Key Takeaways TER has surged 129.2% in six months, lifted by strong AI-driven demand across test and device markets. Semiconductor Test sales rose 7% YoY and 23% sequentially, making up 78.8% of quarterly revenue. TER guides Q4 revenue to $920M-$1B as new test platforms and robotics gain support continue growth.Teradyne (TER) shares have surged 129.2% in the trailing six-month period, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector’s rise of 26% and the Zacks Electronics - Miscellaneous Products increa ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company reported sales of $769 million, with non-GAAP EPS at $0.85, both near the high end of guidance ranges [18] - Revenue grew sequentially by 18% and non-GAAP EPS increased by 49% compared to the previous quarter [5] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 58.5%, exceeding guidance due to favorable product mix [18] - Non-GAAP operating expenses rose to $293 million, reflecting higher R&D and sales investments related to AI [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor test revenue was $606 million, with SoC revenue contributing $440 million, up 11% sequentially and 12% year-over-year [18] - Memory revenue more than doubled from Q2 to $128 million, primarily driven by AI applications [18][8] - Robotics revenue remained flat quarter-on-quarter at $75 million, with Universal Robots contributing $62 million [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The memory test market is expected to decline in total addressable market (TAM) for 2025, but the company anticipates sustaining memory revenue at 2024 levels [9] - AI-driven applications for power ICs are expected to grow significantly, with volumes forecasted to increase over 50% by 2027 [9] - The company noted persistent weakness in mobile and auto industrial markets, but Integrated Systems division shipments exceeded plans [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI demand in semiconductor testing, with significant investments in R&D to capture opportunities in this area [12][14] - Long-term growth drivers include AI verticalization and electrification, with expectations for solid growth in 2026 [15] - The company is strategically shifting towards large accounts and OEM channels in robotics to enhance market presence [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about AI-related demand driving growth in Q4 and into 2026, despite acknowledging the lumpy nature of shipments [25][60] - The company expects to see improvements in mobile, auto, industrial, and robotics markets, although the timing of recovery remains uncertain [15] - Management highlighted the importance of dual sourcing strategies among customers, which could benefit the company as it seeks to gain market share [35] Other Important Information - A transition in the CFO position was announced, with Michelle Turner set to take over on November 3, 2025 [16] - The company repurchased $244 million of shares in Q3 and paid $19 million in dividends, returning $575 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks in 2025 [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Upside in Q4 guidance - Management indicated that the upside in Q4 guidance is primarily driven by compute and memory, with compute accounting for about two-thirds of the increase [31] Question: Compute intensity and test insertions - Management expressed optimism about increasing test intensity due to larger die sizes and the shift towards chiplet-based designs [34] Question: Wafer level tests and design wins - Management confirmed that SLT is critical for ensuring quality in data centers and highlighted the importance of new technologies like CoWoP [40] Question: Memory market share and growth expectations - Management expects significant growth in memory revenue driven by market share gains, particularly in DRAM and HBM performance tests [76] Question: NAND growth expectations - Management noted that NAND is currently at a low point but anticipates growth driven by mobile industry demand and SSD capacity for AI data centers [63] Question: Mobile SOC expectations for next year - Management remains uncertain about the magnitude of growth in mobile SOC but is optimistic about potential improvements [69]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, Teradyne reported sales of $769 million, with non-GAAP EPS at $0.85, both near the high end of guidance ranges [35] - Revenue grew sequentially by 18% and non-GAAP EPS increased by 49% compared to the previous quarter [23] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 58.5%, exceeding guidance due to favorable product mix [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor test revenue was $606 million, with SoC revenue contributing $440 million, up 11% sequentially and 12% year over year [35] - Memory test revenue more than doubled from Q2 to $128 million, primarily driven by AI applications [35][36] - Robotics revenue was $75 million, flat quarter on quarter and down year over year, with Universal Robots contributing $62 million [36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI demand significantly influenced Q3 performance, particularly in semiconductor testing for compute and memory [23][30] - The memory total addressable market (TAM) for 2025 is expected to decline in low double digits, with Teradyne anticipating sustained memory revenue at 2024 levels despite market challenges [26] - The automotive and industrial markets showed some weakness, but AI-driven applications for power ICs were a bright spot [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Teradyne's strategy focuses on AI verticalization and electrification as primary growth drivers