Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company generated $31 million of net income, $45 million of operating cash flow, and $46 million of free cash flow. For the full year 2025, net income was $136 million, operating cash flow was $166 million, and free cash flow was $169 million [10] - The Mineral Rights segment reported a decrease in net income, operating cash flow, and free cash flow by $13 million in Q4 and $41 million in net income for the full year compared to the previous year [11] - The Corporate and Financing segment saw improvements in net income, operating cash flow, and free cash flow by $3 million in Q4 and $9 million for the full year compared to the prior year [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Mineral Rights segment accounted for approximately 70% of coal royalty revenues and 45% of coal royalty sales volumes in Q4 2025, with a decline in performance attributed to weaker metallurgical coal markets [11] - The Soda Ash segment experienced a decrease in net income by $3 million in Q4 and $15 million for the full year compared to the prior year, primarily due to lower international sales prices and weak demand [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Metallurgical and thermal coal prices are at cyclically low levels, while soda ash prices are at generational lows, with no immediate catalysts expected to improve this outlook [4][5] - The company noted that the global soda ash market is facing significant challenges, with expectations that 2026 will be worse than 2025 due to excess capacity and low demand [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on managing its operations under the assumption that demand for North American thermal coal is in long-term decline, while also working on carbon-neutral initiatives and exploring geothermal, solar, and lithium opportunities [5][8] - The company aims to retire all outstanding debt and increase unitholder distributions, although the recent $39 million investment in Sisecam Wyoming may delay this timeline [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about the prolonged downturn in the soda ash market and the potential for further pressure on financial performance, indicating that rebalancing global supply and demand could take several years [6][8] - The management remains cautious about the thermal coal market, despite some positive sentiment due to projected electricity demand from data centers [5] Other Important Information - The company paid a distribution of $0.75 per common unit for Q4 2025 and announced a special distribution of $0.12 per common unit to cover unitholder tax liabilities [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on capital contribution to Soda Ash JV and outstanding bank debt - The JV has over $50 million of debt remaining after the contribution [17] Question: Plans for further contributions to pay down remaining debt - There are no current plans for additional contributions, but management acknowledged the possibility if market conditions worsen [18][19] Question: Anticipation of substantial distribution increases in May quarter - Management indicated that substantial increases are not expected in May, with a more likely timeline in November [28][30] Question: Reason for not participating in mineral rights auction - The company prefers to acquire passive interests in natural resource assets at attractive prices and does not find auctions to be favorable opportunities [33]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company generated $31 million of net income, $45 million of operating cash flow, and $46 million of free cash flow. For the full year 2025, net income was $136 million, operating cash flow was $166 million, and free cash flow was $169 million [10] - The company generated $46 million of free cash flow in Q4 and $169 million for the full year 2025, with a total of $109 million of debt retired during the year, finishing with $33 million of debt [4][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Mineral Rights segment generated $40 million of net income in Q4 2025, down $13 million from the prior year, and $166 million for the full year, a decline of $41 million [11] - The Soda Ash segment saw a decrease in net income of $3 million in Q4 and $15 million for the full year compared to the previous year, primarily due to lower international sales prices [12] - The Corporate and Financing segment improved net income by $3 million in Q4 and $9 million for the full year, attributed to lower interest costs from reduced debt [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Metallurgical coal and thermal coal prices are at cyclically low levels, with soda ash prices at generational lows, reflecting a challenging market environment [4][5] - The company noted that the demand for North American thermal coal is in long-term secular decline, and the soda ash market is expected to worsen in 2026 [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on managing its operations under the assumption of continued low demand for its key commodities and is prioritizing debt reduction and unitholder distributions [5][9] - The company is exploring geothermal, solar, and lithium opportunities, although progress has been slow and no material updates were provided [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about the prolonged downturn in the soda ash market and the potential for further pressure on financial performance, indicating that rebalancing supply and demand could take several years [6][8] - The management remains cautious about the timing of future distribution increases, suggesting that the current bear market could delay plans [9][30] Other Important Information - The company announced a special distribution of $0.12 per common unit to cover unitholder tax liabilities for 2025 [15] - The joint venture with Sisecam Wyoming has not provided distributions for the last two quarters, and no resumption is expected until market conditions improve [12][13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on capital contribution to the Soda Ash JV and its debt status - The JV has over $50 million of debt remaining after the recent contribution [17] Question: Plans for further contributions to pay down remaining debt - There are currently no plans for additional contributions, but management acknowledged the possibility if market conditions worsen [18][19] Question: Anticipation of substantial distribution increases in May - Management indicated that substantial increases are not expected in May, with a more likely timeline in November due to ongoing market conditions [28][30] Question: Reason for not bidding on mineral rights at auction - The company prefers to acquire passive interests in natural resource assets at attractive prices and does not typically participate in auctions [33]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company generated $31 million of net income, $45 million of operating cash flow, and $46 million of free cash flow. For the full year 2025, net income was $136 million, operating cash flow was $166 million, and free cash flow was $169 million [10] - The Mineral Rights segment reported a decrease in net income, operating cash flow, and free cash flow by $13 million in Q4 and $41 million for the full year compared to the prior year [11] - The Soda Ash segment's net income decreased by $3 million in Q4 and $15 million for the full year compared to the prior year periods [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Mineral Rights segment accounted for approximately 70% of coal royalty revenues and 45% of coal royalty sales volumes in Q4 2025, with a similar mix for the full year [11] - The Soda Ash segment faced challenges due to lower international sales prices and weak demand, leading to a decrease in operating and free cash flow by $11 million in Q4 and $31 million for the full year compared to the prior year [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Metallurgical and thermal coal prices are at cyclically low levels, while soda ash prices are at generational lows, with no immediate catalysts expected to improve this outlook [4][5] - The company noted that the global soda ash market is experiencing a downturn that may last several years, with international prices below production costs for most producers [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on managing the partnership under the assumption that demand for North American thermal coal is in long-term decline, while also investing in safety and operational integrity [5][6] - The company plans to retire all outstanding debt and increase unitholder distributions, although the recent $39 million investment in Sisecam Wyoming may delay this timeline [9] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about the prolonged downturn in the soda ash market, indicating that the extent and duration of the downturn have exceeded expectations [5][6] - The company remains disciplined in its capital allocation decisions, prioritizing intrinsic value maximization while navigating a challenging market environment [7] Other Important Information - The company retired $109 million of debt in 2025, finishing the year with $33 million of debt and no other financial obligations [9] - A special distribution of $0.12 per common unit was announced to help cover unitholder tax liabilities associated with owning NRP's common units in 2025 [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Is the joint venture now debt-free following the capital contribution? - The joint venture has over $50 million of debt remaining after the contribution [16] Question: Are there plans to continue making contributions to pay down the remaining debt? - Currently, there are no plans to make further contributions, but it remains a possibility if market conditions worsen [18] Question: Will distributions be substantially increased in the May quarter? - No, the timing for potential distribution increases is likely pushed back to November due to the ongoing bear market and the recent capital contribution [27][29] Question: Why did the company not bid at the recent mineral rights auction? - The company typically does not find attractive opportunities at auctions and is focused on de-leveraging before returning capital to unitholders [32]

Yancoal Australia 2025 Financial Results 25 February 2026 For personal use only Important Notice and Disclaimer Acceptance - This presentation is issued by Yancoal Australia Limited ABN 82 111 859 119 ("Yancoal"). By accepting, accessing or reviewing this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to the terms set out in this Important Notice and Disclaimer. Summary of information - This presentation has been provided solely to convey information about Yancoal and its related entities, and their activities. Th ...

Flash | 05 Feb 2026 05:20:51 ET │ 9 pages China Materials 2026 On-ground Demand Monitor Series #19 – Thermal Coal Production and Inventory CITI'S TAKE In this series of notes, we aim to track and analyze high-frequency on- ground demand trends in China. In this note, we enclose weekly data from Sxcoal, a consultant, on 100 sample China thermal coal mines' production and inventory data during the week of 29th Jan to 4th Feb 2026. Latest Sector pecking order: Aluminum, Copper, Battery, Gold, Battery Materials ...

