Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Geely Automobile, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [1][6]. Core Views - Geely is expected to have more resilient gross profit margins (GPM) compared to its peers, supported by sales growth, cost reduction efforts, and overseas sales potential [1]. - Management's positive outlook on GPM enhances confidence despite a miss in the 4Q25 GPM forecast [1]. - The company is well-positioned due to its synergy with the parent company and partnerships, which are not viewed as a valuation drag [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 179,204 million in FY23A to RMB 407,506 million in FY27E, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 34% [2]. - Net profit is expected to increase significantly from RMB 5,308.4 million in FY23A to RMB 21,660.3 million in FY27E, with a notable growth of 213.3% in FY24A [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from RMB 0.53 in FY23A to RMB 1.96 in FY27E [2]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 30.2x in FY23A to 8.1x in FY27E, indicating improved valuation over time [2]. Earnings Revision - The net profit forecast for FY26E has been revised down by 3% to RMB 19.4 billion, reflecting better earnings quality than FY25 [8]. - The gross profit margin is expected to rise to 17.4% in FY26E, aided by economies of scale and improved model mix [6][8]. - The revenue forecast for FY25A has been slightly adjusted to RMB 345,232 million, a 0.4% increase from the previous estimate [8]. Share Performance - The current market capitalization of Geely is approximately HK$ 183,656.1 million, with a target price set at HK$ 25.00, indicating a potential upside of 37.7% from the current price of HK$ 18.15 [3][6]. - The stock has shown a 6.5% increase over the past month and an 8.1% increase over the past three months [5]. Shareholding Structure - Mr. Li Shufu holds a significant stake of 44.6% in Geely, indicating strong insider confidence in the company [4].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Zeekr brand achieved annual sales of 224,000 units, with a record monthly delivery of over 30,000 units in December [1] - Lynk & Co sales volume reached 350,000 units, with new energy vehicles accounting for 65% of the mix [3] - Galaxy sales reached 1.236 million units, up by 150% [3] - Geely's gross margin improved to 16.9% in Q4 2025, higher than the full-year average of 16.6% [67] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Zeekr 9X sales exceeded 22,000 units within three months of launch, ranking first in its segment [1] - Lynk & Co 09 accumulated over 50,000 units in six months, ranking among the top three full-size hybrid SUVs [3] - Galaxy E5 ranked top two in China's BEV A-class SUV segment [4] - Geely China Star ICE reached sales of 1.214 million units in 2025 [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Geely ranked number one in China's passenger vehicle sales for two consecutive years [6] - The export target for 2026 is set at 640,000 units, with a yearly increase of over 50% [10] - New energy vehicle sales in overseas markets reached 124,000 units, with a growth of 240% [45] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Geely aims to reduce vehicle lifecycle carbon emissions by 25.5% by the end of 2025 [5] - The company plans to focus on technology and globalization, with a sales volume target of 3.45 million units for 2026 [5] - The strategy includes diversifying energy inputs and enhancing competitiveness in the NEV market [32][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving record high core net profit attributable to shareholders in the next annual meeting [42] - The company acknowledges the competitive landscape in overseas markets and plans to deepen local production capabilities [46] - Management emphasized the importance of safety and intelligence in vehicle development, establishing a global automotive safety center [17][19] Other Important Information - Geely has established partnerships with companies like NVIDIA to enhance AI applications in vehicles [22] - The integration of Lynk & Co and Zeekr is expected to improve resource allocation and operational efficiency [56][62] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: How does Geely evaluate overseas markets and its competitive edge? - Geely reported that in 2025, exports reached 420,000 units, with a focus on building local production capabilities and branding [45][46] Question: What are the driving reasons for the gross margin improvement? - The gross margin improved due to high-end product sales, particularly from Zeekr, which accounted for nearly 9.5% of total sales volume in Q4 2025 [67] Question: Will Geely release a new five-year strategy? - Geely's current strategy, launched in 2021, focuses on smart ecosystems and energy, with plans to continue enhancing its technological capabilities [71]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Auto Industry - **Key Drivers**: - Upcoming 3Q25 earnings results at the end of October - Auto shows and overseas debuts showcasing new models and product strategies for 2026 - Policy direction with a 50% probability of continued subsidies or stimulus in 2026, focusing on energy efficiency of NEVs [2][41] Company-Specific Insights BYD Company Limited - **3Q25 Earnings Preview**: Expected profitability rebound from Rmb5,500 in 2Q25 to around Rmb7,000 in 3Q25, with further improvement to Rmb8,000 in 4Q25. Consensus estimates may be aggressive [13][24] - **Market Share**: Loss in domestic market share attributed to aging models; new designs expected to be introduced at the Guangzhou Auto Show [21][22] - **Sales Projections**: Anticipated to deliver approximately 5.3 million units in 2026, with 1.3-1.4 million units from overseas markets [22][24] - **Profitability Outlook**: Projected blended profit per unit of Rmb9,000 to Rmb9,500 in 2026 [24] Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd. - **Share Price Performance**: Up 27% YTD, driven by a 30% earnings upgrade [15] - **3Q25 Earnings Forecast**: Expected to reach Rmb3.8 billion, a 60% YoY increase [15][33] - **Volume Growth**: Projected 15% growth in 2026, with over 50% growth in exports [33] XPeng Inc. - **Product Strategy**: Introduction of EREV powertrains and new battery electric SUVs planned for 2026 [25][26] - **Volume Growth**: Expected to achieve over 600,000 units in 2026, a 35% increase [26] - **Technology Day**: Scheduled for early November to detail humanoid robot strategy [26][29] NIO Inc. - **New Model Launches**: Successful launches of L90 and ES8 SUVs; L80 SUV expected in late 1Q26 [27][30] - **Profitability Outlook**: Anticipated narrowing of losses in 4Q25 due to new launches and reduced cash burn [28][30] Leapmotor - **Product Strategy**: Launch of new models expected to drive over 50% volume growth in 2026 [33] - **Profitability Improvement**: Projected to achieve GPM of 20% in the coming years [33] GAC Group - **Product Strategy**: Plans to launch new models across various brands with different NEV powertrains [38] - **Partnerships**: Collaboration with JD.com for battery-swapping EVs expected to enhance sales [38] SAIC Motor Corporation - **Product Strategy**: Anticipated benefits from VW's new model plan in China [39] - **Profitability Outlook**: Expected stabilization and improvement in profitability in 2026 [39] Li Auto - **New Launch**: i6 5-seater BEV SUV launched at Rmb249,800 [43] - **Sales Projections**: Expected to achieve 430,000 units in 2025 and 589,000 units in 2026 [43] Government Policy Insights - **Subsidy Policy**: Current trade-in subsidy expected to expire by year-end, but potential for extension with conditions on energy efficiency [41][42] - **Purchase Tax Eligibility**: New requirements for NEVs to qualify for tax incentives, emphasizing energy efficiency [42] Market Performance - **Overall Market Trends**: China autos' share prices up 22% YTD, with significant divergence among stocks [10] - **Sales Forecasts**: Anticipated growth in domestic PV sales, with projections for 2026 indicating continued demand [44] This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections from the conference call, highlighting the dynamics within the China auto industry and specific company strategies and performance expectations.

