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Think Rivian Stock Is Expensive? These 3 Charts Might Change Your Mind.
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-10 10:00
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is one of the most exciting electric car stocks today. Over the next few years, its growth should explode higher thanks to the introduction of new, lower-priced models. But if you think the market is already pricing in this growth, think again. Rivian stock is far cheaper than you might suspect.Rivian's financials are about to improve greatlyNext year, everything will change for Rivian. That's because the company's new, lower priced R2 model is expected to begin production in early ...
1 Surprising Reason Rivian Stock Is a Buy in 2025
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-25 10:18
Core Viewpoint - Rivian is expected to experience significant sales growth starting in 2026, driven by the introduction of new, more affordable vehicle models, which could enhance the company's stock price and financial performance [1][4][9]. Group 1: Sales Growth Expectations - Rivian's sales have struggled in recent years, with minimal growth since the end of 2023 due to weak consumer confidence and a limited vehicle lineup [2][3]. - Analysts predict a sales growth of only 5.3% in 2025, but this is expected to surge to 40.5% in 2026 as new models are introduced [4]. - The upcoming R2 model, priced under $50,000, is anticipated to be the first of three new models that will cater to a broader market [7][8]. Group 2: Financial Metrics and Profitability - Rivian has achieved positive gross margins for the first time, indicating improved financial sustainability despite still operating at a net loss [11]. - The introduction of new models is expected to significantly enhance profit metrics by increasing sales volume and reducing manufacturing costs [12]. - The R2, R3, and R3X models will be built on a different platform, allowing for cost-saving measures that will also benefit the existing R1 lineup [13][14]. Group 3: Market Challenges and Opportunities - The company faces challenges in bringing new vehicles to market, which can be a lengthy and costly process [15]. - Potential loss of government incentives for electric vehicles could impact demand, but the new models are still projected to drive significant sales growth in 2026 [15].
Better Electric Vehicle (EV) Stock: Lucid Group vs. Rivian
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-15 11:45
Group 1: Market Overview - Demand for electric vehicles (EVs) is expected to surge globally, with significant growth anticipated in the U.S., which is the primary market for Lucid Group and Rivian Automotive [1] - Lucid Group is projected to be one of the fastest-growing EV makers, with a forecasted 73% sales growth this year and 96% growth expected in 2026 [2] Group 2: Company Performance - Lucid's growth is driven by the introduction of new models, particularly the new Gravity SUV, which diversifies its lineup and is expected to boost sales in 2025 and 2026 [4] - Rivian is expected to grow sales by only 5% this year, but growth is projected to increase to approximately 40% in 2026 [2] Group 3: Financial Position - Lucid has less than $1.9 billion in cash, raising concerns about its ability to produce new affordable models [6][10] - Rivian, in contrast, has nearly $4.7 billion in cash and has achieved positive gross margins over the past two quarters, indicating a stronger financial position [12] Group 4: Product Development - Rivian's upcoming mass-market vehicles (R2, R3, and R3X) are further along in development, with production of the R2 expected to start in the first half of 2026 at a starting price of around $45,000 [11] - Lucid's plans for affordable models remain vague, and the company needs to raise significant capital to bring these vehicles to market [10] Group 5: Investment Outlook - While Lucid is currently growing faster, Rivian is viewed as the better investment option for the next few years due to its stronger financial position and more advanced product pipeline [13]
Trump's Bill Would End EV Subsidies: Is Rivian in Trouble?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-14 20:05
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive is poised for significant growth with plans to produce three new affordable electric vehicles (EVs) starting in early 2026, which could enhance its market position similar to Tesla's success with affordable models [1][4]. Group 1: Growth Potential - The introduction of affordable EVs priced under $50,000 is a crucial milestone that could attract millions of new buyers, similar to the impact seen with Tesla's Model Y and Model 3 [1][3]. - Rivian is on track to begin production of the R2, R3, and R3X models, with full production expected by 2027 or 2028, supported by $4.7 billion in cash and a partnership with Volkswagen [4][5]. Group 2: Impact of EV Tax Credits - A proposed bill by President Trump to cut federal EV tax credits could increase the cost of EVs by $4,000 to $7,500, potentially reducing demand in the short term [2][7]. - Despite the potential elimination of tax credits, Rivian's financial position allows it to reach its growth catalyst, making its vehicles more affordable even without incentives [5][9]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Rivian is already profitable on a gross margin basis, unlike competitors such as Lucid Group, which may face financial challenges if tax incentives are removed [9]. - The absence of affordable EVs from most North American automakers could provide Rivian with a competitive advantage, especially if competitors struggle to bring their models to market [8][10].
