Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide RevPAR decreased approximately 1% year over year, impacted by unfavorable holidays, softer international inbound travel, and portfolio renovations [5][15] - Adjusted EBITDA was $976 million in the third quarter, up 8% year over year, exceeding the high end of guidance [15] - Diluted earnings per share adjusted for special items was $2.11 [15] - For the full year 2025, RevPAR is expected to be flat to up 1% [6][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Leisure transient RevPAR was roughly flat, driven by strong demand in Europe and the Middle East, while business transient RevPAR decreased approximately 1% due to economic uncertainty [5] - Group RevPAR decreased approximately 4%, but group demand showed signs of strengthening for the fourth quarter and 2026 [5] - Management franchise fees grew 5.3% year over year [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Americas outside the U.S., RevPAR increased 4.3% year over year, driven by strong leisure and group demand [16] - In Europe, RevPAR grew 1% year over year, while in the Middle East and Africa, it increased 9.9% year over year [16] - Asia Pacific RevPAR was up 3.8% excluding China, but declined 3.1% in China due to government travel policies [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company opened 199 hotels, totaling over 24,000 rooms, achieving net unit growth of 6.5% [6][10] - The launch of the Outset Collection by Hilton aims to capture the conversion opportunity in the upper mid-scale to upscale collection space [8] - The development pipeline increased to over 515,000 rooms, with nearly half under construction [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the next few years, citing lower interest rates, favorable regulatory environment, and significant investment cycles as drivers for increased travel demand [6][24] - The company expects RevPAR growth to improve in 2026, supported by easier year-over-year comparisons and event-driven benefits [27] - Management emphasized the importance of cost discipline and efficiency improvements through AI and technology [30][31] Other Important Information - The company plans to return approximately $3.3 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends for the full year [4][18] - A cash dividend of $0.15 per share was paid during the third quarter, totaling $108 million for the year to date [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on the timeline for improvement in the operating environment - Management believes there are positive structural factors in the U.S. that will support growth, including lower inflation and a favorable investment cycle [24][26] Question: Potential partnerships with AI companies - Management is exploring AI use cases to improve efficiencies and enhance customer experience, with 41 use cases currently being tested [36][38] Question: Expectations for net unit growth and conversions - Management expects nearly 40% of net unit growth to come from conversions, with new brands contributing as well [47] Question: Balancing luxury investments and returns - Management acknowledges the importance of luxury but emphasizes that the majority of key investments will continue to focus on core brands [52][56] Question: Impact of system-wide fee reductions for owners - The fee reduction program aims to support owners during challenging times and incentivize more conversions [60][62] Question: Fee revenue growth despite more economy rooms - Management believes fee per room will continue to grow due to a mix of higher fee-paying brands and ongoing growth in emerging markets [68][70]

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Core Viewpoint - Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 23, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of $2.03, reflecting a 6.3% increase from the previous year [1][8]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The consensus estimate for second-quarter revenues is approximately $3.06 billion, indicating a 3.6% rise from the same quarter last year [2]. - The expected growth in management and franchise hotel revenues is 6.5% year over year, reaching $905.6 million, while franchise and licensing fees are projected to increase by 8.1% to $745 million [5]. Factors Influencing Performance - Hilton's second-quarter performance is anticipated to benefit from strong group travel, international development, and growth in non-RevPAR fees [3]. - High-margin management and franchise fees are expected to significantly contribute to revenue, supported by hotel openings and brand conversions [4]. - Growth in Hilton Honors membership and stable performance from small and mid-sized business travel are also likely to enhance results [6]. Challenges and Projections - Despite positive factors, macroeconomic challenges such as cost inflation, foreign currency impacts, and uncertainty in corporate travel may pressure Hilton's bottom line [7]. - The company projects adjusted diluted EPS for the second quarter to be between $1.97 and $2.02 [7]. Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for Hilton, with an Earnings ESP of +2.70% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [8][9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - System-wide RevPAR grew by 2.5% year over year, driven by strong momentum from the end of the previous year [6][15] - Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $795 million, up 6% year over year, exceeding the high end of guidance [15][21] - Diluted earnings per share adjusted for special items was $1.72 [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Group RevPAR increased by more than 6% year over year, supported by growth in urban markets and company meetings [6] - Business transient RevPAR increased by 2%, primarily from small and medium-sized businesses [6] - Leisure transient RevPAR increased by 1%, with robust performance in January followed by softening demand [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. RevPAR increased by 2.1%, driven by strong group performance [16] - In the Americas outside the U.S., RevPAR increased by 7% year over year, driven by key events in Mexico and Brazil [17] - In Europe, RevPAR grew by 2.6% year over year, with strong rate and occupancy growth in Continental Europe [18] - In the Middle