TJX (TJX) closed the most recent trading day at $158.25, moving +2.73% from the previous trading session. This move outpaced the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.01%. At the same time, the Dow added 0.55%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.44%. Coming into today, shares of the parent of T.J. Maxx, Marshalls and other stores had lost 1.05% in the past month. In that same time, the Retail-Wholesale sector gained 1.61%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.86%. The investment community will be paying close attention to the earn ...

Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. is recognized as one of the best performing retail stocks in 2025, with Bernstein SocGen Group raising its price target to $155 from $152 while maintaining an Outperform rating [1] - The company's Q3 performance showed a 5% improvement in consolidated comparable sales and a pre-tax profit margin increase of 40 basis points year-over-year to 12.7%, driven by strong demand in apparel and home sectors [2] - Bernstein expressed confidence in TJX's long-term prospects, highlighting its consistent performance and expected upside from EPS outperformance [3] Company Overview - The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as an off-price clothing and home fashion retailer, with store brands including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, as well as international brands like T.K. Maxx and Winners [3]

Core Viewpoint - TJX Companies, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer with strong financial performance and stock outperformance compared to the broader market Company Overview - TJX operates popular brands such as T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, with over 5,000 stores in nine countries [1] - The company offers brand-name merchandise at prices 20% to 60% lower than traditional retailers through a flexible buying approach [1] - TJX has a market capitalization of $170.42 billion, categorizing it as a large-cap stock [2] Stock Performance - TJX's stock reached a 52-week high of $154.66 on November 26, showing a marginal decline since then [3] - The stock surged 12% over the past three months, outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which increased by 4.4% during the same period [3] - Over the past 52 weeks, TJX shares gained 21.3%, and 21.8% over the past six months, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 5.7% and 14%, respectively [4] Financial Results - For the third quarter of fiscal 2026, TJX reported a 7.5% year-over-year increase in net sales to $15.12 billion, exceeding the expected $14.88 billion [5] - Comparable sales grew by 5%, surpassing the 3% growth from the previous year, driven by Marmaxx's comparable sales growth from 2% to 6% [6] - TJX's EPS increased by 12.3% year-over-year to $1.28, exceeding the expected $1.22, and the company raised its fiscal 2026 pretax profit margin to 11.6% [6]

Core Insights - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher as stocks tend to continue in their established direction [1] - TJX currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A, indicating strong momentum characteristics, supported by price changes and earnings estimate revisions [2][3] Company Performance - TJX shares have increased by 2.46% over the past week, while the Zacks Retail - Discount Stores industry has risen by 6.21% during the same period [5] - Over the last quarter, TJX shares have gained 13.76%, and over the past year, they have increased by 22.2%, outperforming the S&P 500, which moved 6.14% and 15.41% respectively [6] - The average 20-day trading volume for TJX is 4,638,315 shares, indicating a bullish sentiment when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, 7 earnings estimates for TJX have been revised upwards, increasing the consensus estimate from $4.48 to $4.64 [9] - For the next fiscal year, 6 estimates have also moved higher, with no downward revisions noted [9] Conclusion - Given the strong performance metrics and positive earnings outlook, TJX is rated as a 2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of A, making it a promising investment opportunity [10]

Core Viewpoint - TJX has been trending in stock searches, indicating potential interest in its future performance due to recent earnings estimates and revenue growth projections [1][2]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - TJX is expected to report earnings of $1.21 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +6.1% [5]. - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $4.64, indicating a year-over-year change of +8.9%, with a recent upward revision of +1.4% [5]. - For the next fiscal year, the earnings estimate is $5.04, representing an increase of +8.6% from the previous year, with a slight upward revision of +0.1% [6]. - The Zacks Rank for TJX is 2 (Buy), suggesting a positive outlook based on earnings estimate revisions [7]. Projected Revenue Growth - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $14.82 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of +5.4% [11]. - For the current fiscal year, the revenue estimate is $60.31 billion, reflecting a +7% change, while the next fiscal year's estimate is $62.76 billion, indicating a +4.1% change [11]. Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, TJX generated revenues of $14.4 billion, a year-over-year increase of +6.9%, and an EPS of $1.1 compared to $0.96 a year ago [12]. - The reported revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.07 billion by +2.33%, and the EPS surprised by +8.91% [12]. - TJX has consistently beaten consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the past four quarters [13]. Valuation - TJX's valuation metrics indicate it is trading at a premium compared to its peers, receiving a Zacks Value Style Score of D, suggesting it may be overvalued [17]. Conclusion - The information presented indicates that TJX may outperform the broader market in the near term, supported by its strong earnings estimates and revenue growth [18].

