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Intuitive Surgical Pre-Q4 Analysis: Buy, Hold or Sell ISRG Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2026-01-20 19:42
Core Viewpoint - Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, with preliminary results indicating significant growth in procedures and revenues, although pricing pressures and tariffs may impact margins [2][3][10]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ISRG's fourth-quarter sales is $2.87 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $2.25 [2]. - Preliminary fourth-quarter revenues are projected at approximately $2.87 billion, reflecting a 19% increase year-over-year [3]. - ISRG has maintained stable EPS estimates of $8.65 for 2025 and $9.61 for 2026 over the past month [2]. Growth Metrics - The company reported an 18% growth in procedures globally, with a 4% increase in average da Vinci system utilization [3][10]. - A total of 532 da Vinci surgical systems were placed in the fourth quarter, including 303 da Vinci 5 systems, contributing to strong demand [3][12]. Segment Performance - The Instruments & Accessories (I&A) segment saw a 17% revenue growth in the fourth quarter, supported by the increase in procedures, although pricing pressure was noted [8][10]. - The Systems segment benefited from strong demand for da Vinci 5, with average selling prices (ASPs) for da Vinci systems reaching at least $1.6 million [12]. Competitive Landscape - Intuitive Surgical's close peers, Thermo Fisher Scientific and Boston Scientific, are also set to announce their quarterly results, with ISRG having outperformed them in terms of earnings surprises in recent quarters [4][5]. Valuation Insights - ISRG is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 55.21X, which is above the industry average of 30.02X, indicating a premium valuation despite a decrease from a five-year high [19]. - The company's high valuation reflects its growth prospects, although it is currently rated with a Value score of D, indicating concerns about its valuation level [19]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to sustain strong top-line performance through 2026, driven by da Vinci procedure growth and the adoption of the Ion platform [21]. - However, ongoing challenges in pricing, particularly in China and for ambulatory surgery centers in the U.S., may temper growth [9][22]. - Geopolitical tensions and tariff issues could also pose risks to global performance, although domestic revenues are somewhat insulated due to key manufacturing operations in the U.S. and Mexico [23].
Intuitive(ISRG) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, revenue grew 23% to $2.5 billion, with pro forma operating margin at 39% and pro forma earnings per share increasing by 30% [19][32][36] - Pro forma gross margin for the quarter was 68%, down from 69.1% in Q3 of the previous year, attributed to tariffs and a greater mix of lower-margin revenue [33] - Pro forma net income for Q3 was $867 million, compared to $669 million last year, with pro forma earnings per share at $2.40 [36][37] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total procedure growth was 20%, with da Vinci procedures increasing by 19% and ION procedures by 52% [19][20][7] - The installed base of da Vinci systems increased by 13% to nearly 10,800 systems, while average system utilization grew by 4% [20][21] - ION platform saw a 52% increase in procedures, with the installed base up by 30% to approximately 950 systems [20][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., total procedures increased by 18%, with da Vinci procedures growing by 16% and ION procedures by 48% [21][23] - Outside the U.S., total procedures grew by 25%, driven by strong results in India, Canada, Korea, Taiwan, and Brazil [23][24] - Average system utilization in international markets grew by 8% in Q3, reflecting strong multi-specialty procedure growth [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on the full launch of da Vinci V, increasing adoption of focused procedures, and driving progress in product quality and manufacturing optimization [16] - Plans to offer refurbished Xi systems as part of a broader portfolio to expand access in certain geographies [9] - The company is committed to enhancing digital tools and integrating AI and machine learning into surgical processes [96] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the strong demand for da Vinci V and the potential for increased utilization as more systems are adopted [6][19] - The company updated its 2025 guidance for da Vinci procedure growth to a range of 17% to 17.5% [44] - Management acknowledged challenges in the bariatric market and competitive pressures in China but remains focused on navigating these dynamics [88][89] Other Important Information - The company placed 427 da Vinci systems in Q3, a 13% increase from the previous year, with 240 being da Vinci V systems [26][28] - Service revenue increased by 20% to $396 million, reflecting a 13% increase in the da Vinci installed base [32] - The company ended the quarter with $8.4 billion in cash and investments, down from $9.5 billion last quarter, primarily due to share repurchases [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Trends driving procedure volume growth and sustainability - Management noted strong growth in U.S. da Vinci procedures, with Q3 growth at 16%, driven by benign general surgery and elective procedures [50][51] Question: Refurbished Xi systems and market potential - Management highlighted the importance of refurbished Xi systems for cost-sensitive customers and noted that 20 refurbished XIs have been sold so far [59][60] Question: Utilization of da Vinci systems in ASCs - Management indicated that capital costs are a greater constraint than sterilization challenges for ASCs, with a focus on increasing interest in the ASC market [102][104] Question: Impact of haptics and force feedback technology - Management discussed the potential of da Vinci V to make robotic surgery more ubiquitous, particularly in benign general surgery [107]
Intuitive Surgical Crushes Q2 Expectations, So Why No Rally?
