Global Commodities Research 01 July 2025 J P M O R G A N Global Commodities The Week in Commodities This is a summary note that consolidates the latest views of our global commodity strategists published over the week; to read detailed reports, refer to the hyperlinks. It also contains hyperlinks to other related research/podcasts on the global commodities market. Oil Markets Weekly: Major supply disruption risk at 21%, but deterrent lines are now well-defined Global Commodities Webinar: US Enters War with ...

All right, let's take a look at WTI this morning. Crude oil up by about 1% 6577. It's dropped down from the rough roughly $75 level that we saw just a couple of weeks ago when Israel and Iran were firing missiles at each other.Joining us right now is Don Striven. He is Goldman Sachs co-head of global commodities research and it's the um beginning of a new quarter. So, let's look back at what happened last quarter, Don, and just kind of walk through things.WTI was up 7% for the month, but it's down 9% for th ...

Core Viewpoint - Allete's shares have entered oversold territory with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 29.7, indicating potential buying opportunities as heavy selling may be exhausting [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance - Allete shares traded as low as $63.555, with a current trading price of $63.65, reflecting a decrease of approximately 0.3% on the day [1][3] - The 52-week range for Allete shares is between $61.51 (low) and $66.40 (high) [3] Group 2: Technical Indicators - The average RSI for the energy stocks universe is 51.1, while WTI Crude Oil has an RSI of 47.5, and Henry Hub Natural Gas is at 41.4 [2] - The 3-2-1 Crack Spread RSI is currently at 45.6, indicating a relatively stronger position compared to Allete's RSI [2]

June 17, 2025 04:01 AM GMT North American Energy | North America Navigating Geopolitical Risks & Stronger Oil WTI has rallied ~20% in June alongside rising geopolitical risks. Near-term strength could continue, but prices are biased lower in 2H25 absent supply disruption. Post recent moves, we revisit views across the Energy Sector. From here, we remain selective with a defensive bias & prefer gas over oil. Key Takeaways The Extel Survey is now open. We would greatly appreciate your support for the Joy.Golu ...

Oil option trading volumes at CME Group are up 35% so far in 2025. The uncertain oil outlook makes options useful tools. But that's not all.Once the exclusive domain of hedging specialists, quantitative experts, oil options are democratizing, attracting energy giants, retail traders, and multistrategy commodity funds. Here are three reasons why more traders are getting involved. One, better tools.The proliferation of options analytics and education empowers new firms to explore options and existing users to ...

Group 1 - JPMorgan maintains a Brent crude oil forecast in the low-to-mid $60s through 2025, with a flat price of $60 in 2026, indicating that geopolitical tensions are largely priced in [1][2] - The fair value of Brent is pegged at $66, suggesting a $10/bbl geopolitical premium during escalated tensions [1] - In an $80 WTI upside scenario, certain energy companies are expected to show industry-leading free cash flow (FCF) to enterprise value yields, with Talos at 40.7%, SM at 37.1%, and Civitas at 31.2% by 2027 [3] Group 2 - Despite a muted outlook for crude oil, JPMorgan identifies high-conviction upside in overlooked energy equities, suggesting potential for significant returns for investors willing to accept volatility [4] - Civitas Resources Inc is projected to have a 35% upside to $45, SM Energy Co a 24% upside to $35, and Talos Energy Inc an 18% upside to $11 [6] Group 3 - JPMorgan outlines three reasons for its cautious stance on oil prices, including a low probability of an all-out attack on Iran, the economic implications of closing the Strait of Hormuz, and the financial constraints faced by Gulf nations [5]

details on what really happened here. And I think Boeing has turned itself around. >> All right.Meantime, WTI crude hitting its highest level since January after Iran's retaliatory attacks on Israel. How much higher can prices go. Let's bring in AP chief oil analyst Denton Cinquegrana.Denton, great to have you with us. >> Thank you. Good to see you.>> You apparently believe that much of today's move or all of today's move perhaps was short covering. >> Yeah. No, this market had a lot of open interest.Rule o ...

Core Viewpoint - The rising tensions between Israel and Iran are causing concerns over oil supply risks, leading to an increase in oil prices, which could benefit companies like APA that are involved in oil production [2][5]. Group 1: Oil Price Impact - Israeli airstrikes on Iran have prompted retaliatory drone strikes, raising investor concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies from the Middle East [2]. - As a result of these geopolitical tensions, WTI crude oil prices have risen by 6.5% to $72.50 per barrel, while Brent Crude oil has increased by 6.4%, nearing $74 per barrel [4]. - The ongoing conflict may lead to sustained increases in oil prices as fears of broader regional instability grow [5]. Group 2: APA Company Analysis - APA stock has seen a 3.8% increase, reflecting investor sentiment regarding rising oil prices [1]. - The company reported a profit of $804 million last year, with a current trading valuation of approximately 7.2 times trailing earnings, indicating potential for growth as oil prices rise [6]. - APA offers a 5% dividend yield and generates superior free cash flow of $1.2 billion, which is about 20% more than its reported trailing-12-month earnings, making it an attractive investment option [7].

Oil option trading volumes at CME Group are up 35% so far in 2025. The uncertain oil outlook makes options useful tools. But that's not all.Once the exclusive domain of hedging specialists, quantitative experts, oil options are democratizing, attracting energy giants, retail traders, and multistrategy commodity funds. Here are three reasons why more traders are getting involved. One, better tools.The proliferation of options analytics and education empowers new firms to explore options and existing users to ...

9 June 2025 | 9:44PM EDT Oil Tracker: Price Recovery Amid Easing Demand Concerns and Mixed Tightness Signals Brent prices rose by $3 to $67/bbl over the past 10 days on: 1) fading demand fears, 2) downside risks to North American supply, and 3) geopolitical tensions between Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Iran. Prices rose despite mixed signals about physical tightness—including rising inventories—and about OPEC+ supply. The US May jobs report and ISM surveys suggest the economy is slowing slightly. However, mark ...