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Is Cisco Stock's 4.42X PS Still Worth it? Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 17:10
Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares are currently trading at a premium with a Value Score of D, reflecting a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.45X, which is higher than the Zacks Computer Networks industry's 4.16X but lower than Arista Networks (18.19X) and Broadcom (21.43X) [1][4][18] Stock Performance - Year-to-date (YTD), CSCO shares have appreciated by 13.8%, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector (15.9%) and peers Broadcom (46.1%) and Arista Networks (28.4%) [4][7] - Since the fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results were reported on August 13, CSCO shares have dropped by 4.4%, attributed to slowing momentum in networking revenues, which grew by 12% year-over-year to $7.63 billion [5][6] Growth Drivers - AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers reached $2 billion in fiscal 2025, doubling management's forecast, with over $800 million in orders reported in the fourth quarter [7][9] - Cisco's partnership with NVIDIA is expected to enhance AI capabilities, integrating Cisco Nexus switches with NVIDIA's Spectrum-X architecture for improved networking solutions [11][12] - Networking product orders have shown double-digit growth for four consecutive quarters, driven by demand in webscale infrastructure, switching, enterprise routing, and industrial IoT [13] Security Business - Cisco's security business is experiencing strong demand, with mid-single-digit growth in orders for Cisco Secure Access, Hypershield, and XDR, and a reported 14% year-over-year growth in new logos for Splunk [14] Financial Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Cisco expects revenues between $59 billion and $60 billion, up from $56.7 billion in fiscal 2025, with non-GAAP earnings projected between $4.00 and $4.06 per share [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $56.58 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.2%, while earnings are expected to grow by 6% to $4.04 per share [17] Market Position - Cisco's expanding portfolio and focus on AI and security position the company for sustained growth in a changing tech landscape, despite facing challenges from stretched valuations and competitive pressures [18][19]
Cisco Drops 6% Post Q4 Results: Time to Buy CSCO Shares on the Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 16:51
Core Insights - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares have declined 6% following the fiscal Q4 2025 results, primarily due to slowing momentum in networking revenues, which grew 12% year over year to $7.63 billion [1][8] - The decline in stock price presents a potential buying opportunity for investors, especially considering Cisco's strong momentum in AI [1] Financial Performance - In fiscal Q4 2025, AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million, leading to total revenues of $2 billion for fiscal 2025, which is double the management's original expectations [2] - Annual Recurring Revenues (ARR) reached $31.1 billion, up 5%, with product ARR growing by 8%. Total subscription revenues increased 3% year over year to $7.9 billion, accounting for 54% of total revenues [3] - Total Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) increased 6% year over year to $43.5 billion, with product RPO growing 8% [3] Market Position and Comparisons - Year to date, CSCO shares have appreciated 11.8%, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which has appreciated 13.7%, and peers Broadcom (AVGO) and Arista Networks (ANET), which have appreciated 32.1% and 24.2%, respectively [4] - Cisco's shares are trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.65X, compared to the industry average of 4.14X, but are trading at a discount compared to Arista Networks and Broadcom [15][18] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, Cisco expects revenues between $59 billion and $60 billion, an increase from $56.7 billion in fiscal 2025, with projected non-GAAP earnings per share between $4 and $4.06 [8][13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $56.58 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.2%, while the consensus for earnings is $4.02 per share, reflecting a growth of 5.5% [14] Strategic Initiatives - Cisco's aggressive push into AI and its growing security business are significant growth drivers, with strong demand for products like Cisco Secure Access and XDR [9][11] - The partnership with NVIDIA is expected to enhance Cisco's AI capabilities, offering solutions for AI-ready data center networks [12] Investment Outlook - An expanding portfolio positions Cisco for sustained growth in the evolving tech landscape, particularly in AI and security [21] - Cisco currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable investment opportunity for accumulation [21]