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The Next Big Thing: 2 AI-Powered Healthcare Stocks Ready to Explode
The Motley Foolยท 2025-08-23 08:00
Core Insights - The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is significantly impacting various industries, with healthcare being one of the sectors that is beginning to adopt AI technologies [1][2][3] Group 1: AI in Healthcare - Despite the slow adoption of AI in healthcare, there are promising opportunities for investors as companies begin to commercialize AI solutions [3] - Recursion Pharmaceuticals has developed Recursion OS, a platform that utilizes 36 petabytes of biological and chemical data to virtually test drug potentials at a fraction of the cost of traditional clinical trials [7][9] - Tempus AI offers practical AI solutions for caregivers, helping with disease diagnosis, clinical trial suggestions, and treatment efficacy predictions, which enhances patient outcomes [15][16] Group 2: Company Performance - Recursion Pharmaceuticals reported a revenue of just under $34 million in the first half of the year, with a net loss of $374 million, but analysts expect revenue to triple by 2027 while halving losses [11][12] - Tempus AI generated $693 million in revenue last year, reflecting a 30% year-over-year growth, and is projected to become profitable by fiscal 2027 as it continues to grow [14][18]
Recursion(RXRX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended the quarter with a strong cash balance of $533 million, reflecting effective expense management and cash inflows from partnerships and tax credits [43][44]. - The expected cash burn for 2026 is projected to be 35% less than previous estimates, demonstrating a commitment to operational efficiency [44]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is advancing a pipeline of internal programs in oncology and rare diseases, alongside collaborations with partners like Roche, Sanofi, Bayer, and Merck KGA [8][12]. - The ClinTech platform is being deployed across all programs, enhancing patient stratification and trial execution, with potential for 50% faster enrollment at high-quality sites [6][7]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is leveraging proprietary datasets and AI to enhance drug discovery and clinical trial design, which is expected to improve the quality and speed of bringing medicines to market [9][12]. - The partnership with Sanofi has achieved multiple milestones, indicating strong collaboration in challenging therapeutic areas [40][68]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a comprehensive drug discovery platform, integrating various data layers to enhance the probability of success in drug development [47][81]. - The Recursion OS 2.0 platform aims to bring unique biological insights and new targets to the clinic, emphasizing high-quality programs that address unmet medical needs [47][48]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting a catalyst-packed calendar with multiple readouts expected in the coming quarters [48]. - The company is committed to maintaining high standards of quality while advancing its innovative platforms and partnerships [46][47]. Other Important Information - The company has made significant advancements in AI-driven drug design and patient connectivity, which are expected to enhance the efficiency of clinical trials [17][19]. - The integration of the ClinTech platform is anticipated to streamline operations and improve patient outcomes in clinical trials [6][7]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Is Bolts 2 the initiative with a major partner on foundational protein structure modeling? - Yes, Bolts 2 is the partnership mentioned earlier, aimed at enhancing protein structure modeling [49]. Question: Why open source versus keeping it internal? - The company believes in commoditizing certain technologies to foster collaboration while retaining proprietary tools that provide a competitive advantage [50]. Question: What standard of care is allowed in the CDK7 combo expansion cohort in ovarian cancer? - The standard of care will include single-agent chemotherapy plus Bevacizumab, with median progression-free survival (PFS) around 6.7 months [53]. Question: Will multiomic profiling dictate patient enrollment in future studies for RBM 39? - Yes, the multiomic approach will help identify relevant patient populations for enrollment based on biological insights [56][58]. Question: What is the differentiation of RBM 39 compared to other CDK targeting assets? - RBM 39 is not a kinase and offers selectivity advantages over similar targets like CDK 12 and CDK 13, which have challenges in selectivity [62][63]. Question: What is the threshold for success in the upcoming FAP data readout? - The company is looking for meaningful improvement in polyp burden reduction compared to existing off-label therapies [65]. Question: Can you provide details on the $7 million milestone achieved under the Sanofi collaboration? - The milestone was achieved for a challenging target in the immunology space, reflecting progress in the partnership [68].