moving into 2026 [30] - The company is investing in R&D and manufacturing capacity to capture opportunities in AI-related semiconductor testing [27][30] - A transition in leadership was announced, with Michelle Turner set to become the new CFO, bringing extensive experience in technology and manufacturing [33] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about AI-related demand continuing to drive growth, particularly in compute, networking, and memory sectors [30][41] - The company noted that while Q4 is expected to show strong demand, the timing of projects remains uncertain, leading to potential lumpiness in shipments [41][92] - Overall, 2026 is anticipated to be stronger than previously expected, with improvements in mobile, auto, industrial, and robotics markets [31] Other Important Information - Teradyne repurchased $244 million of shares in Q3 and paid $19 million in dividends, returning approximately $575 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks during the year [37] - The company ended Q3 with $427 million in cash and marketable securities [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the upside in Q4 guidance? - Management indicated that the upside is primarily driven by compute and memory, with compute accounting for about two-thirds of the increase and memory for one-third [48] Question: How is Teradyne positioned for high-performance compute? - Management expressed optimism about increasing test intensity due to larger die sizes and the shift towards chiplet-based designs, which require more rigorous testing [56] Question: What are the expectations for memory growth in 2026? - Management expects significant growth in memory, particularly in DRAM and HBM, driven by AI applications, although NAND growth is anticipated to be slower [94] Question: How does Teradyne view the robotics market? - Management noted that while robotics revenue is expected to show some seasonal uplift in Q4, predicting growth remains challenging due to market volatility [131]

Core Insights - Teradyne (TER) is expected to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 28, 2025, with projected revenues between $710 million and $770 million and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) between $0.69 and $0.87 [1][8] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Teradyne's earnings is currently at $0.78 per share, reflecting a 13.3% decline from the same quarter last year. The revenue consensus is set at $744.5 million, indicating a slight increase of 0.98% year-over-year [2] Performance Drivers - The anticipated strong performance in the AI compute end-market is expected to significantly contribute to Teradyne's Q3 results, driven by high demand for custom ASICs from hyperscalers. The acquisition of Quantifi Photonics is also expected to enhance Teradyne's market share in the AI compute sector [4][8] - Strong orders for UltraFLEXplus systems, attributed to increasing utilization rates, are likely to support revenue growth. Memory revenues are projected to have rebounded, while mobile revenue growth is expected to be modest. However, the robotics and automotive markets are anticipated to remain soft, negatively impacting overall growth [5][8] Earnings Surprise Potential - According to the Zacks model, Teradyne has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), which suggests a lower likelihood of an earnings beat compared to other stocks with a positive Earnings ESP [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive outlook for the company, expecting revenue growth driven by AI demand in the second half of the year [4][18]. Core Insights - In FY25Q2, the company reported revenue of $652 million, a year-over-year decline of 10.68% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 4.96%, but it exceeded the guidance midpoint [2][7]. - The gross margin was 57.3%, down 1 percentage point year-over-year and down 3.3 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, but close to the upper end of guidance [2][4]. - The net profit for the quarter was $78 million, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 57.92% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 20.73% [2][7]. - The company anticipates Q3 revenue to be between $710 million and $770 million, with a year-over-year change of -3.66% to +4.48% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 8.90% to 18.10% [4][18]. Summary by Sections Overall Performance - The company achieved revenue of $652 million in FY25Q2, with a gross margin of 57.3% and a net profit of $78 million [2][7]. - Inventory at the end of Q2 was $351 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 21.45% [2][7]. Performance by Business Segment - **Semiconductor Testing**: Revenue was $492 million, down 12% year-over-year, with SoC revenue contributing $397 million, down 4% [3][10]. - **Robotics**: Revenue was $75 million, up 9% quarter-over-quarter but down 17% year-over-year, affected by a weak industrial and automotive market [3][10]. - **Product Testing**: Revenue was $85 million, up 7% year-over-year, benefiting from the acquisition of Quantifi Photonics [3][10]. Industry Trends and Business Impact - Long-term growth drivers include AI, verticalization, and electrification, which are expected to accelerate revenue growth [4][16]. - Short-term challenges include macroeconomic factors affecting demand, but the company expects stronger performance in the second half of the year [4][16]. Company Guidance - The company projects Q3 revenue between $710 million and $770 million, with a gross margin range of 56.5% to 57.5% [4][18]. - Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be between $0.69 and $0.87 [4][18].