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Walmart Stock at 36.5X P/E: Smart to Hold or Time to Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 15:45
Key Takeaways Walmart trades at a 36.5X forward P/E, above industry and sector averages, underscoring investor confidence.Expanding e-commerce, automation and advertising drive Walmart's earnings growth potential.Analysts have raised near-term estimates as Walmart posts 5.6% sales growth and stronger digital performance.Walmart Inc. (WMT) continues to command investor confidence, as reflected in its forward 12-month P/E ratio of 36.49, higher than the industry average of 33.45 as well as the broader Zacks R ...
Can PayPal's New Ads Manager Drive Top-Line Growth in 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 18:31
Key Takeaways PayPal introduced Ads Manager to help small businesses earn from website traffic and ad placements.The launch aligns with PayPal's push to tap into high-margin retail media and strengthen global reach.AI investments and partnerships with Google and PayPal World support broader commerce ambitions.PayPal Holdings (PYPL) stock gained 4.7% during yesterday’s trading session on the NYSE, following the recent announcement of the launch of PayPal Ads Manager. It is a new platform designed specificall ...
Walmart Inc. (WMT): A Bull Case Theory
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-08 16:55
We came across a bullish thesis on Walmart Inc. on Compounding Dividends’s Substack by TJ Terwilliger. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on WMT. Walmart Inc.'s share was trading at $103.05 as of September 25th. WMT’s trailing and forward P/E were 38.89 and 39.53 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Jim Cramer Says You Don't Have Anything For General Mills, Inc. (GIS) Unless It Combines With Kraft-Heinz Nejron Photo/Shutterstock.com Walmart Inc. (WMT) is a global retail powerhouse ...
Walmart's Marketplace Gains Speed: Next E-Commerce Catalyst?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 15:56
Key Takeaways Walmart's global marketplace sales climbed 17% in Q2 fiscal 2026, led by strong U.S. growth.Marketplace expansion lifted fulfillment efficiency, with 44% of volume via Walmart Fulfillment Services.Advertising surged 46% globally as more marketplace sellers used Walmart Connect for targeted promotions.Walmart Inc.’s (WMT) marketplace business is emerging as a key driver behind its e-commerce surge. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, global marketplace sales advanced 17%, reflecting broader s ...
Walmart vs. Target: Which Retail Stock Holds the Edge Now?
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 16:16
Core Insights - Walmart Inc. and Target Corporation are two major players in the U.S. retail sector, each with distinct strategies and strong market positions [1][3] - Both companies reported second-quarter results that demonstrate resilience despite a challenging consumer environment [1] Walmart Overview - Walmart operates over 10,500 stores in 19 countries, focusing on "everyday low prices" across various categories including groceries and digital businesses [2] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $819 billion, showcasing its scale and value-driven model [3] - Walmart's omnichannel strategy, including curbside pickup and same-day delivery, has driven a 25% increase in global e-commerce sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 [4] - Walmart Connect, the advertising business, is creating a high-margin revenue stream, while the Walmart+ membership program enhances customer loyalty [5] - Significant investments in AI, automation, and supply chain efficiency are central to Walmart's strategy, helping to maintain low prices and protect profitability [6] - Walmart's international operations, particularly in markets like China and Flipkart, contribute to its growth and risk diversification [7] - For fiscal 2026, Walmart anticipates consolidated net sales growth of 3.75-4.75% and adjusted operating income growth of 3.5-5.5% [8] Target Overview - Target operates nearly 2,000 stores, emphasizing a blend of affordability and style, and utilizes its stores as fulfillment hubs for e-commerce [2][9] - The company has a market capitalization of around $40 billion, reflecting its brand-focused strategy [3] - Target's brand identity and customer loyalty initiatives, such as the Target Circle program, are key strengths [11] - In the second quarter of 2025, Target deployed over 10,000 AI licenses to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience [12] - Target's comparable sales declined by 1.9% in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with expectations of a low-single-digit sales decline for the fiscal year [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year sales decline of 1.3% and a significant EPS decline of 15.5% for Target in the current fiscal year [18] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, Walmart shares have increased by 29.2%, while Target shares have decreased by 43.8% [21] - Walmart's forward P/E ratio is 36.69, above its historical median, while Target's forward P/E is 11, below its one-year median, indicating relative undervaluation for Target [24] - Despite valuation favoring Target, Walmart's stronger momentum and growth prospects position it as the better investment option currently [26]
Walmart Stock Jumps 22% in Six Months: Hold Steady or Take Profits?
