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三利谱(002876):稼动率短期拖累业绩,份额继续突破
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-07 06:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.68 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.97%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 31.47% to 38 million yuan, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items fell by 45.48% to 35 million yuan. The non-recurring items mainly consisted of government subsidies [2][6]. - The polarized film industry is currently experiencing rapid domestic substitution, with a clearer trend of separation among the three major suppliers. The company still has significant potential for market share growth, particularly with new products in OLED polarized films and VR headset optical composite films [2][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the second quarter, the company achieved a revenue of 874 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.51% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8 million yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decline due to increased depreciation from the Hefei Phase II project. The gross margin for the second quarter was 15.52%, up 1.10 percentage points year-on-year but down 2.20 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net margin was 0.95%, down 2.90 percentage points year-on-year and 2.71 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [12][12]. - The Hefei Phase II project, which transitioned to fixed assets with an investment of 745 million yuan, is still in the ramp-up phase regarding yield and capacity utilization, resulting in a loss of 15.23 million yuan in the first half of the year [12]. Product Development and Market Position - The company is expected to rely on dual drivers from 65-inch LCD polarized films and OLED circular polarized films. The UV glue polarized films and hydrophobic material polarized films for large-size TVs have been fully mass-produced, addressing previous shortcomings in the large-size TV segment. The company is also developing new OLED polarized films with features such as thinner profiles, eye protection, and blue light filtering [12]. - The company’s market share continues to increase significantly, and the potential for new products in OLED polarized films and VR optical composite films is promising [2][12]. Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 0.53 yuan, 1.30 yuan, and 1.80 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 47.66, 19.57, and 14.11 respectively [12].