There’s a big battle brewing in the booming world of prediction markets — pitting Polymarket against Donald Trump’s crypto empire. Two significant stories have emerged this week, with the first being Polymarket’s plans to re-enter the US market by the end of November. This comes three years after the crypto-powered betting platform was forced to leave America because of a crackdown led by the Biden administration. It’s important to stress that the market leader won’t be available nationwide at first, and ...

特朗普正将自己在金融市场的影响力，从发帖喊单升级为直接入局。这位被外界戏称为「首席交易员」 的美国总统，如今准备通过旗下公司真正「开场子」——进军预测市场业务。 据媒体最新报道，特朗普媒体科技集团周二宣布，将通过与 Crypto.com 合作，在其社交平台 Truth Social 上推出预测市场服务 Truth Predict。该服务将允许用户对体育、娱乐、政治和经济趋势等事件结 果进行押注，并计划在满足监管要求后向全球推广。 这一布局的时机颇为微妙，特朗普本人及其家族成员近年来屡次因股价异动和涉嫌内幕交易引发质疑。 从家族成员加入公司前股价暴涨，到特朗普本人在关税政策变化前喊话「买入」，一系列事件已令市场 对其阵营的交易行为高度敏感。 预测市场正成为华尔街最炙手可热的新赛道。据研究平台 Dune 数据，上周预测市场交易量创下超过 23 亿美元的历史新高。纽交所母公司洲际交易所刚刚向 Polymarket 投资 20 亿美元，芝加哥商品交易所计 划年底前推出相关合约，传统金融巨头的入场正将这个曾被视为「数字赌场」的边缘市场推向主流。 Truth Predict：从「社交平台」到「预测市场」 特朗普媒体科技集 ...

Truth Predict：从"社交平台"到"预测市场" 特朗普媒体科技集团此次入局预测市场，是其与加密货币行业深度绑定战略的延续。 特朗普正将自己在金融市场的影响力，从发帖喊单升级为直接入局。这位被外界戏称为"首席交易员"的 美国总统，如今准备通过旗下公司真正"开场子"——进军预测市场业务。 据媒体最新报道，特朗普媒体科技集团周二宣布，将通过与Crypto.com合作，在其社交平台Truth Social 上推出预测市场服务Truth Predict。该服务将允许用户对体育、娱乐、政治和经济趋势等事件结果进行 押注，并计划在满足监管要求后向全球推广。 这一布局的时机颇为微妙，特朗普本人及其家族成员近年来屡次因股价异动和涉嫌内幕交易引发质疑。 从家族成员加入公司前股价暴涨，到特朗普本人在关税政策变化前喊话"买入"，一系列事件已令市场对 其阵营的交易行为高度敏感。 预测市场正成为华尔街最炙手可热的新赛道。据研究平台Dune数据，上周预测市场交易量创下超过23 亿美元的历史新高。纽交所母公司洲际交易所刚刚向Polymarket投资20亿美元，芝加哥商品交易所计划 年底前推出相关合约，传统金融巨头的入场正将这个曾被 ...

Ah, the financial markets. A bastion of logic, predictability, and sober analysis, right? Not when Donald J. Trump is in the news cycle, apparently. For investors navigating the turbulent waters of global economics, President Trump’s pronouncements have become less about fundamental shifts and more about a high-stakes game of policy roulette. One day, tariffs loom like an apocalyptic storm; the next, a “great deal” is just around the corner, often announced via social media and with all the gravitas of a la ...

Group 1: Trade Agreements and Market Reactions - President Trump announced a "pretty much finalized" trade deal with South Korea, involving $350 billion in investments to the U.S., with tariffs on South Korean imports decreasing from 25% to 15% [2] - The market reacted positively to the South Korea deal, although specific immediate percentage gains on Asian indices were not available [2] - The U.S.-China trade relationship remains volatile, with Trump expressing optimism about a potential deal with China, suggesting a reduction in tariffs in exchange for cooperation on fentanyl precursor chemicals [8] Group 2: Market Volatility and Stock Performance - Following Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese exports, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 878.82 points (1.90%), and the S&P 500 dropped by 2.71%, resulting in a loss of $1.5 trillion in market value [3] - The market rebounded shortly after, with the S&P 500 rising by 1.6% and the Dow Jones climbing by 1.3% due to Trump's softened tone on China [4] - Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT), the parent company of Truth Social, saw its stock rise over 6% after announcing plans to enter the prediction markets business [5] Group 3: Stock Predictions and Analyst Sentiment - DJT's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a beta coefficient of 1.67 and a 52-week low of $15.40, with some analysts predicting a further drop to $9.15 per share by late November 2025 [6] - Analysts have coined the term "TACO" (Trump Always Chickens Out) to describe Trump's tendency to retract tariff threats, reflecting the market's sensitivity to his statements [4][10] - The market's reaction to Trump's statements indicates a reliance on his confidence, as seen with Nvidia shares rising following positive comments from its CEO regarding Trump's trade negotiation abilities [10]

The Morning Minute (10.29)Powered by @yeet⏰Top News:-Crypto majors fall 1-2% ahead of FOMC today; BTC at $113,200-Bitwise SOL ETF breaks 2025 record for launch day volume-Western Union announced stablecoin on Solana-MetaMask introduces Season 1 of rewards with $30M up for grabs-Monad begins 3-day airdrop reveal campaign🌎 Macro Crypto and Memes-Crypto majors are red ahead of today’s FOMC; BTC -1% at $113,100, ETH -3% at $4,000, BNB -2% at $1,115, SOL even at $199-TRUMP (+19%), Pi (+14%) and AERO (+6%) led to ...

Can’t agree? Let the market decide.Access prediction markets across politics economy, sports, and more on Truth Predict, powered by https://t.co/vCNztATkNg.Learn more: https://t.co/RoZqNeKenl https://t.co/1fGTCzYlRT ...

Trump Media and Technology Group, the parent company of Truth Social, announced a new partnership with Crypto.com that will bring prediction markets to the social media platform, positioning it as the first publicly traded social media company to integrate such technology. The collaboration, made through Crypto.com’s U.S. affiliate, Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), will allow Truth Social users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events ranging from elections and economic data to sports a ...

Key Takeaways Digital prediction markets are drawing in throngs of users—and investors. Speculating is trending in stock markets, sports betting, and the broader world of prediction markets. The latter are shaping up up to be the new playgrounds for retail investors—and attracting those who want in on the action. The investor interest follows user activity. Weekly prediction market volume hit a record high last week of over $2.3 billion, across a handful of tracked platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi, ...

What should you trade on Truth Predict? Take a screenshot to find out. https://t.co/wX52cXY6Tl ...