February 9, 2026 12:27 AM GMT Commodity Matters | Europe Thermal Coal: Upside Risk from Indonesia Output Cuts We flag upside risk to thermal coal prices from Indonesian output cuts. Recent RKAB quota indications suggest material cuts for smaller miners, and we forecast an 17% drop in Indonesian exports YoY. Weak China demand partially offsets price impact, but we still see a tighter market YoY by 18 Mt. Key Takeaways The Indonesian government is aiming for extensive output cuts in 2026: It aims to support c ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company recorded net income attributable to common stockholders of $10.4 million or $0.09 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA of $118 million, a 19% increase from the prior quarter [25] - Operating cash flow from continuing operations was $69 million for the quarter and $336 million for the full year, ending the year with $575 million in cash and total liquidity above $900 million [25][26] - The company met or exceeded original guidance for seven of eight volume and cost metrics for the full year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Seaborne Thermal delivered 3.3 million tons, exceeding expectations, with realized export pricing averaging $81.80 per ton, up 7% from Q3 [26] - Seaborne metallurgical shipped 2.5 million tons, up 400,000 from Q3, with realized pricing at $113 per ton consistent with expectations [27] - U.S. Thermal contributed $63 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q4, with nearly $250 million for the full year against only $57 million of CapEx [28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Benchmark pricing for seaborne metallurgical coal rose to its highest mark in 18 months, increasing 15% from $190 per ton at the beginning of Q4 [16] - Coal fuel generation in the U.S. was up an estimated 13% year-over-year in 2025, significantly outpacing production growth of 4% [20][21] - Asian countries continue to add coal generation capacity, with China adding 80 GW of new capacity in 2025 [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Centurion Mine is positioned as a cornerstone asset to maximize long-term shareholder value, expected to ship an average of 4.7 million tons per year of premium hard coking coal [5][7] - The company aims to reweight its portfolio toward higher-margin metallurgical coal and is actively pursuing renewable projects and critical mineral opportunities [7][10] - The focus for 2026 includes achieving full operational performance at Centurion, maintaining strong EBITDA to CapEx margins, and prioritizing shareholder returns [35][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in improving market fundamentals and the strategic positioning of the company amid favorable coal market conditions [3][14] - The company anticipates continued strength in both domestic thermal and seaborne metallurgical coal markets, driven by supply-demand dynamics and government policies [15][19] - Management highlighted the importance of coal in U.S. energy policy and its role in meeting energy demands amid constraints on other energy sources [12][13] Other Important Information - The company has invested approximately $750 million in the development and expansion of the Centurion Mine, enhancing its leverage to premium hard coking coal markets [33] - The company is exploring opportunities in rare earth and critical minerals, with promising concentrations identified in its testing program [10][11] Q&A Session Summary Question: What do you assume for the Australian dollar in the cost guide? - The company is looking at an Australian dollar exchange rate of $0.70 [39] Question: How much CapEx is potentially still left for Centurion development? - Approximately $100 million a year in development for the northern part for the next three years, plus $25 million a year in sustaining capital in the south [40] Question: How should we think about pricing in 2027 and beyond? - There is potential for favorable pricing in 2027 as there is still a lot of contracting to be done [44] Question: What are the drivers for the increase in seaborne thermal costs? - The increase is primarily due to lower production volumes, particularly at Wilpinjong [49] Question: How should we think about the cadence of shipments as the year progresses? - The first quarter is expected to be weaker due to mine sequencing, with improvements anticipated in Q2 and Q3 [54]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Yancoal achieved a record production of 10.4 million tons of attributable saleable coal in Q4 2025, contributing to an annual total of 38.6 million tons, also a company record [4][5] - Total ROM coal production increased by 20% compared to Q3 2025, reaching 18.9 million tons [7][8] - Average realized prices improved by 6% to AUD 148 per ton from the prior quarter [5][13] - The company ended the quarter with over AUD 2 billion in cash and no debt, reflecting a AUD 307 million increase in cash balance over the quarter [5][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Saleable coal production was 13.6 million tons, which is 11% more than Q3 2025 [8] - The attributable sales volume remained stable at 10.8 million tons, similar to Q3 2025 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average price on the API 5 index was 12% higher than in Q3, while the GC Newcastle index remained flat [10][12] - Japan's coal imports increased by 16%, while South Korea prioritized Indonesian and Colombian supplies over Australian coal [11] - Global demand for metallurgical coal declined, with a 7% decrease in seaborne metallurgical coal exports compared to 2024 [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Yancoal aims to maintain its position as a leading low-cost coal exporter, with expectations to deliver unit costs around the middle of the guidance range [5][15] - The company is considering dividends and potential growth opportunities due to its strong cash position [5][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about carrying operational momentum into 