Core Viewpoint - Growth stocks are appealing due to their potential for above-average financial growth, but identifying those with true potential can be challenging [1] Group 1: Growth Stock Identification - The Zacks Growth Style Score system aids in identifying promising growth stocks by analyzing real growth prospects beyond traditional metrics [2] - TJX is highlighted as a recommended stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] Group 2: Earnings Growth - Earnings growth is crucial for attracting investor attention, with double-digit growth being particularly desirable [4] - TJX has a historical EPS growth rate of 42.1%, with projected EPS growth of 8.9% this year, surpassing the industry average of 8.6% [5] Group 3: Cash Flow Growth - Higher-than-average cash flow growth is vital for growth-oriented companies, enabling expansion without relying on external funding [6] - TJX's year-over-year cash flow growth is 12.2%, exceeding the industry average of 10.9% [6] - The historical annualized cash flow growth rate for TJX is 7.6% over the past 3-5 years, compared to the industry average of 4.6% [7] Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - Positive trends in earnings estimate revisions correlate strongly with near-term stock price movements [8] - Current-year earnings estimates for TJX have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 1.4% over the past month [9] Group 5: Overall Assessment - TJX has achieved a Zacks Rank of 2 and a Growth Score of A, indicating its potential as an outperformer and a solid choice for growth investors [11]

Core Viewpoint - TJX Companies Inc reported strong second-quarter results, exceeding expectations with earnings of $1.10 on revenue of $14.4 billion, leading to a 4.9% increase in share price to $141.25 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - TJX has consistently beaten earnings estimates for the past four quarters, with post-earnings gains in three instances [1] - The company raised its full-year earnings guidance to a range of $4.52 to $4.57 [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - TJX shares reached a record high of $144, surpassing the previous milestone set in May, and are up 16.4% year-to-date [2] - The stock has shown recovery from a pullback in June and continued gains from July [2] Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - A majority of analysts are optimistic about TJX's outlook, with 18 out of 21 firms rating the stock as a "buy" and the remaining three as "hold" [2] - J.P. Morgan Securities raised its price target for TJX to $148, adding to the positive sentiment [2] Group 4: Options Trading Activity - Options traders displayed high confidence, with 38,000 calls traded compared to 8,094 puts, marking 18 times the usual intraday volume [3] - The most popular contract is the August 150 call, with new positions being opened [3]

Core Viewpoint - TJX Cos. reported earnings and revenue that exceeded Wall Street expectations, leading to an increase in full-year guidance, indicating strong demand across its divisions despite tariff-related cost pressures [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - For fiscal 2026 second quarter, TJX's net income was $1.24 billion, or $1.10 per share, compared to $1.1 billion, or 96 cents per share, a year earlier [4]. - Net sales reached $14.40 billion, a 7% increase from $13.47 billion in the same period last year, with comparable sales growing 4%, surpassing Wall Street estimates of 3.2% [5][8]. Guidance Update - TJX raised its full-year fiscal 2026 earnings guidance to between $4.52 and $4.57 per share, up from the previous range of $4.34 to $4.43 per share [2]. - The company also increased its comparable sales expectations to a 3% rise, compared to the prior guidance of 2% to 3% [2]. Market Position - Analysts suggest that off-price retailers like TJX are better positioned to mitigate tariff costs due to their purchasing strategies, which involve acquiring excess merchandise after importation [6]. - Research notes from UBS and Morgan Stanley indicate that TJX is likely to gain market share from traditional department stores due to this advantage [6]. Investor Sentiment - Following the earnings report, TJX shares rose approximately 4% in premarket trading, reflecting positive investor sentiment [3]. - As of the previous close, TJX shares have increased over 11% this year [7].

Group 1 - The TJX Companies is expected to announce its fiscal second-quarter earnings on August 20, 2025, with analysts forecasting earnings of $1.01 per share and revenue of $14.16 billion, indicating a 4% year-over-year rise in earnings and a 5% increase in sales compared to the previous year [2][3] - The company has a market capitalization of $148 billion, with revenue of $57 billion over the past twelve months, operating profits of $6.3 billion, and net income of $4.8 billion [3] - Historical trends show that TJX stock has gained 65% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 3.5% and a maximum observed gain of 7% [2][9] Group 2 - Positive one-day returns occurred approximately 65% of the time over the last five years, increasing to 73% when analyzing the last three years [9] - The median of the 13 positive returns is 3.5%, while the median of the 7 negative returns is -3.3% [9] - A strategy for traders is to analyze the correlation between short-term and intermediate-term returns post-earnings, which can help in making informed trading decisions [10]

Core Insights - TJX is well-positioned to maintain its earnings-beat streak in upcoming reports, having surpassed earnings estimates by an average of 4.13% in the last two quarters [1][2] Earnings Performance - For the most recent quarter, TJX reported earnings of $0.90 per share, slightly below the expected $0.92, resulting in a surprise of 2.22% [2] - In the previous quarter, TJX exceeded the consensus estimate of $1.16 per share by reporting $1.23, achieving a surprise of 6.03% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for TJX, with a positive Earnings ESP of +1.13%, indicating analysts' bullish sentiment on its near-term earnings potential [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) suggests a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [8] Statistical Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]