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理想汽车-W(02015):2025年中期业绩公告点评:业绩符合预期,纯电+VLA有望实现共振
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-31 09:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company's mid-2025 performance aligns with expectations, with potential for synergy between pure electric vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems (VLA) [3] - Due to structural adjustments in the company's vehicle lineup, revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards, with expected revenues of 121.6 billion, 152.7 billion, and 191.2 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year changes of -16%, +26%, and +25% [3] - The company's investment in AI continues to increase, leading to a downward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 4 billion, 7 billion, and 11.5 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -50%, +73%, and +66% [3] - The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 1.9, 3.3, and 5.4 yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 43, 25, and 15 times [3] - The company maintains a leading position in intelligent assisted driving, and its product matrix is continuously improving, justifying the "Buy" rating [3] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 30.25 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 16.7% [9] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.1%, with a vehicle sales gross margin of 19.4% [9] - The company reported a net profit of 1.09 billion yuan for Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 68% [9] - The company plans to launch new electric SUV models to expand its product matrix and enhance its market position [9] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 91.70 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 149.22 billion HKD [7] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 2.45 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 54.35% [8]