Key Takeaways Viasat outperforms AST SpaceMobile in valuation, growth stability, and overall stock performance.VSAT's ViaSat-3 platform boosts bandwidth, global reach, and supports rising IFC and ARPU growth.ASTS expands LEO network with BlueBird satellites but faces rising costs and competitive pressure.AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) and Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) are two leading communications services providers aiming to deliver global connectivity via satellites. AST SpaceMobile is building the world’s first and ...

FOURTH QUARTER 2025 BUSINESS UPDATE March 2, 2026 NASDAQ: ASTS Forward Looking Statements This communication contains "forward-looking statements" that are not historical facts, and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results of AST SpaceMobile to differ materially from those expected and projected. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the words "believes," "estimates," "anticipates," "expects," "intends," "plans," "may," ...

Core Viewpoint - AST SpaceMobile's shares are experiencing downward pressure primarily due to a $1 billion convertible notes deal and broader market sentiment influenced by potential SpaceX IPO discussions [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Developments - The company expects net proceeds of approximately $983.7 million from the convertible notes, which could rise to about $1.13 billion if the option is exercised [2]. - Proceeds will be allocated for general corporate purposes, including accelerating global spectrum deployment, investing in U.S. government space opportunities, reducing higher-interest debt, and making opportunistic investments related to its SpaceMobile Service buildout [2]. Group 2: Stock Performance - AST SpaceMobile shares are currently trading 20.7% below their 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and 11.7% below their 50-day SMA, indicating short-term weakness [4]. - The stock has increased by 154.92% over the past 12 months, positioning it closer to its 52-week highs than lows [4]. - The stock is slightly above its 100-day SMA by 0.6%, suggesting some longer-term strength [4]. Group 3: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43.88, indicating neutral territory with no immediate overbought or oversold conditions [5]. - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a value of -2.9065, below its signal line at 0.5250, indicating bearish pressure on the stock [5]. - The combination of a neutral RSI and bearish MACD reflects mixed momentum and uncertainty in the stock's performance [5]. Group 4: Upcoming Events - AST SpaceMobile is set to report earnings on March 2 [6]. Group 5: Analyst Consensus - The stock carries a Hold Rating with an average price target of $59.83 [7]. - Recent analyst actions include a downgrade to Neutral by B. Riley Securities, lowering the target to $95.00 [8]. - Key resistance is identified at $93.00 and key support at $69.50, with an EPS estimate of a loss of 19 cents and a revenue estimate of $41.21 million [8].

Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile and Arista Networks are significant players in the communications technology sector, focusing on next-generation connectivity solutions [1][2] - AST SpaceMobile is developing a global cellular broadband network in space, while Arista specializes in high-performance cloud and data center networking infrastructure [1][2] AST SpaceMobile - AST SpaceMobile has launched BlueBird 6, the first of its next-generation satellites, which is 3.5 times larger than previous models and has 10 times the data capacity [4] - The company plans to deploy 45 to 60 satellites by the end of 2026, enhancing its position in the space-based cellular broadband market [4] - AST SpaceMobile's technology is supported by over 3,800 patents, aiming to provide global cellular coverage and eliminate dead zones [5] - Partnerships with major carriers like AT&T and Verizon are helping to expand cellular coverage in the U.S. [6] - The company faces challenges from macroeconomic conditions and competition from firms like SpaceX's Starlink, which may impact its financial performance [7] Arista Networks - Arista offers a wide range of data center and campus Ethernet switches and routers, focusing on high-performance networking for AI and hyperscale computing [2][8] - The company has a strong position in 100-gigabit Ethernet switches and is gaining traction in 200 and 400-gigabit products [9] - Arista's 2.0 strategy is well-received, with over 150 million cumulative ports shipped, and it continues to innovate in cloud networking solutions [10] - Despite steady growth, Arista faces high operating costs and supply chain bottlenecks that may affect margins [12] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AST SpaceMobile's 2026 sales indicates a year-over-year growth of 1,142%, but EPS is expected to decline by 62.1% [13] - In contrast, Arista's 2026 sales are projected to grow by 18.9%, with EPS expected to rise by 10.7% [14] Price Performance & Valuation - Over the past year, AST SpaceMobile's stock has increased by 166.3%, while Arista's has risen by 37.2% [15] - Arista appears more attractive from a valuation perspective, trading at a forward sales ratio of 16.34 compared to AST SpaceMobile's 113.64 [16] Investment Outlook - AST SpaceMobile is currently rated as a Strong Sell, while Arista holds a Hold rating, indicating a preference for Arista as a more stable investment option [18] - Both companies anticipate sales growth in 2026, but AST SpaceMobile's earnings are expected to decline significantly, whereas Arista's earnings are projected to grow modestly [19]

