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TJX Companies: The Quiet Retail 20-Bagger Stock
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 21:06
Core Insights - TJX Companies reported fiscal Q1 2026 earnings with EPS of $0.92 and revenue of $13.1 billion, exceeding expectations [1] - Comparable store sales increased by 3%, aligning with the higher end of projections, while pretax margins reached 10.3% [1] - The company returned $1 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends during the quarter [1] Company Performance - TJX has demonstrated consistent long-term stock performance, compounding at an annual rate of 16.7% over the last two decades [2] - The stock has significantly outperformed competitors in the discount retail sector [2] - Despite a slight decline in shares post-earnings, TJX maintains a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) rating, indicating positive earnings estimate revisions [3] Financial Metrics - TJX's annual EPS has grown from $0.06 in 1996 to $4.26 today, showcasing steady earnings growth [5] - The company has reduced shares outstanding by 60% since 1998, reflecting a commitment to returning cash to shareholders [6] - TJX's median earnings multiple has increased from approximately 19x to 24.4x, with current trading at a premium valuation of 30.4x [6] Industry Comparison - TJX's earnings growth forecast is currently at 9.1% annually over the next three to five years, which is modest compared to competitors [7] - Costco has a similar growth forecast of 9.4% but trades at a higher valuation of 57.7x forward earnings [8] - Burlington Stores offers the highest projected earnings growth at 14.5% annually, trading at 29.2x forward earnings, presenting a compelling growth/value trade-off [9] Investment Considerations - For long-term investors, TJX remains a reliable retail name with a disciplined capital return strategy and effective business model [10] - Burlington Stores may be a more attractive option for those seeking stronger near-term earnings growth [11] - TJX is considered a textbook compounder, making it a worthy consideration for a diversified portfolio [11]
2 Retail Stocks to Watch Heading Into Memorial Day Week
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-21 16:50
Group 1: TJX Companies Inc - TJX stock is currently down 2.4% at $131.75 despite better-than-expected first-quarter earnings and reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance [2] - Historically, TJX has underperformed during Memorial Day week, finishing higher only three times in the past decade with an average decline of 1% [3] - A similar performance this year could see the stock drop to just above $130, retreating from a record high of $135.85, although it has gained 8.8% in 2025 [3] Group 2: Lululemon Athletica Inc - Lululemon stock is showing seasonal strength, currently at $325.64, and has the potential to recover from a 14.7% year-to-date deficit [4] - It is one of the top five Memorial Day week performers among S&P 500 stocks, finishing higher eight out of the last ten years with an average gain of 4.8% [5] - A repeat of past performance could push Lululemon's stock to $341.27, a level not seen since late March [5]
Q1 Retailers Report Earnings: TGT Misses, LOW & TJX Beat
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 15:30
Market Overview - U.S. futures are down across the board, with the Dow down 345 points (-0.81%), S&P 500 down 38 points (-0.64%), Nasdaq down 146 points (-0.68%), and Russell 2000 down 21 points (-1.02%) [2] - Major indexes have been flat over the past five trading days, with the Dow showing a slight increase of 1% over the past month, while all indexes are up double-digits [2] Q1 Earnings Reports - Target's Q1 earnings were disappointing, with earnings of $1.30 per share missing the Zacks consensus of $1.65 by 19.75%. Revenues of $23.85 billion were 1.58% short of expectations. The company has cut its growth forecast to negative from slightly positive [3] - Lowe's reported better-than-expected Q1 results, with earnings of $2.92 per share beating the Zacks consensus by 4 cents, and revenues of $20.93 billion slightly exceeding the anticipated $20.92 billion. Shares are up 1.75% in early trading [4] - The TJX Companies modestly beat expectations with earnings of 92 cents per share, 2 cents above estimates, and revenues of $13.11 billion, surpassing the anticipated $13.0 billion. Comparable sales grew by 3% year over year [5] - VF Corp. reported mixed results, with a narrower-than-expected loss of 13 cents per share compared to the estimated 15 cents, but revenues of $2.14 billion fell short of the $2.18 billion consensus. Shares are down 14% due to a challenging macro environment [6] Upcoming Earnings - Urban Outfitters is expected to report solid growth in both top and bottom lines year over year. Additionally, Snowflake and Zoom Communications will also release their quarterly results later today [7]
How Will TJX's Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-05-20 12:05
Company Overview - The TJX Companies, which includes T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, has experienced significant growth, gaining market share from traditional department stores as consumers increasingly seek value-focused shopping experiences [2] - The company reported a market capitalization of approximately $150 billion, with $56 billion in revenue, $6.5 billion in operating income, and $4.9 billion in net earnings over the last twelve months [2] Earnings Expectations - TJX is set to announce its fiscal first-quarter earnings on May 21, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of 91 cents per share on revenue of $13 billion, reflecting a 2% decrease in earnings year-over-year and a 4% increase in sales compared to the previous year's figures [1] - Historically, TJX stock has risen 70% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 3.8% and a maximum observed rise of 7% [1][6] Market Trends - The ongoing inflation, high interest rates, and uncertain economic outlook have further propelled the company's growth as consumers prioritize value [2] - The company has indicated that imports from China represent only a minor segment of its supply chain, potentially mitigating specific trade-related risks [2]
Insights Into TJX (TJX) Q1: Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 14:21
In its upcoming report, TJX (TJX) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $0.90 per share, reflecting a decline of 3.2% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $12.97 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 3.9%.The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days. This reflects how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reevaluated their initial estimates during this timeframe.Before a company r ...