Investment Rating - The investment rating for Galaxy Entertainment is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of HKD 39.50 [7][8]. Core Insights - Galaxy Entertainment's GGR (Gross Gaming Revenue) recovery in the mass market and slot machines is stronger than the industry average, although there is a sequential decline in GGR, possibly due to the completion of renovations at Sands, leading to customer migration back to Sands [1][2]. - The EBITDA margin has improved sequentially, with adjusted EBITDA reaching HKD 3.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16% [1][2]. - The company is actively responding to the trend of casual gaming by accelerating its non-gaming transformation, including expanding its slot machine business and hosting concerts to attract visitors [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, Galaxy Entertainment reported net revenue of HKD 11.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6% but a sequential decrease of 1% [1]. - The adjusted EBITDA for the same period was HKD 3.3 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16% and a sequential increase of 2% [1]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin (excluding construction) was 32.4%, compared to 32.3% in Q1 2019 and 30.6% in Q4 2024 [1]. Visitor Trends and Future Outlook - The May Day holiday saw strong visitor traffic in Macau, with an average of 170,000 visitors per day, significantly exceeding the tourism bureau's forecast [3]. - Upcoming concerts featuring popular artists are expected to continue driving visitor traffic and GGR in the coming months [3]. - The opening of the Capella hotel is anticipated to enhance visitor attraction, although the impact of frequent performances by certain artists may be limited [3][4]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for Galaxy Entertainment remains unchanged, with projected gross gaming revenue of HKD 45.2 billion, HKD 50.1 billion, and HKD 55.3 billion for 2025-2027 [4]. - The EBITDA estimates for the same period are HKD 14.7 billion, HKD 15.4 billion, and HKD 17 billion respectively [4].