Core Insights - Zeekr Group reported a total delivery of 51,159 vehicles in September 2025, marking an 8.5% increase year-over-year and a 14.1% increase month-over-month [2] - The Zeekr brand delivered 18,257 vehicles, while Lynk & Co delivered 32,902 vehicles, supported by over 2.1 million cumulative users [2] Product Launches - Lynk & Co launched its first mid-to-large hybrid sedan, the Lynk & Co 10 EM-P, featuring advanced technologies such as smart electric AWD, centimeter-level LiDAR, and the NVIDIA Thor chip for intelligent driving [3] - Zeekr introduced its flagship luxury SUV, the Zeekr 9X, built on the SEA-S architecture, featuring the SEA super hybrid system and G-Pilot intelligent driving assistance, along with premium amenities for a luxury experience [4] Company Overview - Zeekr Group, headquartered in Zhejiang, China, is a leading premium new energy vehicle group under Geely Holding Group, focusing on creating a fully integrated user ecosystem and developing its own software systems and electric vehicle supply chain [5]

Core Insights - Zeekr Group reported a total vehicle delivery of 130,866 units in Q2 2025, marking a 9.3% year-over-year increase and a 14.8% quarter-over-quarter increase [1][2] - The company achieved vehicle sales revenue of RMB 22,916 million (US$ 3,199 million) for Q2 2025, reflecting a 2.2% increase from Q2 2024 and a 20.0% increase from Q1 2025 [4][15] - Net loss for Q2 2025 was RMB 287 million (US$ 40 million), a significant decrease of 88.8% from Q2 2024 and 62.4% from Q1 2025 [23][24] Operational Highlights - Zeekr brand delivered 49,337 vehicles, while Lynk & Co brand delivered 81,529 vehicles, with 58.8% of Lynk & Co deliveries being NEV models [1] - In July 2025, Zeekr Group delivered 44,193 vehicles, a 2.7% increase from the previous month [8] Financial Performance - Total revenues for Q2 2025 were RMB 27,431 million (US$ 3,829 million), a decrease of 0.9% from Q2 2024 but an increase of 24.6% from Q1 2025 [4][15] - Gross profit for Q2 2025 was RMB 5,656 million (US$ 789 million), up 13.3% year-over-year and 34.3% quarter-over-quarter [4][15] - Vehicle margin improved to 17.3% in Q2 2025, compared to 11.5% in Q2 2024 and 16.5% in Q1 2025 [4][7] Cost Management - Cost of revenues for Q2 2025 was RMB 21,775 million (US$ 3,040 million), down 4.0% from Q2 2024 [15] - Research and development expenses decreased by 42.9% year-over-year to RMB 2,146 million (US$ 300 million) [15] New Developments - Zeekr launched its Super Hybrid Technologies on July 9, 2025, featuring a 900V high-voltage architecture and advanced battery technology [9][10] - The Zeekr 9X, the first model to incorporate this technology, is set to commence deliveries in Q3 2025 [10]

