NVIDIA (NasdaqGS:NVDA) Q4 2026 Earnings call February 25, 2026 05:00 PM ET Company ParticipantsBen Reitzes - Managing Director and Head of Technology ResearchColette Kress - EVP and CFOHarlan Sur - Executive Director of Equity ResearchJensen Huang - President and CEOMark Lipacis - Senior Managing DirectorToshiya Hari - VP of Investor Relations and Strategic FinanceConference Call ParticipantsAaron Rakers - Managing Director and Technology AnalystAntoine Chkaiban - Technology Infrastructure AnalystAtif Malik ...

NVIDIA (NasdaqGS:NVDA) Q4 2026 Earnings call February 25, 2026 05:00 PM ET Speaker11Good afternoon. My name is Sarah, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to NVIDIA's fourth quarter earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, followed by the number one on your telephone ...

Key TakeawaysNVIDIA (NVDA) is projected to report Q4 revenue of approximately $65.7 billion, representing a massive 67% year-over-year increase driven by relentless AI demand.Wall Street expects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.53, with critical focus on whether gross margins can maintain the 75% threshold.Guidance for Q1 FY2027 will be the primary market mover, with analysts looking for a forecast between $72.4 billion and $75 billion to sustain the current "AI supercycle" narrative.Investor attenti ...

Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) has entered the final stages of a landmark $30 billion equity investment in OpenAI, effectively replacing a massive $100 billion infrastructure agreement that had been the subject of intense market speculation.A Strategic DecouplingThe $30 billion deal, confirmed by sources close to the negotiations, marks a significant pivot from the “non-binding” letter of intent signed in September 2025.That original plan contemplated a $100 billion investment tied to the deployment of 10 gigaw ...

Meta's $115 Billion AI Bet Puts NVIDIA at the Center of a Multi-Year Spending Cycle - 24/7 Wall St.[S&P 5006,861.40 -0.28%][Dow Jones49,416.60 -0.48%][Nasdaq 10024,796.80 -0.36%][Russell 20002,653.43 -0.18%][FTSE 10010,647.20 -0.59%][Nikkei 22556,995.50 -0.96%][Stock Market Live February 19, 2026: S&P 500 (SPY) Slips on Walmart Outlook][Investing]# Meta's $115 Billion AI Bet Puts NVIDIA at the Center of a Multi-Year Spending Cycle### Quick ReadNvidia (NVDA) secured a multi-year AI infrastructure deal with M ...

Core Insights - Meta has formed a multiyear partnership with Nvidia to enhance its artificial intelligence infrastructure [1][2] - The collaboration aims to support the development of data centers for AI training and inference, as well as Meta's core business [2] Partnership Details - Engineers from both companies will work together to optimize and accelerate state-of-the-art AI models for global AI capabilities [4] - Meta will utilize Nvidia's technology in its WhatsApp messaging service and broader infrastructure initiatives [3] AI Capabilities - Meta's AI assets include the Llama open foundation model family, which features advanced recommendation systems and ad-ranking tools [9] - AI-powered advertising products are projected to reach an annualized run rate of approximately $60 billion by 2025, enhancing click-through, conversion, and pricing metrics [10] Strategic Focus - The company's smart glasses are primarily viewed as an AI interface to retain users within Meta's ecosystem, focusing on monetizing views through advertising rather than establishing an independent commerce platform [11] - AI and agents are seen as strengthening Meta's core business rather than threatening it, with speculation about a potential rebranding to "MetAI" [12]

Economic Outlook - Fitch Ratings projects that U.S. federal deficits will remain elevated through the 2027 fiscal year, with little political will for fiscal consolidation ahead of the November 2026 midterm elections [2] - The Trump administration may use alternative authorities to impose new tariffs, which could increase inflationary pressures while addressing trade imbalances [3] Technology Sector - Meta Platforms announced a significant agreement to acquire and deploy "millions" of chips from Nvidia, including Blackwell GPUs and Grace CPUs, aiming to enhance AI capabilities for billions of users [4][5] - This partnership solidifies Nvidia's market leadership, although it raises concerns about the substantial capital expenditure required for AI advancements, contributing to volatility in tech indices [5] Energy Sector - Devon Energy reported a strong Q4 with $702 million in free cash flow, exceeding analyst expectations for production and earnings, with an average production of 851,000 barrels of oil equivalent (Boe) per day [6] - The company anticipates a spending outlook of $3.5 billion to $3.7 billion for 2026, despite forecasting a production cut of 10,000 Boe per day in Q1 due to severe winter weather [7] Investment Strategies - Carl Icahn has shifted his investment strategy, reducing exposure in telecommunications and specialty chemicals by cutting stakes in EchoStar and International Flavors & Fragrances, while increasing holdings in Centuri Holdings and Monro, Inc. [8][9] - Netflix Co-CEO Ted Sarandos indicated a cautious approach to media industry consolidation, preferring to wait for Paramount Global's next move before making any strategic decisions [9] Global Macro Trends - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is facing pressure to consider a rate hike as inflation remains at 3.1%, slightly above the target band [10] - Wall Street is experiencing high volatility, influenced by AI-driven growth potential and risks from rapidly evolving technology and trade policies [11]

