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Is SNOW Stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell After a 19% Decline in Three Months?
ZACKS· 2026-03-09 18:10
Core Insights - Snowflake (SNOW) shares have declined by 18.9% over the past three months, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software industry, which fell by 6.7% and 11.5% respectively [1][8] Financial Performance - The company's free cash flow margin faced a 150-basis-point headwind in Q4 FY26 due to the Observe acquisition, alongside concerns regarding stiff competition [2] - In Q4 FY26, Snowflake achieved a net revenue retention rate of 125% and added 740 net new customers, marking a 40% year-over-year increase [5][8] - The company expects Q1 FY27 product revenues to be between $1.262 billion and $1.267 billion, indicating approximately 27% year-over-year growth [8][13] Product and Innovation - Snowflake launched over 430 product capabilities in 2026, including Snowflake Intelligence and Cortex Code, enhancing platform usability and scalability [6] - Snowflake Intelligence has been adopted by over 2,500 accounts within three months of its launch, while Cortex Code has been embraced by more than 4,400 customers [7] Partnerships and Market Strategy - The partnership with Alphabet's Google Cloud has been expanded to improve product integration and market strategy, allowing enterprises to build generative AI applications securely [10][11] - In fiscal 2026, Snowflake signed its largest deal ever, worth over $400 million, along with seven additional nine-figure contracts, reflecting strong customer confidence in its AI strategy [11] Competitive Landscape - Snowflake faces stiff competition from major players like Amazon and Oracle, both of which are expanding their AI capabilities [15] - Amazon's AWS custom chips business has a combined annual revenue run rate exceeding $10 billion, growing at triple-digit percentages year over year [17] Valuation - Snowflake shares are currently considered overvalued, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 10.25X compared to the Internet Software industry's 4.03X [18]
Snowflake vs. Samsara: Which Cloud Data Stock Has an Edge Now?
ZACKS· 2026-02-26 18:51
Core Insights - Snowflake (SNOW) and Samsara (IOT) are significant players in the cloud data and analytics sector, with Snowflake focusing on cloud data warehousing and analytics, while Samsara offers industrial IoT and cloud solutions for optimizing physical operations [1][2] Market Overview - The global cloud computing market was valued at $781.27 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $2904.52 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 15.7% from 2026 to 2034, benefiting both Snowflake and Samsara [2] Snowflake (SNOW) Performance - Snowflake's net revenue retention rate was 125% in Q4 of fiscal 2026, with 740 net new customers added, marking a 40% year-over-year increase [3] - The company launched over 430 product capabilities in 2026, enhancing usability and scalability [4] - AI-driven products like Snowflake Intelligence and Cortex Code have seen rapid adoption, with Snowflake Intelligence adopted by over 2,500 accounts within three months of launch [5] - Snowflake signed its largest deal ever worth over $400 million, reflecting strong customer confidence in its AI strategy [6] Samsara (IOT) Performance - Samsara is experiencing growth through its Connected AI Platform and IoT devices, adding 219 new customers with over $100K ARR, totaling 2,990 [7] - The number of customers with over $1 million ARR increased by 17, now totaling 164, contributing to over 20% of total ARR [7] - Samsara's platform supports various AI-driven features that enhance customer engagement and operational efficiency [8][10] Competitive Landscape - Both companies are competing in the rapidly growing cloud data market, with Snowflake showing strong net retention and significant AI momentum, while Samsara is expanding its customer base and delivering strong earnings surprises [9][19] - In the past six months, SNOW shares declined by 15.6%, outperforming IOT's 23.1% drop, attributed to Snowflake's strong partnerships and innovative portfolio [11] - Despite IOT's growth, it faces challenges from longer sales cycles and competition [12] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - SNOW shares are trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 9.97X, while IOT is at 8.16X, indicating that both are currently overvalued [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SNOW's fiscal 2027 earnings is $1.61 per share, a 34.25% year-over-year increase, while IOT's estimate for fiscal 2026 is 57 cents per share, a 12.89% increase [18] Conclusion - Both Snowflake and Samsara are well-positioned to benefit from the growing cloud computing market, but Samsara currently appears to offer more compelling upside due to its expanding customer base and strong AI-driven product adoption [20]
