Ryder System (NYSE:R) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 23, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsRobert Sanchez - Chairman and CEOJohn Diez - President and COOSteve Sensing - President, Supply Chain Solutions and Dedicated Transportation SolutionsCristina Gallo-Aquino - EVP and CFOTom Havens - PresidentJordan Alliger - Managing DirectorCalene Candela - Vice President, Investor RelationsConference Call ParticipantsHarrison Bauer - Research AnalystNone - AnalystBrian Ossenbeck - Managing Director and Senior Equit ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ryder reported operating revenue of $2.6 billion in Q3 2025, up 1% from the prior year, primarily due to contractual revenue growth in Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) and Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) [13] - Comparable earnings per share from continuing operations were $3.57, up 4% from $3.44 in the prior year, reflecting higher contractual earnings and benefits from share repurchases [13] - Return on equity (ROE) was 17%, up from the prior year, driven by higher contractual earnings and share repurchases, partially offset by lower rental demand and used vehicle sales [14] - Year-to-date free cash flow increased to $496 million from $218 million in the prior year due to reduced capital expenditures and lower income tax payments [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fleet Management Solutions operating revenue was in line with the prior year, with pretax earnings of $146 million, up year-over-year due to higher ChoiceLease performance, offset by lower used vehicle sales and rental results [14][15] - Supply Chain operating revenue increased 4%, driven by new business in omni-channel retail, but earnings decreased 8% due to e-commerce network performance and higher medical costs [19] - Dedicated operating revenue decreased 6% due to lower fleet count, but earnings before tax (EBT) was in line with the prior year, reflecting acquisition synergies [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that 93% of its revenue is generated in the U.S., positioning it well to benefit from increased domestic industrial manufacturing [6] - Rental demand was lower than historical seasonal trends, with rental utilization on the power fleet at 70%, down from 71% in the prior year [15] - Used vehicle pricing saw a year-over-year decline of 6% for tractors and 15% for trucks, although sequential pricing for trucks increased by 7% [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Ryder is focused on creating value through operational excellence and investment in customer-centric technology, aiming for earnings growth driven by resilient contractual businesses and strategic initiatives [5][6] - The company expects its transformed business model to deliver ROE in the low to mid-20s when market conditions improve, with over 90% of operating revenue generated by multiyear contracts [7] - A new discretionary $2 billion share repurchase program was authorized, reflecting the company's commitment to disciplined capital allocation [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to outperform prior cycles, citing a strong foundation from its transformed business model [8] - The outlook for 2025 includes a comparable EPS forecast of $12.85 to $13.05, driven by higher contractual earnings and benefits from strategic initiatives [29] - Management acknowledged ongoing headwinds from the freight market downturn but remains optimistic about robust sales and pipeline activity in SCS [29][30] Other Important Information - The company has returned $457 million to shareholders in 2025 through share repurchases and dividends, with a 57% increase in the quarterly dividend since 2021 [9] - The forecast for free cash flow remains unchanged at $900 million to $1 billion, reflecting lower capital expenditures and an estimated annual benefit of $200 million from tax bonus depreciation [10][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of CDL regulations on the business model - Management indicated that tighter driver markets could benefit the dedicated business as companies seek assistance in driver recruitment, with minimal impact expected on the lease side [38][40] Question: Drivers of earnings growth for next year - Management expects contractual earnings growth and strong performance in supply chain to drive revenue and earnings growth, despite muted sales in lease and dedicated due to freight market softness [42][45] Question: Used vehicle pricing and tariffs - Management noted that any price increases would likely be passed through to lease rates, and higher new truck pricing could eventually support used truck prices [52][56] Question: Supply Chain Solutions headwinds - Management acknowledged temporary headwinds in e-commerce network performance but remains optimistic about future growth and margin targets [65][66] Question: Bonus depreciation impact - The bonus depreciation is expected to provide a cash tax benefit of approximately $200 million annually, with no significant impact on operating margins [84][86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ryder reported operating revenue of $2.6 billion in Q3 2025, up 1% from the prior year, primarily due to growth in contractual revenue [11] - Comparable EPS from continuing operations increased to $3.57, up 4% from $3.44 in the prior year, reflecting higher contractual earnings and benefits from share repurchases [11] - Return on equity (ROE) was 17%, up from the prior year, driven by higher contractual earnings and share repurchases, partially offset by lower rental demand and used vehicle sales [11] - Year-to-date free cash flow increased to $496 million from $218 million in the prior year due to reduced capital expenditures and lower income tax payments [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) operating revenue was in line with the prior year, with pre-tax earnings of $146 million, reflecting higher ChoiceLease performance [12] - Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) operating revenue increased 4%, driven by new business in omnichannel retail, but earnings decreased 8% due to e-commerce network performance and higher medical costs [15] - Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS) operating revenue decreased 6% due to lower fleet count, but EBT was in line with the prior year, reflecting acquisition synergies [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - 93% of Ryder's revenue is generated in the U.S., positioning the company to benefit from increased domestic industrial manufacturing [5] - The rental demand was lower than historical seasonal trends, with rental utilization on the power fleet at 70%, down from 71% the prior year [12] - Used vehicle pricing declined 6% for tractors and 15% for trucks year-over-year, reflecting ongoing weakness in market conditions [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Ryder's balanced growth strategy focuses on operational excellence and investment in customer-centric technology, aiming to improve full-cycle returns and unlock long-term shareholder value [5] - The company expects earnings growth in 2025 driven by resilient contractual businesses and strategic initiatives, with a forecasted ROE of 17% [22] - Ryder has authorized a new discretionary share repurchase program, reflecting a commitment to disciplined capital allocation [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's cycle-tested business model, which has demonstrated resiliency during the freight cycle downturn [6] - The company anticipates continued earnings growth from multi-year strategic initiatives, with expected annual pre-tax earnings benefits of approximately $150 million [24] - Management noted that while there are near-term headwinds in lease and dedicated sales due to market conditions, robust sales activity in SCS is encouraging [22] Other Important Information - Ryder's forecast for free cash flow remains unchanged at $900 million to $1 billion, reflecting lower capital spending and an annual cash flow benefit of approximately $200 million from tax bonus depreciation [8] - The company has repurchased approximately 22% of its shares outstanding since 2021 and increased the quarterly dividend by 57% [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of CDL regulations on business model - Management indicated that tighter driver markets could benefit the dedicated business as companies seek assistance in driver recruitment [30][32] Question: Drivers of earnings growth for 2026 - Management expects contractual earnings growth and benefits from strategic initiatives to drive earnings growth, with strong performance anticipated in supply chain solutions [34][35] Question: Challenges in used vehicle pricing - Management acknowledged challenges in used vehicle pricing but noted that higher new truck pricing could eventually support used truck values [39][40] Question: Supply chain performance and headwinds - Management highlighted that recent headwinds in supply chain performance were temporary and attributed to specific customer issues, with expectations for recovery [49][50] Question: Bonus depreciation impact on financials - Management clarified that the bonus depreciation will provide a cash tax benefit of approximately $200 million annually, with no significant impact on operating margins [61][62]

Core Insights - Ryder System reported total revenue of $3.17 billion, showing a slight increase from $3.168 billion a year ago, while non-GAAP earnings per share rose to $3.57 from $3.44 [1] Revenue Performance - Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS) experienced a 10% decline in revenue to $570 million, reflecting challenges in the trucking market [2] - DTS revenue decreased sequentially from $606 million in the second quarter, which was down from $635 million in the same quarter of 2024 [3] - Fleet Management Solutions saw a minor revenue drop of $5 million year-on-year, but earnings before taxes increased by 11% to $146 million [5] - Supply Chain Solutions achieved the highest revenue growth among the divisions, with a 5% increase to $1.38 billion, although earnings before taxes fell by 8% to $86 million [6] Operational Insights - Ryder's CEO noted that benefits from strong operating performance and acquisition synergies in DTS were offset by fleet reductions due to weaker freight market conditions [4] - Used vehicle pricing for tractors and trucks decreased by 6% and 15%, respectively, compared to the second quarter of 2024, although tractor pricing remained unchanged sequentially and truck pricing increased by 7% [7] Cost Management - Fuel expenses decreased significantly from $116 million a year ago to $94 million in the second quarter of 2025, providing a positive impact on Ryder's financials [8] - The company adjusted its fiscal non-GAAP EPS forecast to a range of $12.85-$13.05, slightly down from the previous range of $12.85-$13.30, while most other forecast numbers remained unchanged [8]

Core Points - Plexus Corp. will release its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 results after market close on October 22, 2025 [1] - A conference call to discuss the results will be held on October 23, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time [1][3] - An audio webcast of the call will be available on the Plexus investor relations website [1][2] Company Overview - Plexus Corp. has been in operation since 1979, focusing on partnering with companies to create innovative products [2] - The company employs over 20,000 individuals and specializes in Design and Development, Supply Chain Solutions, New Product Introduction, Manufacturing, and Sustaining Services [2] - Plexus is recognized as a global leader in serving customers in industries with complex products and stringent regulatory requirements [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, total revenue increased by 11% from $20.5 million to $22.6 million [5] - Recurring revenue rose