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Banking giant sets new S&P 500 price target
Finbold· 2026-02-03 14:50
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America has raised its expectations for U.S. equities, indicating a potential 12% price gain for the S&P 500 over the next year, suggesting a constructive outlook for stocks despite strong sentiment [1]. Group 1: Sell Side Indicator - The Sell Side Indicator, which reflects the average equity allocation recommended by Wall Street strategists, has increased slightly in January, reaching its most optimistic level since March 2025 [2]. - The indicator continues to signal bullishness under Bank of America's contrarian approach, which is most positive when strategists are cautious and most negative during extreme optimism [3]. Group 2: Market Conditions - Although strategist positioning is approaching caution levels, it remains below historical thresholds associated with major market peaks, indicating resilience in January's market performance [4]. - The S&P 500 finished January higher despite a mid-month pullback due to geopolitical concerns, reflecting the market's resilience [4]. Group 3: Fundamentals and Earnings - Supportive fundamentals are noted, with steady equity exposure from strategists indicating confidence in corporate earnings [5]. - Early results from the current reporting season show no downward revisions to 2026 profit expectations, with consensus forecasts predicting double-digit earnings growth for the next year [5]. - Corporate commentary suggests robust confidence, with signs of weakening demand becoming less frequent [5].