novartis (NVS) Q3 Earnings: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project Novartis (NVS) will report quarterly earnings of $2.26 per share, reflecting a 9.7% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $13.9 billion, an 8.4% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [1][2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [2]. Revenue Projections - Analysts expect 'Revenues- Oncology- Tafinlar + Mekinist- Total' to be $555.75 million, a 4.1% increase year-over-year [4]. - 'Revenues- Net sales to third parties' are projected to reach $14.07 billion, indicating a 9.8% year-over-year change [4]. - 'Revenues- Oncology- Kisqali- Total' is estimated at $1.29 billion, reflecting a significant 64.2% year-over-year increase [4]. Specific Revenue Metrics - 'Revenues- Immunology- Cosentyx- Total' is expected to reach $1.72 billion, a 1.9% increase from the prior year [5]. - 'Revenues- Oncology- Tasigna- US' is projected at $119.43 million, showing a decline of 47.2% year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenues- Oncology- Promacta/Revolade- US' is estimated at $180.08 million, indicating a 41.2% decrease from the year-ago quarter [5]. Additional Revenue Insights - 'Revenues- Immunology- Cosentyx- US' is expected to be $990.42 million, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-over-year [6]. - 'Revenues- Cardiovascular- Entresto- US' is projected at $927.94 million, reflecting a 1.8% increase from the previous year [6]. - 'Revenues- Oncology- Tasigna- ROW' is estimated at $149.03 million, indicating a 22.8% decline year-over-year [7]. - 'Revenues- Oncology- Tafinlar + Mekinist- ROW' is expected to reach $320.55 million, a 4.4% increase year-over-year [7]. - 'Revenues- Oncology- Promacta/Revolade- ROW' is projected at $267.72 million, reflecting a 1.8% increase [7]. - 'Revenues- Immunology- Cosentyx- ROW' is expected to be $734.58 million, indicating a 4.9% increase from the prior year [8]. Stock Performance - Novartis shares have increased by 6.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a 0.2% increase [8].
Compared to Estimates, Novartis (NVS) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 14:31
Core Insights - Novartis reported $14.05 billion in revenue for Q2 2025, a year-over-year increase of 9.2%, with an EPS of $2.42 compared to $1.97 a year ago, exceeding both revenue and EPS consensus estimates [1][3] Revenue Performance - Oncology revenue from Tasigna in the US was $162 million, significantly below the average estimate of $221.75 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 29.6% [4] - Net sales of Scemblix in the Rest of the World reached $107 million, surpassing the average estimate of $95.88 million [4] - Oncology revenue from Promacta/Revolade in the US was $227 million, below the average estimate of $285.63 million, marking a year-over-year decline of 19.8% [4] - Immunology revenue from Cosentyx in the US was $921 million, slightly below the average estimate of $993.18 million, but showing a year-over-year increase of 6.1% [4] - Total revenue from Tafinlar + Mekinist in Oncology was $573 million, slightly above the average estimate of $570.15 million, with a year-over-year increase of 9.6% [4] - Kisqali in Oncology generated $1.18 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $1.09 billion, with a substantial year-over-year increase of 64.2% [4] - Total revenue from Cosentyx in Immunology was $1.63 billion, below the average estimate of $1.73 billion, but reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.8% [4] - Cardiovascular revenue from Entresto totaled $2.36 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $2.34 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 24.2% [4] - Established Brands revenue from Galvus Group was $123 million, below the average estimate of $131 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 18% [4] - Established Brands revenue from Exforge Group was $191 million, exceeding the average estimate of $172.31 million, with a year-over-year increase of 7.3% [4] - Kymriah in Established Brands generated $99 million, closely matching the average estimate of $99.32 million, with a year-over-year decline of 12.4% [4] Stock Performance - Novartis shares returned +2.1% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.2% change, with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) indicating potential for near-term outperformance [3]
Exploring Analyst Estimates for Novartis (NVS) Q2 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:16
Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Novartis will report quarterly earnings of $2.38 per share, reflecting a 20.8% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $14.04 billion, a 9% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Revenue Estimates - Revenues from Solid Tumors for Tafinlar + Mekinist are estimated at $570.15 million, indicating a 9% increase year-over-year [4]. - Other revenues are projected to be $407.49 million, suggesting a 13.2% year-over-year increase [4]. - Revenues from Solid Tumors for Kisqali are expected to reach $1.09 billion, reflecting a significant 52.6% increase from the prior-year quarter [4]. - Hematology revenues from Promacta/Revolade are estimated at $545.35 million, showing a slight increase of 0.3% year-over-year [5]. - Hematology revenues from Tasigna in the US are projected at $221.75 million, indicating a decrease of 3.6% from the prior-year quarter [5]. - Revenues from Immunology for Cosentyx in the US are expected to be $993.18 million, reflecting a 14.4% year-over-year increase [6]. - Cardiovascular revenues from Entresto in the US are projected to reach $1.19 billion, indicating a 26% increase from the prior-year quarter [6]. - Revenues from Solid Tumors for Tafinlar + Mekinist in the ROW are estimated at $348.88 million, suggesting an 8.7% year-over-year increase [7]. - Immunology revenues for Cosentyx in the ROW are expected to be $740.74 million, reflecting a 12.6% year-over-year increase [8]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Novartis shares have returned +1.3%, compared to a +4% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [8]. - Novartis currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential outperformance in the near future [8].