by 10% to $22.3 million, with setup fees increasing from $95,000 in fiscal 2024 to over $300,000 in fiscal 2025 [5] - Total operating expenses increased by 6%, primarily due to investments in RTN and other development costs [5] - GAAP net income increased by 17% from $6 million to $7 million, with earnings per share growing by 21% [7][8] - Cash from operations rose by 21% from $7 million to $8.4 million, and total cash increased by 14% from $25.2 million to $28.6 million [8][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Annual recurring revenue continues to represent between 98% and 99% of total revenue, indicating strong stability in recurring income [8] - The growth in deferred revenue was 30%, increasing from $2.4 million to $3.2 million, reflecting future revenue potential [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing growth across all lines of business, including compliance and supply chain, not just traceability [11] - The traceability network is becoming increasingly significant, with a growing number of referrals coming from suppliers and manufacturers [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to grow annual recurring revenue between 10% to 20% while increasing profitability at a faster rate [4] - A focus on automation and efficiency is central to the company's strategy, with ongoing investments in AI-driven onboarding tools [5][24] - The company is shifting its marketing approach to target smaller accounts, expanding its total addressable market [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth and profitability, projecting that the business model will double in size over the next several years [10] - The company is well-positioned to meet traceability requirements, which are increasingly important in the industry [26] - Management noted that the FDA's change in compliance timelines has provided breathing room for effective rollout [26] Other Important Information - The company has zero bank debt and has returned over $25 million in capital to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends [10][16] - The capital allocation strategy includes a commitment to return 50% of annual cash from operations to shareholders [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Did you change your pricing or billing strategy? - Management clarified that the automation allows them to effectively serve smaller accounts, changing their marketing and billing approach [30][31] Question: How have tariffs impacted your business? - Management indicated that tariffs have not significantly impacted the business so far, but there could be future effects on the food supply chain [32][33] Question: What are your thoughts on strategic M&A? - Management is open to opportunities but has nothing to announce at this time, indicating increased interest in potential acquisitions [35][36] Question: Would you consider paying a one-time dividend? - Management expressed a preference for increasing regular dividends rather than issuing a one-time dividend, focusing on long-term growth [38][39] Question: Do you have any crypto treasury plans? - Management confirmed that they have no plans to invest in cryptocurrency, citing a preference for stability and risk management [43]

Core Insights - Jabil Inc. is a significant player in the electronics manufacturing services industry, providing design, manufacturing, and supply chain solutions while facing competition from companies like Flex Ltd. and Sanmina Corporation [1] Financial Performance - For the quarter ending September 25, 2025, Jabil reported earnings per share (EPS) of $3.29, exceeding the estimated $2.92 and marking an earnings surprise of +11.53% [2][6] - The company's revenue for the same quarter was $8.3 billion, surpassing the estimated $7.59 billion and showing a notable increase from $6.96 billion in the same period last year [3][6] Market Drivers - The strong financial performance is attributed to a surge in demand for data centers powered by artificial intelligence, reflecting Jabil's strategic focus on AI-driven markets [4][6] Financial Metrics - Jabil has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 40.19, indicating high market valuation of its earnings [5] - The price-to-sales ratio is about 0.79, and the enterprise value to sales ratio is around 0.86, suggesting investor confidence [5] - The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at approximately 2.59, highlighting its leverage level, while a current ratio of around 0.98 indicates its ability to cover short-term liabilities [5]

Core Insights - United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is recognized as one of the best freight stocks to invest in, despite recent revenue declines and an adjusted EPS miss [1] - The company reported a 0.8% decline in revenue in the U.S. Domestic Segment and a 2.6% drop in the International Segment, with adjusted EPS of $1.55 falling short of the $1.57 analysts expected [2] - UPS's Director, Christiana Smith Shi, purchased 500 shares valued at $44,080, signaling confidence in the company amidst mixed analyst opinions [3] - The company has an upside potential of 17.59% and is supported by 53 hedge funds holding stakes, indicating strong institutional interest [4] - Founded in 1907 and headquartered in Georgia, UPS is one of the largest global logistics and package delivery companies, offering a wide range of services [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ryder reported operating revenue of $2.6 billion for Q2 2025, an increase of 2% from the prior year, primarily driven by contractual revenue growth in Supply Chain Solutions (SCS) and Fleet Management Solutions (FMS) [13] - Comparable earnings per share from continuing operations were $3.32, up 11% from $3 in the prior year, reflecting higher contractual earnings and share repurchases [13] - Return on equity (ROE) was 17%, up from the prior year, primarily due to higher contractual earnings [14] - Year-to-date free cash flow increased to $461 million from $71 