MarketBeat· 2025-07-23 14:12
Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical reported solid Q2 financial results, with a notable growth in sales and earnings, but shares did not rise significantly due to a conservative outlook on future growth [1][2][8] Financial Performance - Q2 sales reached $2.44 billion, a growth of over 21% year-over-year, surpassing Wall Street estimates by approximately $90 million [3] - Adjusted net income per diluted share was $2.19, reflecting a 23% increase, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.92 [3] Key Metrics and Guidance - Da Vinci procedure growth remained strong at 17%, consistent with Q1 and the full year 2024 [2] - The company raised its 2025 full-year guidance, increasing da Vinci procedure growth expectations by 25 basis points to a midpoint of 16.25% [4] - Adjusted gross margin forecast was boosted by 75 basis points to 66.5%, attributed to a reduced estimated tariff impact [4] Product Performance - Intuitive placed 180 da Vinci 5 systems in Q2, marking a 157% increase from the previous year, indicating strong interest in the new product [5] - The da Vinci SP system saw an 88% increase in procedure growth, while the Ion lung biopsy robot experienced a 52% growth [11] International Market Challenges - International system placements fell to 179 from 192 a year ago, impacted by budgetary pressures in Japan, China, and Europe [6] Long-Term Outlook - The robotics-assisted surgery market remains under-penetrated, providing a long-term growth opportunity for Intuitive Surgical, especially internationally [9] - A new factory opened in Bulgaria aims to meet future international demand [9] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Current price target for Intuitive Surgical is $593.09, indicating a potential upside of 16% based on analyst ratings [12] - Analysts may raise price targets following the positive earnings results, suggesting increased near-term upside potential [13]
Intuitive(ISRG) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-22 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the quarter was $2,440 million, representing a 21% growth year over year [27] - Pro forma operating margin was 39%, and pro forma earnings per share increased by 23% to $2.19 [20][36] - Pro forma net income for the second quarter was $798 million compared to $641 million last year [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - da Vinci procedure growth was 17%, with a notable increase in benign general surgery in the US [9][21] - SP procedures grew 88%, driven by strong growth in Korea and Europe [29] - ION procedures increased by 52%, with approximately 35,000 procedures performed in the quarter [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the US, da Vinci procedures grew 14%, while outside the US, they grew 23%, with strong contributions from India and Korea [22][23] - Capital placements in the US increased by 45%, while placements in Japan decreased by 26 systems year over year [63] - Total systems placed in the quarter were 395, a 16% increase from the previous year [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on the full launch of da Vinci V and increasing adoption of focused procedures through training and market access efforts [18] - There is a commitment to innovation and expanding the digital ecosystem to enhance clinician training and patient care [12][17] - The company aims to improve operational efficiency and product quality while navigating macroeconomic challenges [8][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged ongoing macro challenges in international markets but expressed confidence in the company's operational and financial positioning [19] - The updated financial guidance for 2025 includes a forecast for da Vinci procedure growth of 15-17% [44] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to changes in Medicaid coverage and its potential impact on hospital capital budgets [22][62] Other Important Information - The company opened a new manufacturing facility in Bulgaria to support its growth strategy [34] - The average selling price for systems increased to $1,500,000, reflecting a higher mix of da Vinci V systems [28] - The company repurchased 350,000 shares at an average price of $518 per share during the quarter [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Margin sustainability and drivers - Management noted strong revenue growth and a favorable purchase mix contributed to the margin upside, but cautioned against characterizing it as the new normal [50][51] Question: Reprocessing and extending useful life of instruments - Management emphasized the importance of high-quality instruments and ongoing innovation to maintain competitive advantage [54][55] Question: Capital spending and Medicaid coverage impacts - Management acknowledged potential challenges from Medicaid coverage loss but highlighted opportunities to demonstrate the value of da Vinci systems [62] Question: System placements outside the US - Management indicated a measured rollout for da Vinci V in Europe and Japan, with expectations for increased trade-ins as customers upgrade [88][90] Question: Future opportunities in outpatient environments - Management expressed optimism about expanding robotic surgery into outpatient settings and ASCs, leveraging existing technology [94] Question: Future features and capabilities of da Vinci V - Management confirmed ongoing enhancements to the da Vinci V platform, with expectations for improved outcomes and efficiency [96][99]