Core Insights - Zeekr Group reported a total delivery of 44,193 vehicles in July 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 19.7% and a month-over-month increase of 2.7% [2] - The Zeekr brand delivered 16,977 vehicles, while Lynk & Co delivered 27,216 vehicles, supported by over 2 million cumulative users [2] - The company introduced its Super Hybrid Technologies on July 9, featuring a 900V high-voltage architecture and advanced e-motors, setting new industry standards [3] - The Zeekr 9X will be the first model to utilize this technology, achieving a peak output of 1,030 kW and accelerating from 0-100 km/h in under 3.1 seconds, with ultra-fast charging capabilities [4] Company Overview - Zeekr Group, headquartered in Zhejiang, China, is a leading premium new energy vehicle group under Geely Holding Group, focusing on creating an integrated user ecosystem [5] - The company operates two brands, Lynk & Co and Zeekr, and is committed to innovation, equality, diversity, and sustainability in its operations [5] - Zeekr Group is developing its own software systems, e-powertrain, and electric vehicle supply chain to enhance its market position [5]

Core Insights - Zeekr Group reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with total vehicle deliveries reaching 114,011 units, a 21.1% increase year-over-year, driven by the Zeekr brand's 25.2% growth in deliveries [2][3][5] - The company achieved a vehicle margin of 16.5%, up from 13.1% in Q1 2024, indicating improved profitability [5][7] - Despite a decrease in total revenues by 37.8% from Q4 2024, the company saw a slight year-over-year increase of 1.1% compared to Q1 2024 [5][17] Delivery Performance - Total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2025 were 114,011 units, with Zeekr brand delivering 41,403 units and Lynk & Co brand delivering 72,608 units [2][3] - In April 2025, Zeekr Group delivered 41,316 vehicles, marking a 1.5% increase from the previous month [8] Financial Performance - Vehicle sales amounted to RMB 19,096 million (US$ 2,631 million) in Q1 2025, a 16.1% increase from Q1 2024 [5][17] - Total revenues were RMB 22,019 million (US$ 3,034 million), reflecting a 1.1% increase year-over-year but a significant decrease of 37.8% from Q4 2024 [5][17] - Gross profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 4,213 million (US$ 580 million), an 18.8% increase from Q1 2024 [5][17] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin improved to 19.1% in Q1 2025, compared to 16.3% in Q1 2024 [5][17] - The company reported a net loss of RMB 763 million (US$ 105 million) for Q1 2025, a 60.2% decrease from the same period in 2024 [5][19] Recent Developments - The Zeekr 7GT was launched in April 2025, showcasing advanced technology and performance capabilities [9] - The flagship luxury SUV, Zeekr 9X, was unveiled at the Shanghai Auto Show, set for global launch in Q3 2025 [10] - Lynk & Co began deliveries of the Lynk & Co 900, a large family SUV, which has already received over 40,000 pre-orders [11] Management Commentary - CEO Andy An highlighted the successful integration of Zeekr and Lynk & Co, expanding the user base to over 1.9 million [13] - CFO Jing Yuan noted that enhanced platform synergies and disciplined supply chain management contributed to record profitability, with vehicle margins reaching 16.5% [13]

Core Viewpoint - Zeekr Group reported a total of 41,316 vehicle deliveries in April 2025, reflecting a 1.5% month-over-month increase, supported by a user base of over 1.9 million [2]. Group 1: Delivery Results - In April 2025, Zeekr Group delivered 41,316 vehicles, with Zeekr brand contributing 13,727 vehicles and Lynk & Co delivering 27,589 vehicles [2]. - The 1.5% increase in deliveries compared to the previous month indicates a positive growth trend for the company [2]. Group 2: New Product Launches - The Zeekr 7GT, launched on April 15, 2025, features advanced silicon carbide-powered e-motors, achieving 0-100 km/h in 2.95 seconds, showcasing high performance and safety [3]. - Zeekr Group introduced its flagship luxury SUV, the Zeekr 9X, at the Shanghai Auto Show, marking its first hybrid model and aiming for a global launch in Q3 2025 [4]. - The Lynk & Co 900, a large six-seater family SUV, began deliveries on April 28, 2025, with over 40,000 pre-orders since its debut in December [5]. Group 3: Company Overview - Zeekr Group, part of Geely Holding Group, is headquartered in Zhejiang, China, and focuses on creating a fully integrated user ecosystem with innovation as a standard [6]. - The company is developing its own software systems, e-powertrain, and electric vehicle supply chain, emphasizing values of equality, diversity, and sustainability [6].