2026, with guidance on production and costs to be provided in February [5][6] - The company noted that while there were mixed performances in international coal markets, gains in coal price indices since the end of 2025 have sparked optimism among industry participants [13][15] Other Important Information - The total recordable injury frequency rate improved to 6.14, below the industry average of 7.45, indicating a commitment to safety [7] Q&A Session Summary Question: Current stockpiles and inventory levels - Sales and production are back to normal and matched, indicating a strong quarter [20] Question: Comments on New South Wales coal royalties - No discussions regarding changes to coal royalties have occurred, and the company is unaware of any changes [21] Question: Production profile of Hunter Valley Operations - Hunter Valley Operations had a strong fourth quarter, with effective management of wet weather impacts [24] Question: Insights on coal market outlook - Price recovery was noted towards the end of Q4, with expectations for a slight market pickup post-Chinese New Year [27] Question: Saleable production ratio decline - The lower ratio of saleable coal production to ROM coal production was due to an increase in ROM coal that could not be fully processed [29][31] Question: Dividend and capital management considerations - The company follows a dividend framework based on NPAT or free cash flow, with decisions to be made at the February board meeting [32][33] Question: Hypothetical scenario regarding U.S. coal imports - Australia has not historically supplied coal to the U.S. mainland, and the U.S. is unlikely to become a coal import market for Australia [38]

Group 1 - The core driving logic of coal price trends is the supply-demand pattern, with the current rapid decline in coal prices expected to have limited space, estimating a bottom range of 680-700 RMB/ton [1][2] - The demand for coal is currently at the median level of the past five years, with a recent downward trend in port inventories, although future weather conditions should be monitored [2] - The coal sector's cyclical bottom is confirmed in Q2 2025, with a reversal point in the supply-demand pattern, and expectations for a new upward cycle starting in H2 2026 for coal and downstream thermal power demand [1][2] Group 2 - As of December 19, 2025, the price of Q5500 coal at Huanghua Port is 721 RMB/ton, a decrease of 42 RMB/ton (-5.5%) from the previous week, with domestic supply stable and imports continuing to decline [2] - The main coking coal price at Jingtang Port is 1700 RMB/ton, an increase of 50 RMB/ton (3.0%), indicating a potential for demand to remain strong despite the seasonal downturn [3] - The average daily iron water production has slightly decreased, but demand is expected to remain robust during the off-season [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the metals industry, particularly in Europe, with a positive outlook for various metals in 2026, driven by rate cuts and demand for real assets [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Positive Outlook for Metals**: The overall outlook for metals remains strong, supported by rate cuts, potential USD weakness, and increasing investor demand for real assets. New demand sources, such as energy storage systems (ESS) batteries and data centers, are expected to contribute to copper demand growth by approximately 0.6 percentage points in 2026 [2][3]. - **Top Picks**: Uranium and lithium are highlighted as top picks due to rising contracting activity and tighter market conditions, respectively. Conversely, iron ore and zinc are viewed with more caution [1][3]. - **Supply Challenges**: Significant supply challenges are noted, including disruptions in copper mines and competition for electricity among aluminum smelters and data centers [2][3]. - **China's Demand**: China's metals demand is bolstered by its manufacturing and export model, which is expected to continue. The US energy secretary's discussions on strategic uranium stockpiling also support this outlook [2][3]. Price Forecasts - **Uranium**: Expected to benefit from rising contracting activity and disappointing supply growth, leading to price upside [3][10]. - **Lithium**: Anticipated to enter a tighter market in 2026 due to accelerated ESS demand [3][10]. - **Aluminum**: Expected to catch up with copper prices as supply constraints from China and other regions persist [3][10]. - **Copper**: Projected to rise further due to tight supply and US stockpiling, although China demand remains a concern [3][10]. - **Gold**: Expected to see smaller gains in 2026 as central bank and ETF buying slows, but rate cuts may support prices [3][10]. - **Iron Ore**: Forecasted to tip into surplus as supply growth outpaces steel demand, although high-cost mines in China may set a price floor [3][10]. - **Zinc**: LME tightness is expected to fade as mine supply growth continues [3][10]. Key Risks - **Demand Destruction Risks**: With significant price increases in the BCOM Precious Metals Index (up 66%) and Industrial Metals (up 13%), there are concerns about potential demand destruction and disconnection from cost curves [4]. - **Global Growth Slowdown**: A sustained global growth slowdown could negatively impact prices, alongside energy price weakness and elevated by-product credits that may drag down cost curves [4]. Additional Insights - **Investor Behavior**: New investments in precious metals are noted, including Tether's gold purchases and India's pension regulator's approval for gold and silver ETF allocations [2]. - **Market Dynamics**: The report emphasizes the importance of resource security and strategic stockpiling, particularly in the context of geopolitical tensions and local opposition to mining projects [28]. Conclusion - The metals industry outlook for 2026 is characterized by a positive skew, driven by various macroeconomic factors and emerging demand sources. However, potential risks related to demand destruction and global economic conditions warrant close monitoring.