Recursion(RXRX) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended the quarter with a strong cash balance of $533 million, reflecting effective expense management and cash inflows from partnerships and tax credits [42][43] - Expected cash burn in 2026 is projected to be 35% less than the previous year, demonstrating a commitment to operational efficiency [43] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is advancing a pipeline of internal programs in oncology and rare diseases, alongside collaborations with partners like Roche, Sanofi, Bayer, and Merck KGA [7][39] - The ClinTech platform is being deployed across all programs, enhancing patient stratification and trial execution, with projections for 50% faster enrollment at high-quality sites [6][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is leveraging proprietary datasets and AI to enhance drug discovery and development, with significant advancements in partnerships and internal programs [11][39] - The partnership with Sanofi achieved its fourth milestone, indicating progress in challenging targets within immunology and oncology [39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The focus is on building a comprehensive drug discovery platform, Recursion OS 2.0, integrating various data sources and technologies to improve the efficiency and success rate of drug development [46][47] - The company aims to bring unique biological insights and new targets to the clinic faster and at lower costs, emphasizing the importance of high-quality programs [8][47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting a catalyst-packed calendar with multiple readouts expected in the coming quarters [48] - The company is committed to maintaining a high bar for quality while exploring innovative approaches to drug discovery and development [46][47] Other Important Information - The company is actively working on a virtual cell model to predict cellular responses to various interventions, which could significantly enhance drug discovery efforts [78][80] - The integration of AI and multiomic data is central to the company's strategy, allowing for more precise patient targeting and drug design [16][57] Q&A Session Summary Question: Is Bolts two the initiative with a major partner on foundational protein structure modeling? - Yes, Bolts two is the partnership mentioned earlier, aimed at enhancing protein structure modeling [49] Question: Why open source versus keeping it internal? - The company believes in commoditizing certain technologies while retaining proprietary tools that provide a competitive advantage [50] Question: For the CDK7 combo expansion cohort in ovarian cancer, what standard of care are you allowing in the trial? - The standard of care will include single-agent chemotherapy plus Bevacizumab, with a median PFS of about 6.7 months [52][53] Question: Do you expect the data from multiomic profiling for RBM 39 to dictate future patient enrollment? - Yes, the data will help select patients for future studies, focusing on those with specific biomarkers [55][57] Question: What is the differentiation of RBM 39 compared to other CDK targeting assets? - RBM 39 is not a kinase and offers selectivity advantages over similar targets like CDK 12 and CDK 13 [61] Question: What visibility do you have on the potential $100 million in milestones by 2026? - The guidance is based on existing partnerships and programs, with probability-weighted estimates for milestone achievements [70][71] Question: How does the company plan to achieve its cash runway guidance through Q4 2027? - The company is focused on cash flows, managing expenses efficiently, and executing existing partnerships to ensure a sustainable cash runway [72][75] Question: What ambitious initiatives are being planned to reflect the next level of thinking? - The company is investing in large-scale compute initiatives and developing a virtual cell model to enhance drug discovery capabilities [78][80]
Recursion Reports Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Provides Business Update
Globenewswireยท 2025-08-05 10:30
