Core Viewpoint - Software stocks have experienced a significant sell-off, but not all are considered good investment opportunities, with specific recommendations for buying and avoiding certain stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Axon Enterprise (Buy Recommendation) - Axon Enterprise has seen its stock decline approximately 50% from its peak six months ago and 25% from two weeks ago, making it a potential buy [4]. - The company combines hardware and software, creating a resilient ecosystem that retains customers, particularly law enforcement agencies, which are less likely to develop custom AI software [5][7]. - Axon is expected to grow rapidly, with projected revenue growth of 31% for 2025, reaching $2.74 billion, despite a high price-to-sales ratio of 14 [8]. Group 2: Atlassian (Avoid Recommendation) - Atlassian has a large customer base, including over 350,000 customers and 80% of the Fortune 500, but its stock has dropped 72% over the past year due to AI-related fears [9][10]. - The company reported a 23% revenue growth to $1.6 billion in the fiscal second quarter, but it has been GAAP unprofitable for the last 10 years, raising concerns about its long-term viability [10][14]. - Atlassian's products are seen as vulnerable to AI disruption, and the company has been heavily reliant on share-based compensation, which could dilute shareholder value [13][15].

Core Viewpoint - Axon Enterprise's stock has experienced a significant decline of 19.1% this week, primarily due to a broader sell-off in the software-as-a-service (SaaS) sector, rather than any specific company news [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of Friday at 12:09 p.m. ET, Axon stock was down 19.1% for the week, with the most significant drops occurring on Wednesday and Thursday [2]. - The sell-off is unusual for a well-established company like Axon, indicating a shift in sentiment within the software industry, as major players like Microsoft, ServiceNow, and SAP also saw double-digit declines despite earnings results being in line with estimates [3]. Group 2: Company Positioning - Axon appears relatively insulated from AI disruptions due to its strong competitive advantages, including hardware like TASERs and body cameras that integrate with software for managing evidence and investigations [4]. - The company has established itself as a leader in law enforcement technology through strategic acquisitions and a robust product offering, making it difficult for competitors to challenge its position even amid AI advancements [4]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Following the recent sell-off, Axon now trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 16, which, while not cheap, is an improvement compared to its valuation over the past year and a half [6]. - The company is expected to report fourth-quarter earnings on February 24, with analysts forecasting a revenue growth of 31.3% to $755.3 million, although adjusted earnings per share are anticipated to decrease from $2.08 to $1.60 due to increased spending on acquisitions and AI investments [7]. - The upcoming earnings report is seen as a critical moment for Axon, providing an opportunity for the stock to recover, as historically, no-news sell-offs have been viewed as favorable buying opportunities [7].