ZACKS· 2025-09-12 14:01
Core Insights - Walmart Inc. has maintained investor momentum with a stock increase of 21.5% over the past six months, driven by robust strategies and operational excellence, raising questions about whether its strong fundamentals can justify its high valuation moving forward [1][17]. Stock Performance - Over the last six months, Walmart's stock has outperformed the broader industry, which rose by 17.7%, the Zacks Retail – Wholesale sector's growth of 15.1%, and the S&P 500's increase of 19.8% [2]. - Walmart's stock closed at $102.65, just 2.5% below its 52-week high of $105.3, indicating strong upward momentum and price stability [4]. Competitive Positioning - Walmart has outperformed competitors like Kroger, Costco, and Target, with Kroger and Costco shares rising by 1.7% and 8.3%, respectively, while Target's shares fell by 12.4% [3]. Financial Performance - In Q2 fiscal 2026, Walmart's total revenues reached $177.4 billion, a 4.8% year-over-year increase, with comparable sales in Walmart U.S. up 4.6% [9]. - E-commerce sales surged by 25% globally, with Walmart U.S. experiencing a 26% increase, supported by delivery and marketplace gains [10]. Growth Drivers - Walmart's digital transformation has created a fast-growing e-commerce ecosystem, enhancing customer loyalty and operational efficiencies [10]. - High-margin businesses, including advertising and membership income, are contributing to Walmart's growth, with international markets like China and Mexico driving double-digit growth [11]. Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Walmart anticipates consolidated net sales growth of 3.75-4.75% and adjusted EPS in the range of $2.52-$2.62, indicating growth from the previous fiscal year [13]. - Analysts have recently upgraded their earnings estimates for Walmart, reflecting optimism about its prospects [15]. Valuation - Walmart is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 36.73, higher than the industry average of 32.87, indicating strong investor confidence but also potential risks if growth slows [17].
Walmart(WMT) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 17:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported low single-digit inflation in the U.S., with food prices being higher than desired due to prolonged increases in categories like prepared and processed foods [8][9] - The operating income percentage is expected to improve as the second P&L, which includes e-commerce and other new revenue streams, scales up [19][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - E-commerce has turned profitable recently, contributing positively to the overall business model [15][19] - The rollback count on food items increased by about 30%, with over 7,000 rollbacks reported [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is experiencing strong demand from middle to upper-income consumers, while middle to lower-income consumers are showing some stress [2][3] - The promotional environment remains rational despite tariff impacts, allowing the company to maintain competitive pricing [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a dual P&L structure to differentiate between traditional retail and e-commerce operations, aiming for long-term profitability [18][19] - Investments in automation and AI are expected to revolutionize the supply chain, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [21][23][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management anticipates consistent consumer behavior for the remainder of the year, with gradual cost pressures expected to continue [58] - The competitive landscape is expected to remain stable, with well-run retailers likely to gain market share [66][67] Other Important Information - The company is leveraging its technology and supply chain capabilities to enhance the performance of Sam's Club, with plans for new club openings and e-commerce integration [51][52] - The advertising business is growing, with opportunities in both the U.S. and international markets, particularly in India [41][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for consumer health in the back half of the year - Management expects consumer health to remain consistent, with gradual cost pressures playing out over time [58] Question: Pricing elasticity response - The response to pricing actions is expected to depend on tariff levels and the rational behavior of customers [59][60] Question: Inventory growth expectations - The company has managed inventory well, with only a 2.2% increase in Walmart U.S. inventory at the end of the last quarter [62][63] Question: Margins outlook for freight, wages, and materials - Expectations for some categories, like wage inflation, are normalized, but others, such as steel tariffs, are expected to worsen [65] Question: Competitive landscape and market share consolidation - Market share consolidation is expected to remain stable, with new entrants and changes among participants continuing to occur [66][67]
Walmart Raises Sales Guidance: Will Margins Catch Up Next?