Core Insights - Recursion reported a $7 million milestone achievement with Sanofi, reflecting progress in their partnered discovery programs and overall business momentum [3][4][11] - The company is advancing multiple clinical programs, including REC-1245 and REC-617, targeting various cancer indications and leveraging advanced AI models for drug discovery [3][4][5] Business Highlights - **Partnerships**: Recursion has established collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies such as Sanofi, Roche, Genentech, Bayer, and Merck KGaA, focusing on oncology and immunology [4][10][13] - **Clinical Programs**: The company is actively developing several programs, including REC-1245 (RBM39) and REC-617 (CDK7), with ongoing trials aimed at identifying responsive patient populations [5][8][20] - **Financial Performance**: Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $19.2 million, up from $14.4 million in Q2 2024, while R&D expenses increased significantly to $128.6 million due to new collaborations and operational expansions [20][21] Pipeline Updates - **REC-1245 (RBM39)**: This potential first-in-class oral degrader is currently in a Phase 1/2 trial, targeting tumors with replication stress and DNA repair vulnerabilities [5][8] - **REC-617 (CDK7)**: The company initiated a combination dose escalation trial in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, showing promising early safety and efficacy signals [8][20] - **Other Programs**: Additional programs like REC-102 for hypophosphatasia and REC-4881 for familial adenomatous polyposis are also in development, with various milestones expected in the coming years [8][20] Financial Position - As of June 30, 2025, Recursion had cash and cash equivalents of $533.8 million, down from $603.0 million at the end of 2024, indicating a strong cash runway into Q4 2027 [11][15] - The net loss for Q2 2025 was $171.9 million, compared to a net loss of $97.5 million in Q2 2024, primarily driven by increased R&D and G&A expenses [20][21]
The Median Retirement Savings for American Households Is $87,000. Here Are 3 Incredible Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for Decades.
The Motley Foolยท 2025-07-26 22:14
Core Insights - Americans are likely not saving enough for a comfortable retirement, with the median retirement savings at $87,000 as of 2022, indicating a significant portion of the population is underprepared [1][2] Group 1: Recursion Pharmaceuticals - Recursion Pharmaceuticals has developed an AI-powered platform that can virtually test drugs, significantly reducing the time and cost associated with traditional clinical trials, leveraging 36 petabytes of data [5][6] - The technology is already being utilized by major pharmaceutical companies like Roche and Sanofi, which enhances its credibility and market potential [6] - The company is currently unprofitable but is expected to reach a turning point in revenue and profitability, with the AI drug-development industry projected to grow at an annualized rate of nearly 32% through 2030 [8] Group 2: Shopify - Shopify enables businesses to create their own e-commerce platforms, facilitating $292.3 billion in sales in the previous year, a 24% increase year-over-year [11][14] - The global retail market is still largely untapped online, with only about 20% of spending occurring through e-commerce, indicating significant growth potential for Shopify [13][14] - Analysts predict Shopify will achieve approximately 20% top-line growth over the next three years, reflecting its strong market position [14] Group 3: Nio - Nio, a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer, delivered 72,056 cars in Q2, marking a nearly 26% increase from the previous year, showcasing its production growth [16][20] - The electric vehicle market in China is thriving, with sales increasing by 25% to 1.1 million units last month, representing over half of the country's total automobile sales [17][19] - The International Energy Agency forecasts that EVs will account for 80% of China's car sales by 2030, supported by favorable policies, indicating a robust growth trajectory for Nio [19][20]
RXRX vs. RLAY: Which Precision Biotech Stock is a Better Bet Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-25 16:36
Core Insights - Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) and Relay Therapeutics (RLAY) are utilizing artificial intelligence (AI) to innovate drug discovery across various disease areas, positioning themselves as leaders in the AI-driven biotech sector [1][2] Group 1: Drug Discovery and Development - Traditional biotech companies face high costs and failure rates due to a "trial-and-error" approach, leading to financial instability [2] - AI models can identify promising drug candidates with higher success probabilities, reducing research costs and improving efficiency [3] - Both companies generate additional revenue by licensing their AI platforms, allowing them to refine their models even when clinical candidates fail [4] Group 2: Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) - RXRX employs its AI-driven platform, Recursion OS, developed with NVIDIA, to test clinical compounds against a virtual library of human biology [5] - The company faced setbacks after discontinuing three key drug candidates but