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NVIDIA Rubin Wreckage: Modine and Credo
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 18:11
Core Insights - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang highlighted the rapid advancements in AI technology, particularly with the introduction of Alpamayo, the world's first thinking and reasoning model for autonomous vehicles, which utilizes a 10 billion-parameter vision-language-action model [1][2] - The demand for AI computing is surging, with model sizes increasing by 10 times annually and reasoning generating 5 times more tokens per year, while the cost of tokens is decreasing by 10 times [3] - NVIDIA's new Vera Rubin GPU system features significant innovations, including a design stripped of cables, hoses, and fans, utilizing hot-water liquid cooling at 45°C, which could disrupt the data center cooling market [6][7] NVIDIA Innovations - The Vera Rubin system is expected to be a game-changer in the robotics industry, with a projected cost of approximately $5 million per supercomputer rack-scale system [5] - The system's design allows AI factories to eliminate mechanical water chillers, relying instead on simpler cooling solutions, which has raised concerns for companies like Modine Manufacturing that specialize in data center chillers [7][9] Market Reactions - Modine's stock experienced a significant drop of over 20% following the announcement of the Vera Rubin system, reflecting investor concerns about the future demand for traditional cooling solutions [8][9] - Credo Technology Group also faced stock volatility, with shares falling due to fears that the new systems would replace copper cabling with optical interconnects, although a subsequent recovery was noted as investors reassessed the situation [10][11] Credo Technology Developments - Credo is diversifying its product offerings, focusing on both copper-based Active Electrical Cables and optical interconnect solutions, with recent innovations including ZeroFlap optical transceivers and a strategic acquisition of Hyperlume, Inc. [14][15][16] - The company aims to expand its Total Addressable Market (TAM) by prioritizing optical solutions while maintaining its leadership in the AEC market [16]
Credo Technology Just Proved It's an AI "Picks-and-Shovels" Stock Worth Watching
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 09:40
Core Insights - Credo Technology's stock surged 10% following a record-setting earnings report for Q2 of fiscal 2026, with a year-to-date increase of over 180% [1][4] - The company is positioned to benefit from the significant growth in the AI and data center markets, with projections indicating the AI market could expand from $279 billion to $3.5 trillion by 2033, and the data center market from $347.6 billion to $652 billion by 2030 [4] Company Overview - Credo Technology, based in San Jose, California, specializes in high-performance connectivity solutions for data centers, 5G carriers, AI, and high-performance computing markets [3] - The company offers products like Active Electrical Cables (AECs) that enhance data transfer efficiency in data centers, and its OmniConnect architecture aims to improve AI inference scalability [5][6] Financial Performance - For Q2 of fiscal 2026, Credo reported revenue of $268 million, a 272% increase year-over-year and a 20.2% increase from Q1, with gross margins at 67.5% [7][8] - The company achieved a net income of $86.2 million and earnings per share of $0.44, ending the quarter with a cash balance of $813.6 million [7] Future Outlook - Management provided guidance for Q3 revenue between $335 million and $345 million, indicating a potential 151% increase year-over-year, with projected gross margins between 63.8% and 65.8% [8] - Analysts have raised price targets for Credo, with Mizuho increasing its target to $225 and Bank of America raising it from $165 to $240, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [11] Market Position - Credo's valuation is characterized by a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 276 and a forward P/E of 90, which, while elevated, is seen as manageable compared to other companies in the sector [9][10] - The company is recognized as a critical player in the AI ecosystem, providing essential connectivity solutions that support the functionality of high-end chips from major AI companies [11][12]