Core Viewpoint - AST SpaceMobile, Inc. has announced a private offering of $1.0 billion in convertible senior notes with a 2.250 percent interest rate, maturing in 2036, indicating a strategic move to raise capital for various corporate initiatives [1][2]. Group 1 - The initial conversion price for the notes is set at approximately $116.30 per share of AST SpaceMobile's Class A common stock [1]. - Proceeds from the offering will be utilized for general corporate purposes, including accelerating the deployment of controlled spectrum bands globally and enhancing investment in government space opportunities in the U.S. [2]. - The company aims to reduce higher interest debt and pursue opportunistic investments to enhance its SpaceMobile Service and capabilities [2]. Group 2 - The settlement of the notes sale to initial purchasers is expected to occur on February 17, 2026 [3]. - In pre-market trading, AST SpaceMobile's stock is down $88.00, reflecting a 9.20 percent decrease on the Nasdaq [3].

Core Viewpoint - AST SpaceMobile has been awarded a contract for the Missile Defense Agency's SHIELD program, which positions the company to deliver innovative capabilities for national security and defense applications [1][2][3] Group 1: Contract and Program Details - The SHIELD program is part of the Golden Dome strategy aimed at providing layered protection against various threats, including air, missile, space, cyber, and hybrid threats [2] - The contract allows AST SpaceMobile to compete for future task orders related to research, development, engineering, prototyping, and operations of critical Missile Defense Agency systems [2][3] Group 2: Company Capabilities and Technology - AST SpaceMobile's technology is characterized by a unique low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellite architecture, which includes the largest commercial phased arrays deployed in LEO, making it scalable and resilient [3] - The company is 95% vertically integrated, with major manufacturing processes under U.S. control, operating nearly 500,000 square feet of facilities and employing around 1,800 people [4] Group 3: Strategic Importance - The award highlights the increasing government interest in resilient, dual-use LEO constellations for integrated national defense, aligning with U.S. policies to leverage commercial space technology for national security [3] - The contract positions AST SpaceMobile to rapidly align its space technology with the needs of the Department of War and other U.S. Government entities [3]

Core Viewpoint - AST SpaceMobile has successfully launched BlueBird 6, marking a significant milestone in the development of the first space-based cellular broadband network accessible by standard smartphones, aimed at both commercial and government applications [1][3]. Group 1: Launch Details - The BlueBird 6 mission was launched on December 23 at 10:25 p.m. EST from the Satish Dhawan Space Centre in India [2]. - BlueBird 6 is now the largest commercial communications array in low Earth orbit, covering nearly 2,400 square feet, which is three times larger than the previous BlueBirds 1-5 [2]. Group 2: Company Vision and Future Plans - The launch of BlueBird 6 is seen as a breakthrough for the company, validating years of innovation and manufacturing in the U.S. and signaling the transition to scaled deployment [3]. - The company plans to launch 45–60 satellites by the end of 2026, with launches scheduled every one to two months [3]. Group 3: Manufacturing and Workforce - BlueBird 6 was assembled and tested at the company's facilities in Midland, Texas, which encompass nearly 500,000 square feet and employ over 1,800 staff [4]. - The company holds over 3,800 patents and patent-pending claims, supporting its technology platform [4]. Group 4: Partnerships and Market Reach - AST SpaceMobile has agreements with over 50 mobile network operators globally, representing nearly 3 billion subscribers combined [5]. - Strategic partnerships include major companies such as AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone, Rakuten, Google, American Tower, Bell, and stc Group [5]. Group 5: Company Mission - The company aims to eliminate connectivity gaps for the five billion mobile subscribers worldwide and provide broadband access to billions who remain unconnected [6].

Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile is developing the first global cellular broadband network in space, accessible by standard smartphones, while IBM focuses on cloud and data solutions for enterprise digital transformation [1][2] AST SpaceMobile - AST SpaceMobile has launched its first five commercial satellites, named Bluebird, which feature the largest commercial communications arrays at 693 square feet, providing non-continuous service across the U.S. with over 5,600 cells in the low-band spectrum [4] - The company plans to deploy 45 to 60 additional satellites by Q1 2026 and holds a portfolio of over 3,650 patents related to direct-to-cell satellite technology [4] - Partnerships with major carriers like AT&T and Verizon aim to enhance cellular coverage and eliminate dead zones in the U.S. [5] - Despite advancements, AST SpaceMobile faces challenges from macroeconomic conditions and competition from companies like SpaceX's Starlink and Globalstar, which may pressure its financial performance [6] IBM - IBM is experiencing strong demand for hybrid cloud and AI solutions, which are expected to drive growth in its Software and Consulting segments [7][8] - The acquisition of HashiCorp has enhanced IBM's capabilities in managing complex cloud environments, complementing its Red Hat portfolio [9] - IBM's sales are projected to grow by 6.8% in 2025, with EPS expected to improve by 10.2%, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates [11][13] - The company faces competition from AWS and Microsoft Azure, which is leading to pricing pressure and margin erosion [10] Performance Comparison - Over the past year, AST SpaceMobile's stock has increased by 112.2%, while IBM's stock has risen by 31.5% [14] - In terms of valuation, IBM's price/sales ratio is 3.97, significantly lower than AST SpaceMobile's 78.47, indicating that IBM may be a more attractive investment option [15] - Both companies are expected to see sales growth in 2025, but AST SpaceMobile's earnings are projected to decline significantly, contrasting with IBM's expected modest growth [18]

THIRD QUARTER 2025 BUSINESS UPDATE This communication contains "forward-looking statements" that are not historical facts, and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results of AST SpaceMobile to differ materially from those expected and projected. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the words "believes," "estimates," "anticipates," "expects," "intends," "plans," "may," "will," "would," "potential," "projects," "predicts," ...

Core Insights - Celestica Inc. (CLS) and AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) are significant players in the technology sector, with Celestica specializing in electronics manufacturing services and AST SpaceMobile focusing on space-based cellular broadband networks [1][2] Group 1: Celestica Inc. (CLS) - Celestica has over two decades of manufacturing experience and offers cloud-optimized data storage and networking solutions, driven by the demand for AI-based applications [4] - The company is diversifying its product offerings and expanding into high-value markets, which enhances business resilience by reducing dependence on a single industry [5] - Despite its strengths, Celestica faces margin pressures due to high research and development costs and stiff competition from industry giants like Foxconn and Flex [6] - Celestica's sales and EPS are expected to grow by 20.6% and 43% year-over-year in 2025, respectively, with a positive trend in EPS estimates [12] - The company has experienced a remarkable stock performance, gaining 424% over the past year, significantly outperforming the sector's growth of 30.1% [15][18] - Celestica's valuation metrics are more attractive, with a price/sales ratio of 2.13 compared to AST SpaceMobile's 69.34 [16] Group 2: AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) - AST SpaceMobile is developing the first global cellular broadband network in space, utilizing a constellation of satellites to provide service directly to smartphones [2][10] - The company has launched five commercial satellites, with plans to deploy 45 to 60 more by Q1 2026, aiming to enhance cellular coverage in areas lacking terrestrial networks [7][10] - AST SpaceMobile's sales are projected to grow by an extraordinary 1,120% in 2025, but its EPS is expected to decline by 48.5% [12] - The company faces challenges from unfavorable macroeconomic conditions and competition from established players like SpaceX's Starlink, which may pressure its financial performance [11] - AST SpaceMobile's stock has gained 29.8% over the past year, but this is significantly lower than Celestica's performance [15]