is now focusing on more promising candidates like REC-4881, which showed a 43% reduction in polyp burden in early phase II data [6][7] - RXRX has expanded its pipeline by acquiring Rallybio's stake in a joint venture for developing REV102, a potential first oral treatment for hypophosphatasia [8] - The company ended Q1 2025 with a cash balance of $509 million, expected to sustain operations into mid-2027 [9] - RXRX has collaboration agreements with major pharmaceutical companies, generating $15 million in collaboration revenues in Q1 2025, a slight increase from the previous year [10] Group 3: Relay Therapeutics (RLAY) - RLAY utilizes its proprietary Dynamo platform to target difficult protein targets, focusing on small-molecule therapies for oncology and genetic diseases [12] - The company has a narrower pipeline and implemented cost-cutting measures, reducing research costs by 80% and workforce by approximately 70 people [13] - RLAY ended Q1 2025 with a cash balance of $710.3 million, expected to fund operations into 2029 [13] - The company is preparing to initiate a phase III study for its lead candidate, RLY-2608, for metastatic breast cancer [14] - RLAY entered a licensing agreement with Elevar Therapeutics for lirafugratinib, allowing it to receive milestone payments and royalties [15] - The termination of a partnership with Roche has limited RLAY's revenue streams, as it no longer receives collaboration payments from Roche [16][17] Group 4: Financial Estimates and Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RXRX's 2025 revenues implies a 16% year-over-year improvement, while the loss per share estimate has widened slightly [18] - RLAY's 2025 revenue estimate suggests a 91% year-over-year improvement, but the loss per share estimate has also widened [21] - Year-to-date, RXRX's stock has decreased by 7.4%, while RLAY's stock has declined by 10.7%, compared to a 2% decline in the industry [23] Group 5: Valuation Comparison - RXRX is trading at 2.73 times its book value, while RLAY is at 0.88 times, making RLAY more attractive from a valuation perspective [25] - Both companies are trading below their respective five-year averages, indicating potential investment opportunities [25] Group 6: Competitive Landscape - RXRX and RLAY face competition from other biotech firms and tech-driven drug discovery companies, which may challenge their market position [29] - Despite challenges, both companies have the potential to revolutionize drug discovery and deliver breakthrough therapies at lower costs [30]
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Rises 6% in a Month: How to Play the Stock
ZACKSยท 2025-07-17 16:31
Core Insights - Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) has seen a 5.5% increase in stock price over the past month following the acquisition of Rallybio's full stake in their joint venture for developing REV102, a treatment for hypophosphatasia (HPP) [1][2][6] - The acquisition allows RXRX to independently advance the program, with a total payment of $25 million to Rallybio, including upfront and contingent equity [2] - Despite a significant setback in May 2025, where the company discontinued three key drug candidates, RXRX retains a robust pipeline and $509 million in cash, which is expected to sustain operations into mid-2027 [3][12][13] Company Strategy - RXRX aims to revolutionize drug discovery by leveraging AI-powered models to identify promising clinical candidates, potentially reducing research costs and improving efficiency [9][10] - The company is focusing on developing candidates like REC-4881 for familial adenomatous polyposis and REC-1245 for solid tumors, with data readouts expected in the coming years [12][13] - RXRX has ongoing collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies, which could enhance its pipeline and revenue potential [14] Market Position - RXRX's stock has underperformed compared to the industry and the S&P 500, with a year-to-date decline of 20.3% [4][5] - The company is trading at a discount to the industry, with a price-to-book value ratio of 2.35 compared to the industry average of 3.08 [17] - Loss estimates for 2025 remain constant at $1.34 per share, while estimates for 2026 have narrowed from $1.17 to $1.08 [21] Future Outlook - The successful development and approval of RXRX's pipeline candidates could validate its AI platform and significantly enhance shareholder value [25] - The recent volatility in RXRX's stock is viewed as temporary, with potential for multi-bagger returns as clinical studies progress [26] - The company's discounted valuation presents an attractive entry point for new investors looking to capitalize on long-term growth potential [26]
