Summary of TSMC Conference Call Company and Industry - **Company**: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) - **Industry**: Semiconductors, specifically focusing on automotive semiconductors and AI technologies Key Points and Arguments Tesla Foundry Orders - TSMC's key customer, Tesla, has signed a **US$16.5 billion** chip contract with Samsung Electronics, which is expected to have limited impact on TSMC's earnings per share (EPS) assumptions for 2027 [2][4] - The new AI5 chip, set to launch in January 2026, will be manufactured using TSMC's **3nm process node** and is projected to deliver **4-5 times** higher performance than its predecessor, AI4 [2] - Future manufacturing of Dojo 3 ASIC chips may be challenging for Samsung due to the complexity of TSMC's system on wafer technology [2] China Smart/AI Car Development - TSMC is positioned to benefit from the growth of smart and AI cars in China, with Alchip being a key design service partner for Li Auto, designing a **5nm autonomous chip** [3][10] - The contribution of auto semiconductors to TSMC's revenue was **5%** in Q2 2025, with an estimated **2-3%** of total revenue linked to China’s smart/AI car market [12] Business Impact and Revenue Projections - The shift of some Tesla orders to Samsung is expected to result in a **1% loss** of TSMC's projected revenue for 2027, assuming a **US$2 billion** foundry opportunity per year [6] - TSMC will continue to produce cloud AI semi chips for Tesla and x.AI, which may contribute an additional **0.5%** to TSMC's 2027 revenue [6] Strategic Insights - TSMC does not aim to capture **100% market share** in leading-edge foundry services, as customers typically require a second source for better pricing and support [5] - TSMC's pricing flexibility is limited compared to its peers due to its technology leadership, and it is cautious about entering captive foundry relationships [5] Valuation and Market Outlook - TSMC is rated as **Overweight** with a target price of **NT$1,388**, representing a **20% upside** from the closing price of **NT$1,160** on July 31, 2025 [8] - The company is expected to maintain a strong EPS growth trajectory, with projected EPS of **NT$84.20** for 2027 [8] Risks and Considerations - Potential risks include increased competition leading to pricing pressures, slower-than-expected demand for AI semiconductors, and challenges in maintaining high gross margins [17][21] - Upside risks involve stronger-than-expected demand for AI chips and successful project wins in the hyperscaler market [18] Other Important Content - TSMC remains a top pick in the semiconductor sector, with a favorable industry outlook driven by advancements in AI and automotive technologies [12] - The conference call highlighted the importance of strategic partnerships and technological advancements in maintaining TSMC's competitive edge in the semiconductor market [10][12]

Nvidia (NVDA 0.33%) generated more than $44 billion in revenue during its fiscal 2026 first quarter (which ended April 27), with $39.1 billion of that total coming from its data center business alone. The company sells the most powerful graphics processing units (GPUs) in the world for data centers, and they are the chips every artificial intelligence (AI) developer wants to use.Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang thinks AI data center spending will top $1 trillion per year by 2028, but he's eyeing another trillion-dol ...