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Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (COLL): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 15:25
Core Thesis - Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is viewed as an undervalued investment opportunity, particularly due to its stable cash-generating pain portfolio and growth potential in the ADHD segment [2][5]. Company Overview - As of September 24th, Collegium's shares were trading at $35.16, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 32.92 and 4.87 respectively [1]. - The company has historically faced stigma due to its opioid focus but has successfully commercialized products like Xtampa ER, Belbuca®, Symproic, and Nucynta without heavy R&D spending [2]. Recent Developments - The acquisition of BioDelivery Sciences International in 2022 allowed Collegium to bring Belbuca fully in-house, enhancing its control over commercialization and revenue [3]. - Collegium has entered the ADHD market with Jornay PM, which has over 20% market share in its niche and a projected 5-year CAGR of 5-6% [3]. Management and Strategy - The new management team, led by Vikram Karnani and David Dieter, has a strong track record in scaling niche pharmaceuticals through capital-light acquisitions and disciplined capital allocation [4]. - Collegium's pain portfolio funds growth in ADHD while maintaining exclusivity on key products until the early 2030s, creating high barriers to competition [4]. Financial Metrics - The company is trading at under 5x EV/EBITDA with steady double-digit ROIC, indicating it is undervalued compared to peers [5]. - There is a reasonable upside potential to $60 per share, with a bull scenario projecting $120 [5]. Market Position - Collegium is positioned as an overlooked specialty pharma opportunity with significant risk-adjusted upside, driven by a combination of stable cash flow and growth initiatives [5].
Compared to Estimates, Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 14:36
Core Insights - Collegium Pharmaceutical reported $188 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 29.4% and an EPS of $1.68 compared to $1.62 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $180.38 million by 4.23%, and the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.62 by 3.7% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Total product revenues for Belbuca were $52.6 million, slightly below the average estimate of $54.94 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +0.8% [4] - Xtampza ER generated $52.61 million, exceeding the average estimate of $48.28 million, with an 18% increase compared to the previous year [4] - Jornay PM reported revenues of $32.63 million, slightly above the average estimate of $32.23 million [4] - Nucynta achieved $46.45 million in revenues, surpassing the average estimate of $43.31 million, representing a year-over-year change of +4.4% [4] - Symproic revenues were $3.72 million, exceeding the average estimate of $3.45 million, but showing a decline of 7.7% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Collegium Pharmaceutical's shares have returned -8.1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Compared to Estimates, Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 22:31
Core Insights - Collegium Pharmaceutical reported $177.76 million in revenue for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 22.7% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $1.49, compared to $1.45 a year ago, indicating a positive trend [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $172.45 million by 3.08%, and the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.43 by 4.20% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Total product revenues for Belbuca were $51.66 million, slightly below the estimated $53.86 million, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase [4] - Xtampza ER generated $47.64 million, exceeding the average estimate of $46.49 million, with a year-over-year change of 4% [4] - Jornay PM reported revenues of $28.54 million, closely matching the average estimate of $28.50 million [4] - Nucynta achieved $47.10 million in revenues, surpassing the average estimate of $42.13 million, marking a 4.3% year-over-year increase [4] - Symproic's revenues were $2.82 million, falling short of the average estimate of $3.25 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 14.7% [4] Stock Performance - Collegium Pharmaceutical's shares returned +2.6% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by +11.3% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]