RXRX Stock Up on Acquiring Full Rights to the Hypophosphatasia Program
ZACKSยท 2025-07-09 17:01
Core Insights - Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) shares increased by 8.7% following the announcement of acquiring Rallybio's (RLYB) full interest in their joint venture for developing REV102, a treatment for hypophosphatasia (HPP) [2][4] Company Developments - The acquisition allows Recursion Pharmaceuticals to independently accelerate the development of REV102, potentially the first oral, disease-modifying therapy for HPP [4][6] - RXRX will pay $7.5 million upfront and an additional $12.5 million contingent upon further preclinical studies, along with a $5 million milestone payment upon the initiation of dosing in an early-stage clinical study [7][8] - The REV102 program is expected to begin phase I studies in late 2026, with initial preclinical data showing a favorable safety profile [6][10] Market Context - Year-to-date, RXRX shares have declined by 20.7%, contrasting with a 2.9% decline in the industry [5] - The acquisition has strengthened Rallybio's balance sheet, extending its cash runway into mid-2027, leading to a 50.2% increase in Rallybio's shares [8] Treatment Potential - REV102 targets ENPP1, aiming to restore the balance of PPi for proper bone mineralization, addressing the underlying cause of HPP [9][11] - The treatment could provide a more accessible and cost-effective long-term option for over 7,800 diagnosed patients in the U.S. and EU, improving patient convenience and quality of life compared to current enzyme replacement therapies [11][13]
What's Happening With RXRX Stock?
Forbesยท 2025-07-08 11:10
Core Insights - Recursion Pharmaceuticals has seen a 27% decline in share price year-to-date and is trading over 55% below its 52-week high of $12, yet it continues to attract interest due to its innovative AI-driven drug discovery approach [2] - The company's primary asset, Recursion OS, utilizes automation and machine learning to enhance drug discovery, potentially accelerating the development process significantly [3] - Recursion OS has commercial potential beyond the company's own projects, as it can be licensed to other pharmaceutical firms, with existing partnerships with Roche and Genentech [4] Financial Performance - Over the past four quarters, Recursion reported a net loss of $575 million, resulting in a net margin of -961%, and an operating cash flow of -$389 million, corresponding to a margin of -650% [5] - Despite operational losses, the company maintains a strong financial position with low debt of $93 million against a market capitalization of $2.1 billion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.4% [6] - Recursion has $500 million in cash and cash equivalents, representing 38.3% of its total assets of $1.3 billion, providing a solid runway for ongoing operations [6] Growth Potential - Recursion's revenue primarily comes from collaboration agreements with pharmaceutical partners, which validate its AI-driven platform and provide immediate financial support [7] - The merger with Exscientia has resulted in a combined pipeline with projected peak sales potential exceeding $1 billion, highlighting the long-term revenue potential for investors [8][9] - The licensing of Recursion OS could serve as an additional revenue source, enhancing the company's financial outlook [9]
Exscientia (EXAI) Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-04 11:32
Transaction Overview - Recursion and Exscientia are combining to bring better medicines to patients more rapidly and cost efficiently[11] - Exscientia shareholders will receive 0.7729 shares of Recursion Class A common stock for each Exscientia ordinary share[27] - Recursion shareholders will own approximately 74% of the combined company, while Exscientia shareholders will own approximately 26%[27] - The transaction is expected to close by early 2025, subject to shareholder approvals and closing conditions[27] Financial Synergies and Cash Position - The combined company will have approximately $850 million in cash as of the end of Q2 2024[11, 27] - Estimated annual synergies of $100 million or more are expected[11, 27] - The pro forma combined financial plans are expected to extend the cash runway into 2027[27] Pipeline and Partnerships - The combined company anticipates approximately 10 clinical readouts over the next 18 months[11, 12, 14] - Current partnerships have the potential for over $200 million in milestone payments over the next 2 years[11, 18] - The combined company has the potential for over $20 billion in total revenue before royalties from partners[18] - CDK4/6 inhibitors generated $11 billion in sales in 2023[31]