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Why Marvell Technology Sank Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-08 19:14
Core Viewpoint - An analyst's downgrade of Marvell Technology has raised concerns about the company's potential loss of a custom XPU contract with Amazon for its next-gen Trainium chips, leading to a decline in Marvell's stock price despite a recent positive earnings report [1][3]. Group 1: Earnings and Stock Performance - Marvell Technology's shares fell as much as 10.1% before recovering to a 7.5% decline following the analyst's comments [1]. - The company reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, which initially led to a rise in stock price [1]. - The current stock price is $91.96, with a market cap of $85 billion and a gross margin of 50.69% [2]. Group 2: Analyst Downgrade and Market Sentiment - Benchmark downgraded Marvell from a "Buy" to a "Hold" rating, citing concerns over the loss of the custom XPU business for Amazon's upcoming Trainium 3 and 4 chipsets [3]. - Analyst Cody Acree expressed a "high degree of conviction" regarding the loss of this business to a competitor, AIchip [3]. Group 3: Data Center Segment Performance - Marvell's Data Center segment grew by 38% in the recent quarter, with management projecting 25% growth for the next fiscal year and an acceleration to 40% growth the following year [6]. - Despite the downgrade, JP Morgan & Chase analyst Harlan Sur raised his price target for Marvell from $120 to $130 based on the positive growth outlook [6]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - The loss of future XPU chip modules could indicate broader concerns regarding Marvell's long-term growth and competitiveness [9]. - The uncertainty surrounding the Amazon contract has been a persistent issue for Marvell's stock, with little clarity from either party on contract negotiations [10].