Snowflake(SNOW) - 2026 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-25 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product revenue in Q4 grew 30% year-over-year to reach $1.23 billion [8] - Remaining performance obligations totaled $9.77 billion, with year-over-year growth accelerating to 42% [8] - Net revenue retention was at a healthy 125% [8] - Fiscal 2026 non-GAAP operating margin reached 10.5%, expanding more than 400 basis points year-over-year [8][9] - Stock-based compensation declined from 41% of revenue in fiscal 2025 to 34% in fiscal 2026, with expectations to further decrease to 27% in fiscal 2027 [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company added 2,332 net new customers this year, bringing the total to over 13,300 [9] - 740 net new customers were added in Q4, up 40% year-over-year [21] - 733 customers are now spending more than $1 million on a trailing-twelve-month basis, growing 27% year-over-year [21] - A record number of customers crossed $10 million in trailing-twelve-month spend, totaling 56 customers, growing 56% year-over-year [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed the largest deal in its history, greater than $400 million in total contract value, and signed 7 nine-figure contracts in Q4 [20] - The AI product offerings have seen significant adoption, with over 9,100 accounts using AI by the end of the quarter [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is positioned at the center of the enterprise AI revolution, focusing on delivering a platform that combines trusted enterprise data with AI capabilities [5][6] - The acquisition of Observe is expected to unlock new expansion opportunities within the customer base and is reflected in the company's outlook [22] - The company aims to continue innovating rapidly, having launched over 430 product capabilities this year [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of growth, citing stable growth in the core business and increasing contributions from AI workloads [30] - The company anticipates product revenue growth of approximately 27% year-over-year for FY 2027, with expectations for non-GAAP operating margin to reach 12.5% [24] - Management emphasized the importance of delivering value to customers and maintaining a predictable consumption model to avoid "sticker shock" [59] Other Important Information - The company is focused on operational efficiency, with AI driving improvements in service delivery and project margins [16] - The integration of observability with data and AI products is expected to enhance operational reliability and reduce complexity [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Durability of 27% growth guidance for FY 2027 - Management indicated that the guidance is based on observed customer behavior and stable growth in the core business, along with contributions from AI workloads [30] Question: Momentum with areas outside the core business - Management highlighted that products like Snowflake Intelligence are major growth drivers, with significant customer adoption [31] Question: Details on the $400 million deal - The deal was with an existing customer and reflects trust in the company's product roadmap and AI strategy [39] Question: Changes in sales strategy under new leadership - Management noted positive influences from the new sales leadership and excitement about product offerings, particularly Cortex Code [45] Question: Observability market and acquisition rationale - Management explained that the acquisition of Observe is a natural extension of their role as a data platform, providing significant efficiency improvements for customers [54] Question: Managing customer consumption and pricing predictability - Management is implementing features to provide price predictability while maintaining a consumption-based model [59] Question: Platform usage predictability compared to last year - Management stated that they have sophisticated systems for consumption prediction and are continuously improving their models [78]
Snowflake(SNOW) - 2026 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-25 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product revenue in Q4 grew 30% year-over-year to reach $1.23 billion [8] - Remaining performance obligations totaled $9.77 billion, with year-over-year growth accelerating to 42% [8] - Net revenue retention was at a healthy 125% [8] - Fiscal 2026 non-GAAP operating margin reached 10.5%, expanding more than 400 basis points year-over-year [8][9] - Stock-based compensation declined from 41% of revenue in fiscal 2025 to 34% in fiscal 2026, with expectations to further decrease to 27% in fiscal 2027 [9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company added 2,332 net new customers this year, totaling over 13,300 customers [9] - 740 net new customers were added in Q4, up 40% year-over-year [21] - 733 customers are now spending more than $1 million on a trailing-twelve-month basis, growing 27% year-over-year [21] - A record number of customers crossed $10 million in trailing-twelve-month spend, totaling 56 customers, growing 56% year-over-year [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed the largest deal in its history, greater than $400 million in total contract value, and signed 7 nine-figure contracts in Q4 [20] - The AI product offerings have seen significant adoption, with over 9,100 accounts using AI by the end of the quarter [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is positioned at the center of the enterprise AI revolution, focusing on delivering a platform that combines trusted enterprise data with AI capabilities [5][6] - The acquisition of Observe is expected to unlock new expansion opportunities within the customer base and is reflected in the company's outlook [22] - The company aims to continue innovating rapidly, having launched over 430 product capabilities this year [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in sustaining growth around 27% for fiscal year 2027, driven by stable growth in the core business and contributions from AI workloads [30][24] - The company is focused on ensuring stability and ongoing excellence in its go-to-market strategy [23] - Management