Summary of Certara Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Certara - **Industry**: Pharmaceutical services supply chain, focusing on biosimulation and regulatory services Key Points Q3 Results and Market Reaction - Certara experienced a slowdown in bookings at the end of Q3, which alarmed the market [4] - The company had lower-than-expected bookings, particularly in the regulatory business, which has been volatile [5] - Despite the slowdown, Certara reported strong results with tier three biotech clients, indicating a successful strategy focusing on venture capital companies [4][6] Regulatory Business Review - The regulatory business has been under strategic review for over a year due to volatility and current disruptions at the FDA [8] - Certara expects the regulatory environment to stabilize by 2026, but the business is not considered strategically important as it once was [9][11] Biosimulation and Market Trends - Certara holds a leadership position in biosimulation, benefiting from FDA initiatives to reduce animal testing [12][15] - The company is seeing increased interest in biosimulation from clients, particularly in monoclonal antibody development [13][14] - Certara's QSP (Quantitative Systems Pharmacology) business is growing, with the launch of Certara IQ aimed at becoming a standard software product in the market [35] Service Bookings and Client Dynamics - Tier three services have been strong, while tier one clients showed a slowdown in service bookings [20] - Certara has focused on financial sponsors and larger VCs to stabilize its client base [21] - The company has a large backlog of work, indicating potential for future growth as the market recovers [22] Pricing Environment - The current pricing environment is weaker, with mid-single-digit pricing increases on software products being tempered [24] - Certara is prioritizing the growth of biosimulation usage over immediate price increases [24] Product Development and Innovation - Certara has expanded its software offerings, including new versions of Simcyp targeted at preclinical and formulation scientists [28][29] - The company is evolving its software portfolio into a cloud-based platform, with plans for further integration and AI enhancements by 2026 [39][41] Economic and Regulatory Pressures - Certara faces hesitancy from clients to spend due to uncertainties in the regulatory environment and macroeconomic factors [44] - Despite these challenges, there is a long-term trend towards increased interest in modeling as a cost-effective solution in pharma [45][46] Conclusion - Certara is navigating a complex environment with both challenges and opportunities, particularly in biosimulation and regulatory services, while maintaining a strong pipeline and backlog of work [22][23]

Core Insights - Certara reported Q2 FY2025 earnings with GAAP revenue of $104.6 million, slightly exceeding analyst expectations, but non-GAAP EPS missed consensus by $0.03 [1][2] - The company experienced double-digit top-line growth primarily driven by its software segment, while the bottom line faced ongoing pressure [1][4] - GAAP net losses narrowed significantly year over year, indicating improved financial performance despite challenges in profitability [1][2] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 GAAP revenue was $104.6 million, a 12% increase from $93.3 million in Q2 2024 [2] - Non-GAAP EPS was $0.07, unchanged from the previous year, but below the estimate of $0.10 [2] - Adjusted EBITDA rose 21% year over year to $31.9 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 30% [2][8] - GAAP net income showed a loss of $2.0 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $12.6 million in Q2 2024, reflecting an 84.1% year-over-year reduction in losses [2] Business Segments - The software segment generated $46.7 million in revenue, marking a 22.3% increase from $38.2 million in Q2 2024, driven by organic sales and the acquisition of Chemaxon [2][5] - The services segment saw slower growth, with GAAP revenue up only 5%, but bookings increased by 15%, indicating potential future revenue growth [6][7] - The Non-Animal Navigator solution received strong interest, with over 400 webinar attendees, although its financial impact is expected to take time [6] Strategic Focus - Certara is focused on expanding its AI and machine learning capabilities within its software suite and integrating new technologies through acquisitions [4][9] - The company has made 21 acquisitions since 2013, enhancing its technology and global reach, serving over 2,400 biopharmaceutical companies [10] - Certara's tools have contributed to a majority of new drug approvals by the FDA, positioning the company favorably as regulatory standards evolve [11] Future Outlook - For FY2025, Certara targets revenue of $415–$425 million, adjusted EBITDA margins of 30–32%, and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.42–$0.46, indicating expected growth in the high single digits [13] - Management noted steady demand for biosimulation and increasing interest in model-informed solutions, while emphasizing the need for improvement in the services segment [13][14]