Summary of Hisense Home Appliances Group (000921.SZ) 2Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hisense Home Appliances Group - **Ticker**: 000921.SZ - **Period**: 2Q25 Key Financial Metrics - **Total Revenue**: Rmb49,340 million in 1H25, +1% YoY - **Net Profit**: Rmb2,077 million in 1H25, +3% YoY - **2Q Performance**: Revenue and net profit declined by -3% and -8% YoY respectively, which was below expectations [1][8] Core Business Insights - **Central AC Impact**: Central air conditioning (AC) sales experienced a significant decline of 10%+ in 2Q25, attributed to a weak property market and reduced support from trade-in programs [3][4] - **Legacy White Goods**: Sales of washing machines and refrigerators grew by +5% and +14% YoY respectively in 1H25, aligning with expectations [3] - **Regional Performance**: Overseas sales maintained resilience with +12% YoY growth in 1H25, while domestic sales were flat YoY, indicating a sequential decline in 2Q due to central AC pressures [3] Margin Analysis - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Increased by 0.6 percentage points to 21.5% in 2Q25 - **Operating Profit Margin (OPM)**: Remained stable at 4.8% in 2Q25 - **Core EBIT Growth**: Excluding non-recurring items, core EBIT grew by 7% in 2Q25 [3] Management Focus Areas - Upcoming earnings call expected to address: 1. Channel breakdown of 2Q decline and outlook for central AC business 2. Trade-in stimulus impacts on domestic legacy white goods 3. Competition intensity in split AC market 4. Updates on export orders and tariff impacts 5. Potential for margin expansion [4] Investment Thesis - **Rating**: Buy - **Rationale**: 1. High earnings growth visibility supported by 2024 ESOP target 2. Attractive dividend yield 3. Undemanding forward P/E valuation against high single-digit profit growth expectations - **Future Drivers**: 1. Growth in the VRF business through Hisense-Hitachi JV 2. Margin improvement in legacy white goods 3. Operational improvements at Sanden with rising EV contributions [5] Valuation and Price Target - **12-month Target Price**: Rmb34 for A-shares and HK$29 for H-shares, based on 14x/11x 2027E P/Es for Hisense-Hitachi JV and legacy white goods respectively [6] Key Risks 1. Weaker-than-expected demand for white goods due to global macroeconomic conditions 2. Further property market slowdown affecting VRF demand 3. Increased competition from domestic players threatening Hisense-Hitachi JV's position 4. Margin dilution from higher developer channel penetration 5. Below-expected integration of Hisense-Hitachi JV 6. Underperformance of legacy white goods business [7]

Summary of Hisense Home Appliances Group (000921.SZ) Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hisense Home Appliances Group - **Ticker**: 000921.SZ - **Industry**: Home Appliances Key Financial Results - **2Q25 Performance**: - Total revenue: Rmb 49,340 million, Net profit: Rmb 2,077 million - Year-over-year growth: +1% in revenue, +3% in net profit - 2Q25 implied decline: -3% in revenue, -8% in net profit - **Market Reaction**: - Share price declined by 5.6% in A-shares and 6.4% in H-shares, compared to CSI300 (-3.2%) and HSI (-1.6%) [1][2] Management Insights - **Earnings Call Date**: July 31 - **Key Topics Discussed**: - 2025 guidance, Hisense-Hitachi partnership, overseas updates, domestic competition, margin outlook - **Management's View**: - Results may be better than they appear due to short-term adjustments in the central AC business, which is expected to improve [2][4] - Developer channel revenue declined, but retail and commercial channels remained stable [2][4] Margin and Revenue Insights - **Margins**: - Domestic margins remained stable while export margins improved due to product upgrades and operational efficiency [2][8] - **Channel Performance**: - Core central AC business saw a decline, but positive growth was noted in the 2C channel [5][8] - **Overseas Sales**: - Negative growth in overseas sales attributed to proactive risk management; expected improvement in 4Q25 [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - **Revised Earnings Estimates**: - EPS estimates for 2025E-2027E revised down by 0-2% [6][10] - **Price Target**: - 12-month target price set at Rmb 34 for A-shares and HK$ 29 for H-shares, based on 14x/11x 2027E P/Es [12][14] - **Valuation Metrics**: - Current trading at 10x/8x 25E P/E with a dividend yield of 5%/6% [2][10] Investment Thesis - **Reasons for Buy Rating**: - High earnings growth visibility supported by 2024 ESOP target - Attractive dividend yield - Undemanding forward P/E against high single-digit profit growth [10][11] Risks Identified - **Key Risks**: - Weaker global demand for white goods - Property market slowdown affecting VRF demand - Increased domestic competition impacting Hisense-Hitachi JV - Margin dilution from developer channel penetration - Integration challenges with Hisense-Hitachi JV [13][10] Conclusion - **Overall Outlook**: - Despite short-term challenges, the long-term growth potential remains strong due to product expansion and operational improvements. The company is positioned to benefit from synergies between its central and split AC businesses, as well as overseas market opportunities [2][10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The impending tariffs, scheduled to take effect on August 1, could significantly impact consumer prices and the economy, despite Wall Street's perception that they are mere posturing [2][3]. Group 1: Tariff Implications - Tariffs are essentially taxes imposed on imported goods, which can lead to increased prices for consumers as businesses are likely to pass on the additional costs [4][10]. - Affected products include a wide range of goods, from cars to groceries, with potential price increases of up to 15% or more [5][11]. - The broad nature of the tariffs will create ripple effects throughout the economy, influencing prices even for domestically produced goods [8][11]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Past trade disputes have shown that tariffs can lead to inflation, supply chain disruptions, and job instability in sectors reliant on global trade [6][12]. - While some domestic industries may benefit from tariffs, the overall effect on the average consumer is likely to be higher costs [13]. Group 3: Financial Strategies - Companies and consumers are advised to take proactive financial measures, such as making major purchases before price increases occur [15]. - Stocking up on non-perishable essentials and seeking domestic alternatives can help mitigate the impact of rising prices [16][17]. - Strengthening emergency funds and considering inflation-resistant investments, such as commodities and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), are recommended strategies [21][23].