Core Viewpoint - Chevron's CEO Mike Wirth has warned about the potential exit of the company from Venezuela due to the expiration of a Biden-era license, which allows Chevron to operate in the country and export oil to the U.S. [1][5] Group 1: Chevron's Operations in Venezuela - Chevron is currently the only American company operating in Venezuela, exporting approximately 240,000 barrels per day, which constitutes over a quarter of the country's total oil output [10] - The company is under pressure from the Trump administration to cease drilling activities in Venezuela, with a mandate to wind down operations starting March 1 [1][4] - Wirth emphasized that halting operations would have significant implications for U.S. energy security, as Gulf Coast refineries are specifically designed to process Venezuelan oil [7] Group 2: Geopolitical Implications - Wirth expressed concerns about the growing influence of China in the Western Hemisphere, noting that if Chevron exits, it would create opportunities for Chinese and Russian companies to fill the void [7][9] - He highlighted that China is currently the largest buyer of Venezuelan oil, and discussions have been ongoing to encourage further purchases from Venezuela [7] - The potential shift in oil trade dynamics could lead to increased Chinese control over Venezuelan resources, which Wirth argues is not in the best interest of the U.S. [9] Group 3: Political Context - The Trump administration's stance includes imposing a 25% tariff on countries purchasing Venezuelan oil, which adds to the complexities of U.S.-Venezuela relations [5] - Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado supports the Trump administration's strategy, asserting that the current regime is at its weakest point [9] - Machado also pointed out that Venezuela possesses the largest proven oil and gas reserves globally, suggesting that a democratic government could transform the country into an energy hub [10]

Core Viewpoint - Chevron Corporation has been ordered by the Trump administration to cease operations in Venezuela within 30 days, significantly impacting both U.S. and Venezuelan oil markets [1][2]. Group 1: Chevron's Operations and Impact - Chevron has been operating in Venezuela since 2022 under a U.S. sanctions exception, exporting crude oil and recovering billions in debt [2]. - The company’s joint ventures with PDVSA account for nearly 20% of Venezuela's oil output, which has stabilized the country's economy and controlled inflation [3]. - Chevron's operations have provided a steady revenue stream for Venezuela through royalties and taxes, benefiting its oil and banking sectors [6]. Group 2: Market Implications - The termination of Chevron's license will likely reduce Venezuela's oil revenues and could pressure U.S. gasoline prices, increasing risks for U.S. companies investing abroad [4]. - Chevron's Venezuelan oil exports decreased from 294,000 barrels per day in January to 252,000 barrels per day in February, indicating a downward trend that may affect global crude supply chains [5]. - The loss of Chevron's payments may weaken Venezuela's exchange market, leading to currency depreciation and further economic instability [7].