highlighted the transformative impact of AI on their business and customer operations, emphasizing the importance of Snowflake Intelligence and Cortex Code [31][12] Other Important Information - The company plans to host an Investor Day in conjunction with its Summit conference in June [24] - The company is working on features to provide price predictability for customers using Snowflake Intelligence, including a per-user cap [59] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Durability of 27% growth guidance for fiscal year 2027 - The guidance is based on observed customer behavior and reflects high, stable growth in the core business and growing contributions from AI workloads [30] Question: Momentum with areas of the business outside of the core - Products like Snowflake Intelligence are seen as major growth drivers, with significant customer adoption [31] Question: Description of the $400 million deal and sustainable drivers for bookings - The $400 million deal was with an existing customer, indicating trust in the company's product roadmap and AI strategy [39] Question: Observability market and integration of Observe - The observability market is large, and integrating Observe is expected to provide significant value to Snowflake customers [54] Question: Managing customer consumption and potential sticker shock - The company is focused on providing predictable pricing models and ensuring that products deliver value immediately [58]
Snowflake(SNOW) - 2026 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-25 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Product revenue in Q4 grew 30% year-over-year to reach $1.23 billion [6] - Remaining performance obligations totaled $9.77 billion, with year-over-year growth accelerating to 42% [6] - Net revenue retention was at a healthy 125% [6] - Fiscal 2026 non-GAAP operating margin reached 10.5%, expanding more than 400 basis points year-over-year [6][7] - Stock-based compensation declined from 41% of revenue in fiscal 2025 to 34% in fiscal 2026, expected to further decrease to 27% in fiscal 2027 [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company added 2,332 net new customers this year, bringing the total to over 13,300 [7] - 740 net new customers were added in Q4, up 40% year-over-year [18] - 733 customers are now spending more than $1 million on a trailing-twelve-month basis, growing 27% year-over-year [18] - A record number of customers crossed $10 million in trailing-twelve-month spend, totaling 56 customers, growing 56% year-over-year [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed the largest deal in its history, greater than $400 million in total contract value, and signed 7 nine-figure contracts in Q4 [17] - The total number of accounts using AI increased to over 9,100, with Snowflake Intelligence scaling to over 2,500 accounts, almost doubling quarter-over-quarter [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is positioned at the center of the enterprise AI revolution, focusing on delivering a data foundation for enterprises across clouds and data types [4] - The acquisition of Observe is expected to unlock new expansion opportunities within the customer base and extend the company's value proposition in the $50 billion IT operations market [12][19] - The company aims to drive both growth and operating margin expansion while investing in key growth drivers [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of the 27% growth forecast for fiscal year 2027, driven by stable growth in the core business and contributions from AI workloads [25][27] - The company anticipates continued strength in its core business and further growth in AI workloads, with a non-GAAP product gross margin of 75% expected for FY 2027 [22] - Management highlighted the transformative impact of AI on operations and customer workflows, emphasizing the importance of Snowflake Intelligence and Cortex Code [14][15] Other Important Information - The company launched over 430 product capabilities this year, underscoring its product velocity [11] - The partnership with OpenAI and Google Cloud is expected to enhance the company's offerings by integrating advanced AI models into its platform [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Durability of 27% growth forecast for FY 2027 - Management indicated that the guidance is based on observed customer behavior and stable growth in the core business, with contributions from AI workloads and the Observe acquisition [27][28] Question: Momentum with areas outside the core business - Management noted that products like Snowflake Intelligence are major growth drivers, with significant customer adoption and transformative capabilities [28] Question: Details on the $400 million deal - The deal was with an existing customer and reflects the trust in Snowflake's product roadmap and AI strategy [35][36] Question: Changes in sales strategy under new leadership - Management highlighted the excitement within the sales team regarding new products and the positive influence of the new sales leadership [41] Question: Observability market and acquisition rationale - Management emphasized the importance of observability in AI and the efficiency gains offered by the Observe acquisition, which was built on Snowflake [49] Question: Managing customer consumption and pricing predictability - Management discussed the importance of predictable pricing models and plans to introduce features like per-user caps to mitigate consumption risks [54] Question: Platform usage and predictability compared to last year - Management expressed confidence in their ability to model business consumption and highlighted improvements in predictability [71][73]
