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Tesla's Strong FCF Margins Could Imply TSLA Stock is Worth Over $500
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-26 13:30
Core Insights - Tesla, Inc. generated $3.9 billion in free cash flow (FCF) in Q3, which is over 14% of its sales, indicating strong financial performance [1][6] - The stock could be undervalued by over 15%, with a potential price target of $502 per share if FCF remains robust in the upcoming year [1][3] - Tesla's revenue increased by 11.6% year-over-year to over $28 billion, driven by a surge in orders before the expiration of a significant tax subsidy [4][6] Financial Performance - In Q3, Tesla's FCF was $3.99 billion, representing 14.2% of its $28.1 billion in sales [6] - The trailing 12-month FCF was $6.834 billion, which is 7.15% of total revenue of $95.633 billion [6] - Year-to-date (YTD), the FCF margin stands at 6.85%, with projections suggesting a conservative estimate of 3.425% for Q4 [7] Future Projections - Analysts forecast an average revenue of $110.32 billion for 2026, reflecting a 15.6% increase from the current year's estimates [5] - Based on these forecasts, FCF for 2026 could rise to approximately $5.74 billion, assuming a 6% FCF margin [8]
Tesla’s Q3, explained: shrinking margins and bigger promises
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 20:38
“[Tesla] did a good job of explaining what they’re doing, which is retooling for the next wave of profitability,” said Brian Mulberry, senior client portfolio manager at Zacks Investment Management. “There are certainly some very strong growth maps when you’re looking at the other segments, outside of just the pure autos. ... The capex looks like it’s going to be productive.”This next stretch demands steadiness. Tesla still needs investors to accept that a thinner present can still be a credible bridge — an ...
The Stock Goes Green After Hefty Loss
Barrons· 2025-10-23 17:08
CONCLUDED Tesla's Earnings Disappointed. It's All About the Future. Last Updated: 4 hours ago The Stock Goes Green After Hefty Loss By Al Root Tesla stock has clawed back all of its post-earnings losses. Shares traded below $414 early Thursday, before rising to sit at $440.44 in midday trading, for a gain of 0.3%. The rebound is a little surprising given that Tesla reported weaker-than-expected numbers on Wednesday evening. Operating profit came in at about $1.6 billion, down 40% year over year, while Wall ...
Tesla stock slips on Q3 miss, but is a rebound next? Here's what analysts say
Invezz· 2025-10-23 14:08
Core Insights - Tesla's stock experienced a decline of approximately 6% at market open on Thursday, attributed to a disappointing third-quarter earnings report [1] - The earnings report indicated a significant profit decline, despite the company achieving record revenue [1] Financial Performance - The third-quarter earnings report revealed a notable decrease in profits for Tesla [1] - The company managed to achieve record revenue during the same period, highlighting a disparity between revenue growth and profit performance [1]
Tesla Stock Deserves To Fall Further (NASDAQ:TSLA)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-23 13:37
Group 1 - Tesla, Inc. announced record sales driven by expiring tax credits in the most recent quarter [2] - The company's Q3 performance is under scrutiny following these record sales [2] Group 2 - The Value Portfolio focuses on building retirement portfolios using a fact-based research strategy [2] - This strategy includes extensive analysis of 10Ks, analyst commentary, market reports, and investor presentations [2]
What Wall Street Is Saying After Tesla's Results
Barrons· 2025-10-23 12:40
Core Insights - Tesla reported an operating profit of approximately $1.6 billion for the third quarter, which represents a 40% decline year-over-year, falling short of Wall Street's expectations of around $1.8 billion [2] - The increase in operating costs outweighed the growth in automotive revenues, despite Tesla selling nearly 500,000 vehicles in the third quarter, marking a 7% increase compared to the previous year [2] - The disappointing earnings report did not significantly alter investor sentiment towards Tesla's stock [2]
5 big takeaways from Tesla's Q3 earnings call — including fiery words from Musk over $1 trillion pay package
Business Insider· 2025-10-23 02:36
