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科伦博泰生物-B(06990):公司信息更新报告:sac-TMT商业化进展顺利,期待医保谈判后加速放量
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-23 08:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company's core product, sac-TMT (Lukangshatuo monoclonal antibody), is showing strong commercialization progress, contributing significantly to sales revenue [6][7] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027, expecting revenues of 17.53 billion, 28.67 billion, and 48.64 billion respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on sales growth [6] - The company is preparing for multiple data disclosures at the ESMO conference in 2025, which could serve as potential catalysts for growth [8] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 950 million, a year-on-year decrease of 31.3%, primarily due to high milestone payments recognized in the same period of 2024 [6] - The net loss attributable to the parent company was 145 million, with an adjusted net loss of 69 million [6] - The sales revenue from pharmaceuticals reached 309.8 million, with sac-TMT accounting for 97.6% of total pharmaceutical sales [7] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The company expects a revenue decline of 9.3% in 2025, followed by significant growth of 63.5% in 2026 and 69.7% in 2027 [9] - The projected net profit for 2027 is expected to reach 1,049 million, indicating a turnaround from losses in previous years [9] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 56.7, 34.6, and 20.4 respectively [9] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratios for the same years are expected to be 37.3, 40.7, and 28.3 [9]