Soybeans futures are trading with 12 to 13 cent gains in the nearbys on Wednesday.  The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price is 13 1/4 cents lower at $9.95. Soymeal futures are down 40 to 70 cents, with Soy Oil futures 141 to 144 points higher. In an interview late on Tuesday, US Trade Rep Greer stated there is a chance that he and secretary Bessent meet with Chinese counterparts before April when President Trump is expected to meet with President XI. More News from Barchart Rains are expected i ...

Last week was not bad for corn (ZCH26) and soybean (ZSH26) futures bulls, as prices consolidated most of the week after last Monday’s good gains. Corn futures remain in the middle of a choppy and sideways trading range, but that could change starting today. Soybeans have made a solid rebound from the early January low, with winter wheat futures (ZWH26) (KEH26) markets bulls also showing some strength last week. www.barchart.com www.barchart.com www.barchart.com www.barchart.com Today’s midday USDA sup ...

Soybean futures slipped back on Friday with front months 3 to 4 ½ cents lower, as January was 9 ½ cents higher. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price was 4 cents higher at $9.88 1/2. Soymeal futures were down 50 cents to $1/ton, as January held onto a $6.10 gain this week. Soy Oil futures were down 30 to 35 points, with January up 82 points on the week. Little news was from the government as they pushed back reports due to the holiday declared for today. The next Export Sales release for the wee ...

Soybean futures are coming out of the Christmas holiday, with contracts down 4 to 6 cents at midday. The cmdtyView national average Cash Bean price is 5 3/4 cents higher at $9.86. Soymeal futures are steady, with most contracts 50 cents within unchanged, as Soy Oil futures are down 37 points. Reports from the government are pushed back due to the holiday declared for today. The next Export Sales release for the week ending on 12/18 will be out next Wednesday. More News from Barchart USDA has export sal ...

Trade Agreements and Market Reactions - The Trump administration is considering withdrawing from the USMCA, causing uncertainty in North American trade [2][3] - Soybean futures dropped 0.93% to 1,109.04 USd/Bu, influenced by USMCA concerns and China's slow soybean purchase commitments [3] - Agricultural groups are advocating for a 16-year extension of USMCA to stabilize markets [2] Regulatory Environment and Corporate Impact - The European Commission fined Elon Musk's X €120 million ($140 million) for breaching online content rules, potentially provoking U.S. tariff threats [4] - Alphabet faced a €2.95 billion ($3.44 billion) fine in September, which led to a 4% decline in its stock price [4] - Analysts warn that tariffs could negatively impact multinational earnings and increase production costs for domestic importers [5] Economic Policies and Market Performance - The Trump administration's rollback of fuel economy standards positively affected automakers like GM, Ford, and Stellantis, with stock gains of less than 2% for GM and Ford, and 4% for Stellantis [6][7] - The DRC–Rwanda Peace & Mining Agreement could generate annual revenue streams of $2.5-4.2 billion for U.S. companies, despite concerns over local benefits [8] Market Overview - On December 5, 2025, the U.S. stock market showed modest gains, with the S&P 500 nearing its all-time high, attributed to lower-than-expected inflation and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts [9][10] - European markets were mixed, while Asian markets displayed caution, indicating global investor uncertainty [10]

Market Trends - Soybean futures in Chicago experienced a rise for the third consecutive session [1] - Speculation surrounds a potential meeting between US President Donald Trump and China's President Xi Jinping in the coming weeks [1]

The corn market was under pressure in sympathy with the beans and other some outside pressure on Friday. Contracts closed down 4 to 5 ¼ cents, with December 6 cents lower this week. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was down a nickel at $3.71 3/4. The average close for December futures so far this month has been $4.19. The whole month average price is used to determine the harvest price for crop insurance. More News from Barchart Spillover pressure was noted from sharp losses in soybean fut ...

Core Insights - Soybean futures prices have been in a significant downtrend since February 2022, following a retest of the all-time high price of 1789'0 set in September 2012 [1] Market Volatility - Market volatility tends to increase when trading at or near all-time highs, with the average daily range for November soybeans currently around 15'0 per day or $750 [2] - Traders often seek to reduce risk through various instruments, such as options and spread trading, with the November calendar spread of 2025/2026 showing an average daily range of 5'0 per day or $250, indicating reduced volatility [2] Calendar Spread Strategy - The November Soybean 2025/2026 calendar spread involves buying 2026 November soybean futures while simultaneously selling 2025 November soybean futures, anticipating a wider price difference between the contracts [3] - This strategy allows traders to profit from the relationship between different delivery months of the same commodity, rather than speculating on the outright direction of soybean prices [3] Rationale Behind the Strategy - The calendar spread is a bullish strategy on the spread itself, where the profit driver is the price difference between the two contracts [4] - By trading the spread, traders reduce their exposure to overall price movements in soybeans, as losses on the long 2026 contract may be offset by gains on the short 2025 contract if the spread moves as anticipated [4]

Group 1 - The U.S. is expected to see very large and possibly record-high corn and soybean production this fall, impacting grain futures markets [1] - An Allendale crop survey estimates the average U.S. corn yield at 187.5 bushels per acre, with total production at 16.631 billion bushels, and soybean yield at 53.3 bushels per acre, with production at 4.268 billion bushels [2] - The USDA will update its corn and soybean production estimates in its monthly supply and demand (WASDE) report [2] Group 2 - December soybean meal futures recently dropped to a four-week low, indicating potential volatility in grain prices [5] - December corn futures reached a six-week high before retreating, suggesting ongoing interest from traders [6] - The direction of grain futures markets may depend on the relative strength of corn prices compared to soybean meal prices [7] Group 3 - Despite some profit-taking, the corn futures market shows resilience, indicating a potential uptrend [9] - Increased harvest pressure and commercial hedge selling in the coming weeks may limit upside potential in corn futures prices [9]

Market Trends - Soybean futures reached the highest intraday level since July 3 [1] - US Department of Agriculture's surprisingly large supply cut helped shake up the market [1]