Workflow
Semiconductor chips (7nm
icon
Search documents
Taiwan Semiconductor to Report Q4 Earnings: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-12 14:46
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $2.76, reflecting a 23.2% year-over-year increase [1][8]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is $2.76 per share, revised upward by 4 cents in the past week [1]. - TSM anticipates revenues between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, with the consensus estimate at $32.63 billion, indicating a 21.4% increase from the previous year [2]. Earnings History - TSM has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters, with an average beat of 6.3% [3]. Market Position and Demand Drivers - The company is benefiting from a robust industry rebound, particularly due to the growing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) applications, which has significantly influenced semiconductor demand [6]. - TSM's leadership in advanced chip technologies, including 7nm, 5nm, and 3nm processes, has been crucial for its growth, particularly in high-demand sectors [7][9]. Technological Advancements - TSM's innovative 3nm Fin Field-Effect Transistor (FinFET) technology is a key growth driver, especially in high-performance computing (HPC) and smartphone markets [9]. - The company's investments in next-generation technologies are expected to support continued growth and market leadership [7]. Geopolitical and Operational Challenges - Rising operational costs from overseas expansions in Arizona, Japan, and Germany are likely to impact gross margins negatively [11][21]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, pose risks to TSM's revenue growth due to potential export restrictions and supply chain disruptions [20]. Stock Performance and Valuation - TSM shares have appreciated 60.7% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's 29.8% rise [12]. - Currently, TSM trades at a forward 12-month P/E of 27.88, which is a premium compared to the sector average of 26.38 [13]. Investment Outlook - Despite TSM's strong position in the semiconductor industry and its exposure to AI demand, short-term headwinds and geopolitical issues suggest a cautious investment stance [22][23].