million in the prior year, reflecting lower working capital needs and reduced capital expenditures [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Fleet Management Solutions (FMS)**: Operating revenue increased by 1%, driven by ChoiceLease revenue, which was up 2%. However, pretax earnings decreased to $126 million due to weaker freight market conditions [15] - **Supply Chain Solutions (SCS)**: Operating revenue increased by 3%, with earnings up 16% from the prior year, reflecting new business and improved performance from initiatives to optimize the omnichannel retail network [21] - **Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS)**: Operating revenue decreased by 3% due to lower fleet count, but earnings before tax (EBT) increased by 1% year-over-year, reflecting acquisition synergies [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. market remains a significant focus, generating 93% of Ryder's revenue, with expectations of benefiting from increased industrial manufacturing [6] - Used vehicle sales results were negatively impacted by increased wholesale volumes, with used tractor and truck pricing declining by 17% year-over-year [18] - Rental utilization on the power fleet was 70%, up from 69% in the prior year, although still below the target range [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Ryder's balanced growth strategy aims to derisk the business, increase return profiles, and accelerate growth in asset-light supply chain and dedicated businesses [4] - The company expects to continue leveraging its transformed business model to outperform prior cycles, with a focus on organic growth, strategic acquisitions, and innovative technology [11] - Ryder announced a 12% annualized increase to its quarterly dividend, reflecting higher profitability and improved returns [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the transformed business model, expecting to generate higher earnings and returns even in a freight cycle downturn [7] - The company anticipates a more muted recovery in used vehicle sales and ongoing challenges in the rental market due to economic uncertainty [29] - Management remains optimistic about robust sales and pipeline activity in SCS, despite near-term headwinds in lease and dedicated businesses [29] Other Important Information - Ryder increased its 2025 forecast for free cash flow to a range of $900 million to $1 billion, reflecting lower expected capital spending and the reinstatement of tax bonus depreciation [10] - The company has repurchased approximately 21% of its shares outstanding since 2021 and increased the quarterly dividend by 57% [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confidence in deploying dry powder on the balance sheet - Management feels confident about deploying capital for share repurchase programs and acquisitions, with plans to invest organically as the freight market improves [40][41] Question: Used vehicle pricing expectations - Management expects a steady increase in tractor pricing, with retail pricing up 10%, although the overall increase may be more muted than initially expected [43][44] Question: Reasons for losses on sales in Q2 and recovery in Q3 - Losses were driven by increased wholesaling of aged inventory, which is not expected to continue at the same level, allowing for a return to gains in Q3 [47][48] Question: Impact of OEM delays on capital expenditures - Management anticipates that OEM delays will reverse in 2026, leading to increased capital spending as the freight market stabilizes [62][64] Question: Maintenance growth outlook - Management is focusing on mobile maintenance initiatives and retail maintenance offerings, which are expected to grow despite historical stagnation [96][99]

Core Insights - Ryder reported revenue of $3.19 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.2% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $3.32, up from $3.00 in the same quarter last year, representing a surprise of 6.75% over the consensus estimate of $3.11 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Commercial rental utilization was reported at 70%, exceeding the two-analyst average estimate of 68% [4] - Operating Revenue for Fleet Management Solutions was $1.29 billion, matching the average estimate and showing a year-over-year increase of 0.9% [4] - Operating Revenue for Dedicated Transportation Solutions was $470 million, slightly above the average estimate of $460.58 million, but down 3.1% year over year [4] - Operating Revenue for Supply Chain Solutions was $1.02 billion, aligning with the average estimate and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3% [4] - Revenues for Fleet Management Solutions totaled $1.47 billion, consistent with the average estimate but down 0.7% year over year [4] - Revenues for Supply Chain Solutions reached $1.37 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $1.36 billion, marking a 1.9% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - SelectCare and other amounted to $178 million, close to the average estimate, with a year-over-year increase of 1.1% [4] - Revenues from Eliminations were reported at -$250 million, better than the average estimate of -$261.4 million, but down 8.1% year over year [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - Commercial rental were $239 million, exceeding the average estimate but down 2.1% year over year [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - ChoiceLease were $871 million, slightly below the average estimate, with a year-over-year increase of 1.8% [4] - Revenues from Fleet Management Solutions - Fuel services were $179 million, below the average estimate, reflecting an 11.4% year-over-year decline [4] - Revenues from Dedicated Transportation Solutions were $606 million, slightly above the average estimate, but down 4.6% year over year [4] Stock Performance - Ryder's shares have returned +10.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.7% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]