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Strategy Shares Slide 41% YTD: Is Holding the Best Move Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 20:06
Core Insights - Strategy (MSTR) shares have declined 41.1% year to date (YTD), significantly underperforming the broader Zacks Finance sector's growth of 11.3% and the Zacks Financial-Miscellaneous Services industry's decline of 10.1% [1][6] - The stock's performance is adversely affected by high valuation concerns and Bitcoin's volatility, making it sensitive to the broader crypto-market downturn [2][6] Valuation Concerns - Strategy's forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio stands at 99.25X, which is substantially higher than the industry average of 2.92X, indicating significant overvaluation [4] - Key peers like Riot Platforms, CleanSpark, and Coinbase trade at much lower multiples, further highlighting Strategy's stretched valuation [4] Bitcoin Accumulation Strategy - As of October 26, 2025, Strategy holds approximately 640,808 BTC valued at nearly $71 billion, representing one of the largest corporate Bitcoin positions globally [8] - The company has generated a 26% BTC yield and nearly $12.9 billion in Bitcoin-related gains YTD, with a full-year BTC yield target of 30% for 2025 [8] Capital Raising Capacity - In Q3, Strategy raised approximately $5.1 billion in net proceeds through various equity-based financing programs, enhancing its liquidity for Bitcoin acquisitions [9] - From October 1 to October 26, the company generated an additional $89.5 million in net proceeds, demonstrating consistent capital inflows [10] Software Business Growth - Strategy's software revenues rose 10.9% in Q3, driven by increased demand for analytics solutions and customer adoption [11] - Subscription services surged 65.4% year over year, indicating a shift towards recurring, high-margin revenues, which enhances revenue stability [12] Earnings Guidance - Strategy reaffirmed its full-year outlook, projecting $80 per share for 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings at $78.04 per share, a significant improvement from a loss of $15.73 per share over the past 30 days [16]
Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Allstate (ALL) After Lower-Than-Expected Catastrophe Losses
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-02 05:53
Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) is recognized for its low beta stocks that can outperform market volatility, with Piper Sandler reaffirming an Overweight rating and a $225 price target on September 19 [1] Group 1: Catastrophe Losses and Policy Growth - Allstate's August catastrophe losses were lower than expected, contributing to a positive outlook [2] - The company experienced a year-over-year increase in policies-in-force (PIF), particularly in the auto segment, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth in auto policies [2] - Total policy growth showed a sequential acceleration from the previous month [2] Group 2: Earnings Projections - Piper Sandler raised its 2025 EPS projection for Allstate from $21.56 to $25.28, primarily due to lower-than-expected catastrophic losses in the quarter [3] - Allstate provides a range of insurance services, including protection, health, and property and casualty insurance, along with consumer protection plans and analytics solutions [3]