Summary of CR Micro (688396.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: CR Micro (688396.SS) - **Industry**: Semiconductor, specifically Power Semiconductors Key Points Industry Dynamics - Management sees an improving supply/demand relationship in power semiconductors, with high levels of utilization reported [1] - Positive outlook for the China semiconductor supply chain, driven by demand recovery in industrial and new energy sectors, as well as new demand from AI and computing [1] Company Performance and Strategy - CR Micro is ramping up 12-inch wafer capacities in Shenzhen and plans to increase capacities in Chongqing and 6-inch SiC in the future [2] - Current utilization rates: 6-inch and 8-inch capacities are fully utilized; 12-inch line in Chongqing is fully loaded with wafer-in, while output is still ramping up [2] - Pricing adjustments: CR Micro has increased pricing on IGBT in October 2025 and is negotiating further price increases with customers [2] - Products for AI server applications yield higher margins compared to general products, with plans to introduce DrMOS products for AI servers this year [2] Financial Outlook - Target price set at Rmb37.46 based on a P/E ratio of 34.0x for 2026E, which is within CR Micro's historical trading range [3] - Current market cap is Rmb84.8 billion ($12.2 billion) with projected revenues increasing from Rmb10,118.5 million in 2024 to Rmb13,634.4 million by 2027 [9] Risks and Considerations - Key risks include better-than-expected average selling price (ASP) trends for MOSFET, IGBT, and SiC; faster-than-expected new design wins and market share gains; and fewer entrants in the IGBT/SiC space, which could reduce competition [4] Valuation Metrics - Current price is Rmb64.09, indicating a downside potential of 41.5% to the target price [9] - Earnings per share (EPS) projections show growth from Rmb0.58 in 2024 to Rmb1.29 in 2027 [9] - P/E ratios are projected to decrease from 72.3x in 2024 to 49.5x in 2026 [9] Additional Insights - Management's positive view aligns with broader industry trends, suggesting potential for growth despite current valuation concerns [1][2] - The competitive landscape in power semiconductors remains a critical factor for CR Micro's future performance [1][4]

Summary of the Status of the Power Electronics Industry 2025 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Power Electronics Industry**, providing insights into market forecasts, technology trends, and supply chain dynamics from 2024 to 2030 [19][21][24]. Key Market Insights - The power device market is projected to grow at a **CAGR of 8.7%**, reaching **$43.3 billion** by 2030, up from **$26.2 billion** in 2024 [24][79]. - Despite the overall growth, the market faced turbulence in 2024 due to **overcapacity** and high inventory levels, leading to a decline in revenues for many companies [75][93]. - The **Automotive & Mobility** sector remains the largest market segment, expected to grow at a **CAGR of 12.5%** from 2024 to 2030 [80]. Technology Trends - **Silicon MOSFETs** continue to dominate the market, but **SiC** and **GaN** technologies are gaining traction due to their efficiency and power density [81][88]. - The shift towards **higher voltage devices** is notable, with increasing demand for **1,200V** and **2.X kV** classes [91]. - Innovations in packaging and cooling technologies are enhancing the performance of power modules, with a trend towards **"module-on-cooler"** designs [91]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The report highlights a significant **shift in market shares** towards Chinese manufacturers, with companies like **CRMicro**, **Silan**, **BYD**, and **CRRC** entering the Top 20 power device suppliers [82][83]. - **Geopolitical tensions** and local protectionism are reshaping supply chain strategies, with companies focusing on **vertical integration** and **local manufacturing** [77][86]. - The **Top 20 power device suppliers** are expected to see significant changes by 2025, with increasing competition from Chinese firms [86]. Market Challenges - The industry is facing challenges such as **high inventory levels**, **price erosion**, and increased competition from Chinese manufacturers, which have led to layoffs and project delays among major players [44][120][121]. - The **SiC** market has experienced significant price drops, affecting margins and revenues, particularly in the automotive segment [97]. Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the need for companies to adapt their strategies to remain competitive, focusing on **cost-competitiveness**, **multisourcing**, and **diversification** beyond automotive applications [86]. - There is an anticipated increase in **mergers and acquisitions** as companies seek to strengthen their market positions [86]. Conclusion - The **Power Electronics Industry** is poised for growth despite current challenges, driven by demand in sectors such as **electric mobility**, **renewable energy**, and **industrial applications** [93]. The ongoing evolution in technology and supply chain dynamics will play a crucial role in shaping the future landscape of the industry [88][93].