Group 1: Company Performance - Nvidia reported earnings of $57 billion in Q3 of fiscal year 2026, marking a 62% year-over-year increase [5] - The company anticipates earning $65 billion in Q4, indicating a potential 14% sequential growth [5] Group 2: Market Demand - The demand for AI accelerator chips remains strong, with consulting firm McKinsey projecting the semiconductor market could reach $1.6 trillion by 2030 [4] - Tech giants are increasing their budgets for AI, suggesting continued growth for AI chipmakers like Nvidia [4] Group 3: Product Development - Nvidia's upcoming Vera Rubin platform, set to launch in the second half of 2026, combines Vera CPUs and Rubin GPUs, promising greater efficiency than the current Blackwell platform [6] - The Vera Rubin platform has garnered positive attention from tech leaders, with notable endorsements from figures like Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg [7] Group 4: Investment Interest - Hedge fund billionaires, including David Tepper and Daniel S. Loeb, have increased their stakes in Nvidia, indicating strong investor confidence [1][2]

Summary of Greater China Technology Hardware Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference focused on the Greater China Technology Hardware sector, specifically addressing the impact of input cost hikes on profit outlook for 2026 [4][8]. Core Insights - **Opportunities in AI and Server Upgrades**: There are significant opportunities in AI GPU and ASIC server/rack design upgrades, particularly with the upcoming Vera Rubin platform and Kyber architecture [8][8]. - **AI ASIC Server Expansion**: The magnitude of AI ASIC server upgrades and volume expansion is primarily centered around TPU and Trainium platforms [8][8]. - **Share Price Upside Potential**: Analysts see potential for share price upside in the near term due to various factors including AI server power solutions and capacity expansion across the tech hardware supply chain [8][8]. - **Risks Identified**: - Consumer electronics demand, particularly for smartphones and PCs, is being negatively impacted by rising memory costs [8][8]. - Anticipated lower business momentum in the second half of 2026 due to pull-forward builds in the first half [8][8]. - Raw material price hikes (copper, nickel) and supply tightness are expected to create margin headwinds [8][8]. - Supply shortages may delay shipment pace, affecting overall market performance [8][8]. Key Stock Ideas - **AI Server Hardware**: Recommended stocks include Wistron, FII/Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Delta Electronics, AVC, BizLink, King Slide, Accton, Chenbro, Gold Circuit, Innolight, FIT, and Fositek [8][8]. - **Edge AI Companies**: Notable mentions include Xiaomi, Luxshare, and Lenovo [8][8]. Valuation Comparison - A detailed valuation comparison of various companies within the Greater China Technology Hardware sector was provided, including metrics such as market cap, EPS estimates, P/E ratios, and target prices [10][10]. - Companies highlighted include Lite-On Tech, Delta, Hon Hai, Foxconn Tech, and others, with specific price targets and ratings [10][10]. Additional Considerations - The report emphasizes the importance of considering Morgan Stanley Research as one of several factors in investment decision-making, acknowledging potential conflicts of interest [4][5]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the current state and future outlook of the Greater China Technology Hardware industry.

Core Insights - Nvidia is the leader in the AI accelerator market, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of 29% through 2030, indicating continued strong performance for Nvidia [1] - With a market cap of $4.6 trillion, achieving significant stock price growth becomes increasingly challenging, prompting investors to consider smaller companies with higher growth potential [2] Company Analysis Micron Technology - Micron develops high-bandwidth memory (HBM), which is in high demand due to the AI data center boom, positioning it favorably in the market [3] - In Q1 of fiscal 2026, Micron reported revenue of $13.6 billion, a 57% increase year-over-year, with net income reaching $5.2 billion compared to $1.9 billion in the same quarter last year [4] - The stock price has risen by 250% over the past year, leading to a market cap of over $340 billion, with a P/E ratio of 34, slightly above the S&P 500 average [6] Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) - AMD is well-positioned to compete with Nvidia, with a market cap around $380 billion and plans to release the MI450 AI accelerator, which may outperform Nvidia's offerings [7][8] - In Q3 of 2025, AMD's revenue was $9.2 billion, reflecting a 36% year-over-year growth, with net income of $1.2 billion and a profit growth rate of 61% [9] - Despite a P/E ratio of 115, AMD's forward P/E of 35 suggests potential for rapid profit growth, making it an attractive investment opportunity [11]