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Teradyne(TER) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company reported sales of $769 million, with non-GAAP EPS at $0.85, both near the high end of guidance ranges [18] - Revenue grew sequentially by 18% and non-GAAP EPS increased by 49% compared to the previous quarter [5] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 58.5%, exceeding guidance due to favorable product mix [18] - Non-GAAP operating expenses rose to $293 million, reflecting higher R&D and sales investments related to AI [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor test revenue was $606 million, with SoC revenue contributing $440 million, up 11% sequentially and 12% year-over-year [18] - Memory revenue more than doubled from Q2 to $128 million, primarily driven by AI applications [18][8] - Robotics revenue remained flat quarter-on-quarter at $75 million, with Universal Robots contributing $62 million [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The memory test market is expected to decline in total addressable market (TAM) for 2025, but the company anticipates sustaining memory revenue at 2024 levels [9] - AI-driven applications for power ICs are expected to grow significantly, with volumes forecasted to increase over 50% by 2027 [9] - The company noted persistent weakness in mobile and auto industrial markets, but Integrated Systems division shipments exceeded plans [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI demand in semiconductor testing, with significant investments in R&D to capture opportunities in this area [12][14] - Long-term growth drivers include AI verticalization and electrification, with expectations for solid growth in 2026 [15] - The company is strategically shifting towards large accounts and OEM channels in robotics to enhance market presence [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about AI-related demand driving growth in Q4 and into 2026, despite acknowledging the lumpy nature of shipments [25][60] - The company expects to see improvements in mobile, auto, industrial, and robotics markets, although the timing of recovery remains uncertain [15] - Management highlighted the importance of dual sourcing strategies among customers, which could benefit the company as it seeks to gain market share [35] Other Important Information - A transition in the CFO position was announced, with Michelle Turner set to take over on November 3, 2025 [16] - The company repurchased $244 million of shares in Q3 and paid $19 million in dividends, returning $575 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks in 2025 [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Upside in Q4 guidance - Management indicated that the upside in Q4 guidance is primarily driven by compute and memory, with compute accounting for about two-thirds of the increase [31] Question: Compute intensity and test insertions - Management expressed optimism about increasing test intensity due to larger die sizes and the shift towards chiplet-based designs [34] Question: Wafer level tests and design wins - Management confirmed that SLT is critical for ensuring quality in data centers and highlighted the importance of new technologies like CoWoP [40] Question: Memory market share and growth expectations - Management expects significant growth in memory revenue driven by market share gains, particularly in DRAM and HBM performance tests [76] Question: NAND growth expectations - Management noted that NAND is currently at a low point but anticipates growth driven by mobile industry demand and SSD capacity for AI data centers [63] Question: Mobile SOC expectations for next year - Management remains uncertain about the magnitude of growth in mobile SOC but is optimistic about potential improvements [69]