Where Will Rivian Be in 10 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-07 12:15
Core Insights - Rivian Automotive is poised for significant growth with the upcoming launch of three new mass-market vehicles, expected to begin shipments in early 2026, which will target the mid-sized SUV market and be priced under $50,000 [3][4][5] - The company’s future value may be driven more by its software development than by vehicle introductions, with a focus on creating a proprietary software stack that could outperform competitors at a lower cost [6][8][9] Vehicle Launches - The R2 model is anticipated to launch first, with initial deliveries expected in early 2026, while the R3 and R3X models are projected to ramp up production in late 2026 or 2027 [4][5] - The introduction of these models is seen as a potential game-changer for Rivian, similar to how Tesla's Model Y and Model 3 significantly impacted its sales [5] Software Development - Rivian's partnership with Volkswagen, which could involve up to $5 billion in investment, is crucial for scaling its mass-market models and emphasizes the importance of software in the automotive industry [7][9] - Rivian claims its software architecture can deliver better performance at 25% to 40% lower costs compared to existing systems, which could enhance its competitive edge [8] Future Outlook - By 2035, Rivian could emerge as a leading software provider in the automotive industry, particularly for manufacturers lacking their own technology stacks [10] - The company has achieved positive gross margins in recent quarters, indicating a potential path to becoming a household name like Tesla, driven by both hardware and software innovations [9]
Prediction: Rivian Stock Is a Buy Before Aug. 5
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-31 08:05
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive's stock has surged by approximately 40% recently, and there are strong reasons for investors to consider buying shares before the upcoming earnings call, expected around August 5 [1] Group 1: Growth Potential - Rivian has faced sluggish sales growth in recent years, primarily due to market saturation with its two existing models, the R1T and R1S, which have high price points nearing $100,000 [2] - The company is set to launch three new models (R2, R3, and R3X) next year, all priced under $50,000, which is expected to significantly expand its addressable market and unlock millions of potential buyers [3] - Analysts project a modest 5% sales growth in 2025, increasing to 41% in 2026, with potential for explosive revenue growth starting in 2027 as production scales [3] Group 2: Profitability Improvement - Rivian achieved a positive gross margin by the end of last year, with further improvements noted in the most recent quarter, aligning its profitability levels with those of Tesla [4] - Achieving scale is crucial for profitability in the electric vehicle sector, as higher sales volumes allow for fixed costs to be spread over more units, potentially leading to significant operating leverage if Rivian's new models perform well [5] Group 3: Valuation Considerations - Rivian's current stock valuation is considered attractive, trading at just 3.3 times sales, compared to Tesla at 12.5 times and Lucid Group at 8 times, despite Rivian's slower sales growth in recent years [7][8] - The anticipated launch of new models and subsequent sales growth and profitability improvements are expected to lead to a higher market valuation for Rivian in the future [8]
Where Will Rivian Be in 3 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-17 11:00
It's been a rough few years for Rivian Automotive (RIVN 3.37%) investors. After debuting to great fanfare in 2021, shares have lost nearly 90% of their value. Right now, compared to other electric vehicle stocks like Tesla and Lucid Group, Rivian stock looks very cheap. And yet the next few years could generate some of the biggest sales growth the company has ever seen.Could this be your chance to buy an impressive growth stock before the market prices in this growth? Yes, but there is one risk you'll want ...
1 Way Rivian Can Spark Stagnating Sales
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-05 10:15
Investors knew 2025 could be a slow year for Rivian Automotive (RIVN 0.51%). The company's next vehicle launch, the highly anticipated R2, won't hit roads until 2026, and the company lacks any real visible catalysts. The good news for investors is that the automaker is finally gearing up to do a big marketing push, and it should provide a boost to stagnating sales.What's going on?Rivian's customers are passionate and invested in the brand, even though it's a relatively small player in the electric vehicle ( ...
2 Millionaire-Maker Electric Vehicle (EV) Stocks
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-30 22:00
There's no doubt that investors can make millions of dollars by investing in electric car stocks. Just ask long-term holders of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA). Despite heavy ups and downs over the years, shares are up by more than 22,000% since 2010.Looking for the next Tesla? The two EV stocks below are for you.This EV maker should double its sales in 2025If you're looking for EV stocks with huge growth potential, start with Lucid Group (LCID -2.15%). Compared to the other stocks on this list, Lucid is growing the f ...
Here's Why Rivian Stock Is a Buy Before May 6
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-26 18:23
Core Viewpoint - Rivian's stock presents a buying opportunity ahead of its earnings report on May 6, as shares have declined over 10% this year, yet growth estimates are improving and shares are trading at low valuations [1][5]. Group 1: Current Valuation and Market Position - Rivian's current valuation reflects its position in the long-term growth journey, with its initial luxury models, R1S and R1T, priced over $100,000, helping to establish a manufacturing base and reputation for quality [2][3]. - Rivian achieved a perfect five out of five rating for customer satisfaction from Consumer Reports, highlighting its strong market presence [2]. Group 2: Future Growth Potential - The company plans to introduce three new models (R2, R3, and R3X) priced under $50,000, targeting a broader customer base, with the R2 expected to debut in 2026 [3][4]. - Analysts project that Rivian's sales growth may be slow or negative in the near term due to the delayed introduction of affordable vehicles, which could impact short-term growth projections [4]. Group 3: Investment Timing and Strategy - Buying Rivian shares before the earnings report could secure a favorable valuation, as the company is expected to provide more clarity on the launch timeline of its mass-market vehicles, potentially leading to revised growth estimates [5][9]. - The long-term growth potential of Rivian is significant, but the timing of news regarding new models may introduce volatility in the stock price [9].