Snowflake Unveils Cortex Code, An AI Coding Agent That Drastically Increases Productivity by Understanding Your Enterprise Data Context
Businesswire· 2026-02-03 08:05
Core Insights - Snowflake has launched Cortex Code, an AI coding agent designed to enhance productivity by understanding enterprise data context, enabling faster development of data pipelines, analytics, and AI applications [1][2] - Cortex Code is part of the Snowflake Cortex AI product suite, which aims to integrate AI into the development lifecycle, ensuring security and governance while simplifying complex tasks [1][2] Group 1: Product Features - Cortex Code provides secure, context-aware coding assistance, allowing users to build solutions quickly and efficiently within their preferred environments [1][2] - The tool is customizable and interoperable, designed to fit seamlessly into existing workflows and support the entire development lifecycle from design to operations [1][2] - New capabilities include vibe coding for AI apps and collaborative development environments, enhancing the overall user experience [1][2] Group 2: Customer Impact - Customers like Braze, Decile, and LendingTree report significant improvements in their ability to move from experimentation to production, thanks to Cortex Code's context-aware capabilities [2] - Users have noted that Cortex Code aligns naturally with their existing workflows, reducing friction in data and AI development while maintaining necessary controls [2] - The integration of real-time web knowledge through Brave Search enhances the functionality of Cortex Code, allowing for better market trend analysis and documentation retrieval [2]
Snowflake Makes Enterprise Data AI-Ready With Snowflake Postgres and Advanced Innovations for Open Data Interoperability
Businesswire· 2026-02-03 08:01
Core Insights - Snowflake is enhancing its platform to make enterprise data AI-ready, focusing on interoperability, governance, and resilience to support AI deployment in real-world applications [1] Group 1: Snowflake Postgres and Data Integration - Snowflake Postgres will unify transactional, analytical, and AI capabilities on a single platform, allowing enterprises to reduce data silos and complex data pipelines [1] - Leading companies like BlueCloud and Sigma Computing are adopting Snowflake Postgres to streamline their data architectures and enhance AI and analytics capabilities [1] - The integration of pg_lake allows enterprises to manage and query Apache Iceberg tables using standard SQL within a familiar Postgres environment, eliminating costly data movement [1] Group 2: Data Governance and Resilience - Snowflake is enhancing data protection features, including Snowflake Backups, to ensure business-critical data is resilient against disruptions and regulatory requirements [1] - The platform supports seamless data collaboration across open formats, extending its zero-ETL sharing model to include formats like Apache Iceberg and Delta Lake [1] - Snowflake Horizon Catalog enables customers to enforce governance policies across different engines, facilitating secure access to data stored in Apache Iceberg tables [1] Group 3: Partnership with OpenAI - Snowflake has entered a multi-year, $200 million partnership with OpenAI to co-innovate and develop AI agents for global enterprises, enhancing the value derived from proprietary data [2]
Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold SNOW Stock Before Q3 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 17:52
Core Insights - Snowflake (SNOW) is expected to report third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on December 3, with earnings estimated at 31 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 55% and revenues projected at $1.18 billion, indicating a 25.39% increase from the previous year [1][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The consensus estimate for product revenues in Q3 fiscal 2026 is between $1.125 billion and $1.13 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 25% to 26% [5][9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for customers with trailing 12-month product revenues greater than $1 million is currently at 686, suggesting a 26.5% increase year-over-year [6]. Group 2: Customer Growth and Retention - Snowflake's net revenue retention rate stands at 125%, with a 19% year-over-year growth in the number of customers, reaching 12,062 [3]. - The company added 533 net new customers in Q2, marking a 21% increase year-over-year [4]. Group 3: AI and Technological Advancements - Snowflake has launched approximately 250 new capabilities in the first half of fiscal 2026, enhancing data management and AI-driven insights [14]. - Nearly 50% of new customer logos in Q2 were influenced by AI, with 25% of deployed use cases involving AI [16]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships - Snowflake's strong partner base includes major companies like SAP, Microsoft, AWS, and NVIDIA, which has significantly contributed to its growth [18]. - The collaboration with NVIDIA enhances Snowflake's machine learning capabilities, allowing for improved data science workflows [19]. Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - Snowflake shares have appreciated 62.7% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software industry [7]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 15.6X, indicating a stretched valuation compared to the industry average of 4.87X [11].
