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小摩:中国汽车股上半年业绩表现料将呈现分化格局 升零跑汽车(09863)目标价至90港元
智通财经网· 2025-07-15 08:07
Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reports that the performance of Chinese automotive stocks in the first half of the year is expected to show a divergent pattern, with the sector up 9% year-to-date, underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 18% [1] - Li Auto (02015) is expected to launch two new electric models, which will enhance sales and profitability starting from Q3, with a target price set at HKD 135 [2] - Great Wall Motors (02333) is projected to see a 90% quarter-on-quarter increase in profits due to sales growth and deferred tax refunds from Russia, although it is expected to decline 15% year-on-year [2] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley upgraded SAIC Motor (600104.SH) from "Underweight" to "Neutral" due to stable earnings and the introduction of 18 new models by Volkswagen through their joint venture by 2026-2027, with a target price raised to RMB 15 [3] - BYD (01211) has a target price of HKD 180 and is rated "Overweight" [3] - The industry is expected to evolve into three main camps: leading brands with cost, scale, and vertical integration advantages (e.g., BYD, Geely), new forces focusing on intelligence (e.g., Xiaomi Group-W, Huawei, Xiaopeng, Li Auto), and foreign car companies in China seeking to restructure or revitalize (e.g., Volkswagen, Toyota) [3]