ZACKS· 2025-09-01 15:31
Core Insights - Walmart Inc. reported strong sales momentum in its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with revenues increasing by 5.6% in constant currency, driven by e-commerce growth and solid performance in both the U.S. and international markets [1][8] - The company raised its full-year sales outlook to 3.75%-4.75% and adjusted EPS guidance to $2.52-$2.62, while maintaining its forecast for adjusted operating income growth at 3.5%-5.5% in constant currency, indicating a cautious approach despite positive sales trends [2][8] - Profitability is under pressure due to increased liability claims and tariffs, with an additional $450 million in liability claim costs recorded in Q2, totaling $730 million year-to-date [3][8] Financial Performance - Walmart's advertising revenues surged nearly 50% globally, with a 31% increase in Walmart Connect U.S., and membership income grew by 15% [4] - E-commerce economics improved, with better marketplace penetration and delivery efficiencies contributing to enhanced margins [4] - The company's shares have increased by 25.6% over the past year, closely aligning with the industry growth of 25.8%, while competitors Costco and Target saw different performance outcomes [5] Valuation Metrics - Walmart's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 34.84, which is higher than the industry average of 31.98, indicating a premium valuation compared to Target but a discount relative to Costco [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Walmart's current financial-year sales implies a year-over-year growth of 4%, while earnings per share are expected to grow by 3.6% [10]
Walmart E-Commerce Soars 25% Globally: How Big Can Digital Get?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 15:30
Core Insights - Walmart Inc.'s second-quarter fiscal 2026 results demonstrate significant growth in its digital ecosystem, with global e-commerce sales increasing by 25% [1][9] - The company's strategic focus on fulfillment speed and convenience has driven this growth, particularly in the U.S. market [2][3] - Walmart's e-commerce business is becoming a central growth engine, raising questions about its future scale [5] E-commerce Performance - E-commerce sales in the U.S. rose by 26%, supported by rapid delivery options and a growing advertising business, Walmart Connect, which increased by 31% [3][4] - Sam's Club U.S. also reported a 26% increase in e-commerce sales, while international operations achieved 22% growth, particularly in markets like China and Flipkart [3][4] Fulfillment and Marketplace Growth - Store-fulfilled delivery in the U.S. surged nearly 50%, with one-third of deliveries completed in under three hours and 20% within 30 minutes [2][9] - Marketplace sales grew by approximately 20%, with 44% of marketplace volume now utilizing Walmart Fulfillment Services, enhancing operational efficiency and third-party seller appeal [4][9] Advertising and Membership Revenue - Walmart's global advertising business experienced a remarkable 46% growth, while membership income rose by 15.3%, contributing to the overall digital revenue mix [4][9] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a year-over-year sales growth of 4% for Walmart's current financial year, with expected sales of $708.01 billion [8][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates indicate a year-over-year growth of 3.98% for the current year, with an EPS of $2.61 [11][10] Stock Performance and Valuation - Walmart's shares have increased by 27.7% over the past year, closely aligning with the industry growth of 27.4% [12] - The company's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio is 34.79, higher than the industry's 32.03, indicating a moderate valuation [12]
Walmart(WMT) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-21 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated Q2 revenue increased by 5.6% in constant currency, outperforming expectations with each business segment showing stronger sequential sales growth than in Q1 [27][28] - Adjusted operating income grew by 0.4% in constant currency, impacted by a headwind of 560 basis points due to expenses related to general liability claims [11][43] - Adjusted EPS increased by 1.5% to $0.68, with discrete charges related to legal matters and restructuring adjusted out for comparison purposes [43] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - E-commerce sales grew by 25% globally, with all segments exceeding 20% growth, led by Walmart U.S. and Sam's Club U.S. at 26% [7][8] - Walmart U.S. comp sales grew by 4.6%, with strength across general merchandise categories, particularly in apparel, media, gaming, and automotive [9][28] - Sam's Club U.S. comp sales, excluding fuel, increased nearly 6%, driven entirely by unit growth [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International sales increased by 10.5% in constant currency, with significant contributions from China, Walmex, and Flipkart [8][32] - E-commerce growth in international markets was over 20%, with penetration approaching 27% of segment sales [32] - Sales in China grew by 30%, while Walmex experienced over 6% growth [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining price leadership while investing in associates, supply chain automation, and technology, including AI [26][49] - The introduction of AI roles aims to enhance customer service, improve associate experience, and increase productivity [18][20] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming holiday season and has seen positive trends in back-to-school sales [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current economic uncertainty and anticipates gaining market share [25][26] - The company raised its full-year sales growth guidance in constant currency by 75 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4.75% [44] - Management acknowledged ongoing cost pressures but maintained long-term profit growth expectations [43][49] Other Important Information - The company has approximately 7,400 price rollbacks, with a 30% increase in grocery rollbacks compared to last year [16][74] - Inventory levels are healthy, with a global increase of 3.8% and a 2.2% increase in Walmart U.S. [13][44] - The company is closely monitoring customer demand and managing inventory in response to tariff impacts [15][44] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the underlying profitability and any temporary factors affecting it? - Management indicated that while some profitability may be masked by temporary factors, the overall business mix remains strong, with growth in marketplace, advertising, and membership [52][55] Question: How does recent competition in grocery delivery affect Walmart's strategy? - Management acknowledged that competition is improving but emphasized the focus on customer needs and maintaining convenience as a competitive advantage [59][61] Question: How does Walmart address concerns about gross margin performance? - Management highlighted the importance of long-term trends over quarterly fluctuations and expressed confidence in navigating unexpected expenses while maintaining guidance [63][66] Question: What is the current state of inventory management? - Management reported strong inventory levels and effective management practices, with a focus on supporting unit growth and maintaining clean sell-throughs [70][74] Question: Can you elaborate on price changes and consumer response? - Management noted that as costs rise, consumer behavior shifts, but the company has flexibility in managing pricing across categories [80][82] Question: What are the strategic priorities for international markets? - Management discussed the focus on e-commerce growth and the integration of global platforms in Canada, Mexico, and India to enhance capabilities and market presence [85][90]