Prediction: 1 Growth Stock Set to Bounce Next Year
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-26 18:45
Core Insights - Investing in stocks with improving fundamentals and increasing exposure to enterprise AI is a smart strategy for long-term investors [1] - Snowflake's shares have gained nearly 60% in 2025 but remain 39% below their peak in November 2021 [1][2] Company Evolution - Snowflake has transitioned from a data warehousing company to an AI-powered data platform, positioning itself as a vital layer in the AI ecosystem [2] - The company’s revenue model is based on platform usage, which aligns interests but can lead to revenue volatility [4] Financial Performance - In Q2 of fiscal 2026, Snowflake's revenue increased by 32% year over year to $1.1 billion, with remaining performance obligations rising by 33% to $6.9 billion [7][8] - The company is not yet profitable on a GAAP basis but has shown a decline in losses, with a non-GAAP operating margin improvement of six percentage points to 11% [8] Customer Growth and AI Integration - Snowflake's AI Data Cloud is utilized by over 12,000 customers, including major technology enterprises [9] - The company added 533 customers in Q2, including 15 Global 2000 companies, and has 654 high-value customers contributing over $1 million [10] Innovations and Features - New features like Snowflake Intelligence and Cortex AI SQL enhance data management and insights generation [11][12] - Snowflake OpenFlow targets the $17 billion data integration market, enabling seamless data handling [14] Market Position and Valuation - Snowflake's shares trade at 20.4 times sales, justified by its critical role in AI infrastructure [17] - Analysts project revenue growth of 27.1% to $4.6 billion in fiscal 2026 and 23.8% to $5.7 billion in fiscal 2027 [19] Future Outlook - The partnership with Palantir Technology enhances data interoperability and accelerates enterprise AI development [18] - Analysts expect significant market capitalization growth, potentially reaching $116.28 billion by the end of fiscal 2027, indicating a 38% gain [20]
Snowflake vs. Amazon: Which Cloud Data Stock Has an Edge Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-06 18:21
Core Insights - Snowflake (SNOW) and Amazon (AMZN) are significant players in the cloud data and analytics market, with Snowflake focusing on cloud data warehousing and analytics, while Amazon offers solutions through AWS, including Amazon Redshift and SageMaker [1][2] Market Overview - The global cloud analytics market was valued at $35.39 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $130.63 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 25.5% from 2025 to 2030, indicating strong growth potential for both Snowflake and Amazon [2] Snowflake (SNOW) Performance - Snowflake reported a net revenue retention rate of 125% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with a 19% year-over-year increase in customer count, reaching 12,062 [3][11] - The company launched around 250 new capabilities in the first half of fiscal 2026, enhancing data management and AI-driven insights [4] - Recent launches include Cortex AI for Financial Services, allowing secure deployment of AI models within Snowflake's AI Data Cloud [5] - Collaborations with OpenAI, Anthropic, and Microsoft Azure have expanded Snowflake's reach, with Azure showing 40% year-over-year growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026 [6] Amazon (AMZN) Performance - Amazon's AWS reported revenues of $30.9 billion in Q2 of 2025, a 17.5% year-over-year increase, with a strong demand for cloud services driven by enterprise migration to the cloud [8][11] - AWS has secured agreements with major companies like PepsiCo and Airbnb, indicating robust enterprise adoption [9] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, SNOW shares have increased by 52.3%, outperforming AMZN's 0.1% increase, driven by Snowflake's strong portfolio and expanding partnerships [12] - Both stocks are considered overvalued, with SNOW trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 15.04X compared to AMZN's 3.07X [14] - Earnings estimates show SNOW's fiscal 2026 earnings at $1.17 per share (40.96% increase year-over-year) and AMZN's 2025 earnings at $6.76 per share (22.24% increase year-over-year) [17] Conclusion - Both Snowflake and Amazon are well-positioned to benefit from the growing cloud data and analytics market, but Amazon's diversified AWS ecosystem and strong revenue growth provide a more sustainable growth edge [18]