East and Africa, RevPAR increased by 8.5% year over year, driven by strong performance in Saudi Arabia [18] - In the Asia Pacific region, RevPAR was flat year over year, with a decline of 3.1% in China [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to expand its development pipeline, with over 503,000 rooms, representing a 7% year-over-year increase [10][19] - The company aims for net unit growth of 6% to 7% in 2025, with nearly half of the pipeline under construction [12] - The luxury and lifestyle categories accounted for 30% of all hotel openings in the quarter, with significant growth in these portfolios [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that broader macro uncertainty intensified in March, impacting demand, particularly in leisure [6] - The company expects second quarter RevPAR to be approximately flat versus the prior year quarter, with full-year expectations of flat to up 2% [7][21] - Management expressed optimism about long-term opportunities despite current macroeconomic uncertainties, citing a resilient business model [13][36] Other Important Information - The company was named the number one best company to work for in the U.S. by Great Place to Work and Fortune for the second consecutive year [13] - A cash dividend of $0.15 per share was paid during the first quarter, with a total expected return of approximately $3.3 billion to shareholders for the year [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Perception of the recessionary environment - Management acknowledged the uncertainty in the market but expressed a belief that risks are more equally weighted than perceived, with potential for upside in the long term [30][36] Question: Development environment amidst uncertainty - Management indicated that while developers are cautious, there has not been a significant impact on current projects, and they remain optimistic about development momentum [44][50] Question: Impact of economic downturn on business - Management emphasized the resilience of the business model, with low leverage and strong liquidity, preparing for any potential downturn [56][58] Question: Economic intensity of deals in APAC and China - Management highlighted that the business in China is growing through joint ventures, with no capital investment required, and emphasized the strong demand for their brands in the region [63][66] Question: Strength in group bookings - Management noted that group bookings are expected to lead RevPAR growth, despite some short-term uncertainty affecting booking patterns [72][76] Question: Clarification on non RevPAR driven fees - Management clarified that a significant portion of the first quarter's performance was due to timing, but non RevPAR driven fees are expected to outperform throughout the year [86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported system-wide RevPAR growth of 2.5% year over year, driven by strong momentum from the end of the previous year [6] - Adjusted EBITDA was $795 million in the first quarter, up 6% year over year, exceeding the high end of guidance [15] - Diluted earnings per share adjusted for special items was $1.72 [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Group RevPAR increased more than 6% year over year, supported by growth in urban markets and company meetings [6] - Business transient RevPAR increased 2%, primarily from small and medium-sized businesses, which make up roughly 85% of the business transient mix [6] - Leisure transient RevPAR increased 1%, with robust performance in January followed by softening demand patterns [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Americas outside the U.S., first quarter RevPAR increased 7% year over year, driven by key events in Mexico and Brazil [17] - In Europe, RevPAR grew 2.6% year over year, with strong rate and occupancy growth in Continental Europe [18] - In the Asia Pacific region, first quarter RevPAR was flat year over year, with China experiencing a decline of 3.1% [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to expand its development pipeline, ending the quarter with more than 503,000 rooms, representing a 7% year-over-year increase [10] - The luxury and lifestyle categories accounted for 30% of all hotel openings in the quarter, with these portfolios approaching 1,000 hotels globally [9] - The company aims to deliver net unit growth of 6% to 7% in 2025, with nearly half of its pipeline under construction [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that broader macro uncertainty intensified in March, impacting demand, particularly in leisure [6] - The company expects second quarter RevPAR to be approximately flat versus the prior year quarter, with full-year expectations of flat to up 2% [7] - Management expressed optimism about long-term opportunities supported by a capital-light business model and favorable megatrends in travel [13] Other Important Information - The company was named the number one best company to work for in the U.S. by Great Place to Work and Fortune for the second consecutive year [13] - A cash dividend of $0.15 per share was paid during the first quarter, with a total expected return of approximately $3.3 billion to shareholders for the year [21][22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about recessionary environment - Management acknowledged the uncertainty in the market but expressed confidence in the stability of demand patterns and the potential for positive outcomes in the second half of the year [30][36] Question: Development environment amidst uncertainty - Management indicated that while developers are cautious, there has not been a significant impact on current projects, and they remain optimistic about future growth [44][50] Question: Impact of economic downturn on business - Management highlighted the resilience of the business model, emphasizing low leverage and strong access to liquidity, preparing for any potential downturn [56][58] Question: Economic intensity of deals in APAC and China - Management noted that the business in China continues to grow, with a focus on joint ventures and franchising, which allows for capital-light expansion [63][66] Question: Group performance outlook - Management remains optimistic about group performance leading the pack, despite some short-term booking softness due to uncertainty [72][76]