Collegium Pharmaceutical (NasdaqGS:COLL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 06, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker1Welcome to the Collegium Pharmaceutical third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during this conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note that this conference call is being recorded. I will now turn the call o ...

Core Thesis - Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. is viewed as an undervalued investment opportunity, particularly due to its stable cash-generating pain portfolio and growth potential in the ADHD segment [2][5]. Company Overview - As of September 24th, Collegium's shares were trading at $35.16, with trailing and forward P/E ratios of 32.92 and 4.87 respectively [1]. - The company has historically faced stigma due to its opioid focus but has successfully commercialized products like Xtampa ER, Belbuca®, Symproic, and Nucynta without heavy R&D spending [2]. Recent Developments - The acquisition of BioDelivery Sciences International in 2022 allowed Collegium to bring Belbuca fully in-house, enhancing its control over commercialization and revenue [3]. - Collegium has entered the ADHD market with Jornay PM, which has over 20% market share in its niche and a projected 5-year CAGR of 5-6% [3]. Management and Strategy - The new management team, led by Vikram Karnani and David Dieter, has a strong track record in scaling niche pharmaceuticals through capital-light acquisitions and disciplined capital allocation [4]. - Collegium's pain portfolio funds growth in ADHD while maintaining exclusivity on key products until the early 2030s, creating high barriers to competition [4]. Financial Metrics - The company is trading at under 5x EV/EBITDA with steady double-digit ROIC, indicating it is undervalued compared to peers [5]. - There is a reasonable upside potential to $60 per share, with a bull scenario projecting $120 [5]. Market Position - Collegium is positioned as an overlooked specialty pharma opportunity with significant risk-adjusted upside, driven by a combination of stable cash flow and growth initiatives [5].

Core Insights - Collegium Pharmaceutical reported $188 million in revenue for the quarter ended June 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 29.4% and an EPS of $1.68 compared to $1.62 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $180.38 million by 4.23%, and the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.62 by 3.7% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Total product revenues for Belbuca were $52.6 million, slightly below the average estimate of $54.94 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +0.8% [4] - Xtampza ER generated $52.61 million, exceeding the average estimate of $48.28 million, with an 18% increase compared to the previous year [4] - Jornay PM reported revenues of $32.63 million, slightly above the average estimate of $32.23 million [4] - Nucynta achieved $46.45 million in revenues, surpassing the average estimate of $43.31 million, representing a year-over-year change of +4.4% [4] - Symproic revenues were $3.72 million, exceeding the average estimate of $3.45 million, but showing a decline of 7.7% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Collegium Pharmaceutical's shares have returned -8.1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Summary of Collegium Pharmaceutical (COLL) Conference Call Company Overview - Collegium Pharmaceuticals is focused on building a diversified biopharmaceutical company, primarily addressing chronic pain and ADHD [2][3] - The company generated $631 million in net sales in 2024, with an expected growth of 18% to $743 million in 2025 [3][9] Product Portfolio - The company has five marketed products, including: - **Jornay PM**: $100 million in net sales in 2024, expected to exceed $135 million in 2025. It is the only ADHD medicine with once-daily evening dosing [5][6] - **BELBUCA**: $211 million in net sales in 2024, a long-acting opioid using buprenorphine buccal film technology [7] - **Xtampza ER**: $191 million in net sales in 2024, an extended-release oxycodone with abuse deterrent technology [8] - **Nucynta Franchise**: $177 million in net sales in 2024, treating severe and persistent pain as well as neuropathic pain [8] Financial Performance - Expected net revenues for 2025 are between $735 million and $750 million, indicating an 18% year-over-year growth [9] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $435 million and $450 million, representing a 10% year-over-year growth [10] - Adjusted operating expenses are expected to grow by 49% year-over-year due to the acquisition of Ionshore Therapeutics [10] Revenue Durability - The company has a strong expectation of revenue durability, with projected exclusivity for Xtampza ER through September 2033 and BELBUCA until January 2027 [14][15] - No generic competitors have satisfied all criteria to launch future generics, which supports the durability of the pain portfolio [17] Recent Business Highlights - In Q1 2025, the company achieved $177 million in net sales, a 23% increase from 2024 [18] - Cash from operations was over $55 million, with a leverage ratio of 1.5 net debt over EBITDA, expected to decrease to less than 1 by the end of 2025 [19] - A share repurchase program of $25 million was announced in May 2025 [19] Growth Strategies - The company is investing in Jornay PM to maximize growth and has expanded its sales team from 125 to 180 representatives [21][22] - Marketing programs are being implemented to raise awareness among caregivers and patients, aligning with the back-to-school season [23] Competitive Positioning - Collegium is positioned uniquely among biopharmaceutical peers with a robust revenue profile and double-digit growth [25] - The company has a strong cash generation profile and a history of returning value to shareholders, having repurchased $222 million in shares since 2021 [26][27] - The majority of its medicines are sourced and sold in the US, making them largely immune to tariffs and pricing pressures [28] Conclusion - Collegium Pharmaceuticals is well-positioned for continued growth, with a strong focus on revenue generation, profitability, and disciplined capital deployment strategies [28]