Core Insights - Tesla reported mixed Q3 earnings, with profits and adjusted earnings per share missing Wall Street expectations, while revenue reached an all-time high due to record vehicle deliveries [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Tesla's Q3 revenue exceeded forecasts, reaching an all-time high [1] - Profits and adjusted earnings per share fell short of Wall Street expectations [1] - Operating income decreased by 40% year over year, attributed to higher average costs per vehicle and increased tariffs [22] Group 2: Future Strategy - CEO Elon Musk emphasized a focus on achieving full autonomous driving, stating confidence in solving unsupervised full self-driving at a safety level greater than human drivers [3] - Musk anticipates robotaxis operating in "eight to ten metro locations" by year-end, including Austin, Nevada, Florida, and Arizona [3] Group 3: Compensation Package - Tesla CFO urged shareholders to support Musk's proposed $1 trillion pay package, which requires meeting specific milestones over a 10-year period [4][11] - Musk criticized proxy firms ISS and Glass Lewis for their opposition to his compensation, labeling them as "corporate terrorists" [10] Group 4: Product Development - Musk announced plans to debut a prototype of the latest Optimus robot iteration by February or March 2026, highlighting challenges in creating a humanoid robot at scale [13][16] - Tesla aims to build a production line capable of producing one million Optimus robots by the end of 2026 [18] Group 5: Technology and Partnerships - Tesla is collaborating with Samsung and TSMC to develop the next generation AI5 self-driving computer chips, with a goal of having an oversupply of these chips [19][20] - The AI5 chip is expected to be 40 times better than the previous AI4 chip due to Tesla's control over the hardware and software stack [20] Group 6: Tariff Impacts - Tariffs are a significant concern for Tesla, particularly affecting its energy storage business, with total tariff impacts exceeding $400 million in Q3 [21] - The company faces near-term uncertainty from shifting trade, tariff, and fiscal policies, despite some offsetting from its Shanghai factory [22]
Tesla Kicks Off Magnificent 7 Earnings This Week After Its Stock Kicked Into High Gear
Investopedia· 2025-10-20 16:26
Core Insights - Tesla's stock has rebounded, now up approximately 10% since the beginning of 2025 after a challenging first half where shares were down over 20% [2][5] - The company's future growth narrative is increasingly focused on AI transformation, particularly through autonomous and robotics initiatives [4][3] - Upcoming third-quarter earnings are highly anticipated, with analysts expecting better-than-expected results and a focus on next-generation opportunities [5][9] Stock Performance - Tesla was the best-performing stock among major tech companies in the third quarter, contrasting with its earlier underperformance [2][7] - Despite a recent cooling in stock prices, Tesla shares remain above Wall Street's consensus price target, indicating investor optimism [5][8] - The stock has shown volatility, with a year-to-date high near $460, but has generally maintained levels consistent with its recent performance [8] Earnings Expectations - Tesla's third-quarter earnings report is set to kick off the earnings season for the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks [9] - Analysts project revenue and net income for Tesla at $26.6 billion and $1.5 billion, respectively, reflecting strong delivery numbers [6][9] - The overall S&P 500 is expected to see an 11% growth in Q3 earnings, with many companies already beating estimates by 7% [9]
Tesla stock plunges 3% on Tuesday: here's what the investors are blaming
Invezz· 2025-10-14 14:09
Core Viewpoint - Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) experienced a decline of over 3% in early market trading on Tuesday, reversing some gains from the previous session and highlighting ongoing volatility in the market [1] Group 1 - The stock pullback indicates a reaction to market conditions and investor sentiment [1] - The decline follows a period of gains, suggesting fluctuations in Tesla's stock performance [1] - Ongoing volatility may impact investor confidence and trading strategies [1]
Tesla: Q3 Growth Mirage Won't Last
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-13 10:22
Group 1 - Tesla's stock has increased by nearly 30% since June 10, but it is still considered a "Strong Sell" due to the belief that the rally was not fundamentally supported [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial metrics or detailed analysis of Tesla's performance or market conditions [1]