Core Insights - Collegium Pharmaceutical reported $177.76 million in revenue for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 22.7% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $1.49, compared to $1.45 a year ago, indicating a positive trend [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $172.45 million by 3.08%, and the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.43 by 4.20% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Total product revenues for Belbuca were $51.66 million, slightly below the estimated $53.86 million, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase [4] - Xtampza ER generated $47.64 million, exceeding the average estimate of $46.49 million, with a year-over-year change of 4% [4] - Jornay PM reported revenues of $28.54 million, closely matching the average estimate of $28.50 million [4] - Nucynta achieved $47.10 million in revenues, surpassing the average estimate of $42.13 million, marking a 4.3% year-over-year increase [4] - Symproic's revenues were $2.82 million, falling short of the average estimate of $3.25 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 14.7% [4] Stock Performance - Collegium Pharmaceutical's shares returned +2.6% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by +11.3% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2024, net product revenues reached a record $181.9 million, up 22% year-over-year [42] - For the full year 2024, net product revenues were a record $631.4 million, up 11% year-over-year [42] - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 9% year-over-year, reaching a record $401.2 million for 2024 [47] - GAAP net income for Q4 was $12.5 million, down from $31.9 million in Q4 2023, while full year net income was $69.2 million, up from $48.2 million in 2023 [46] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Jornay PM generated net revenue of $29.3 million in Q4 2024, with full year pro forma net revenue of $100.7 million, expected to exceed $135 million in 2025, representing over 34% growth [12][42] - Belbuca achieved net revenue of $55.2 million in Q4 2024, up 12% year-over-year, and $211.3 million for the full year, up 16% year-over-year [43] - Xtampza ER net revenue was $51.5 million in Q4, up 6% year-over-year, and $191.3 million for the full year, up 8% year-over-year [44] - Nucynta franchise net revenue was $41.8 million in Q4, down 11% year-over-year, and $176.5 million for the full year, down 7% year-over-year [45] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ADHD market has been growing at an average rate of 6% from 2019 to 2024, with stimulant medications comprising almost 90% of the market [21] - Jornay PM prescriptions grew 29% year-over-year in Q4 2024, with a total of 636,200 prescriptions for the full year, up 31% compared to 2023 [12][27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to drive significant growth in Jornay, maximize the pain portfolio, and strategically deploy capital to create shareholder value [16][19] - The focus is on expanding and diversifying the portfolio through business development, particularly in ADHD and neuropsychiatry [62] - The company plans to invest in raising awareness of Jornay among healthcare professionals and patients, with targeted investments expected to impact growth primarily in 2026 and beyond [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's strong financial position, with net leverage expected to be less than one time by the end of 2025 [53] - The company anticipates a modest decline in revenue in Q1 2025 due to typical dynamics, but expects over 10% adjusted EBITDA growth for the year [50][51] - Management highlighted the importance of disciplined capital deployment and the potential for significant growth in the ADHD market [62] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $60 million in shares during 2024, with $90 million remaining in the share repurchase program authorized through Q2 2025 [52] - The acquisition of Ironshore Therapeutics and its lead medicine Jornay PM is seen as a strategic move to enter the neuropsychiatry market [9][66] Q&A Session Summary Question: Path for Collegium over the next three to five years and update on business development opportunities - Management indicated a focus on both organic and inorganic growth, particularly in ADHD and neuropsychiatry, while maintaining a strong financial position [58][62] Question: Synergies realized from the integration of Ironshore - Management noted typical synergies related to senior management overlap and G&A but emphasized the strategic investment in Jornay as the primary focus [66] Question: Impact of the NO PAIN Act on the pain treatment category - Management stated that the NO PAIN Act had no impact on their portfolio as it primarily focuses on inpatient settings, while their products are retail-based chronic pain therapies [67] Question: Sales force expansion and coverage of ADHD prescribers - The expanded sales force will cover 60% of the long-acting ADHD market, targeting approximately 23,000 healthcare professionals [79] Question: Long-term planning for generic entry of Belbuca and Nucynta - Management expressed confidence that no party currently has the necessary combination of ingredients and regulatory clearance to launch competitive generics against their pain products [81]