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上美股份(02145):落入预告上半区,看好多品牌战略逐渐兑现
Soochow Securities· 2026-03-27 15:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 9.18 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35% [7] - The net profit for 2025 was 1.15 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 44%, falling within the upper range of the forecast [7] - The company's gross margin for 2025 was 76%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable profitability [7] - Online self-operated sales grew significantly, with total online revenue reaching 8.62 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.1% [7] - The main brand, Han Shu, generated revenue of 7.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.6%, maintaining its leading position in the beauty market [7] - The multi-brand strategy is showing strong performance, with the new brand Newpage achieving revenue of 880 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 134.2% [7] - The company has signed a cooperation agreement for a new whitening agent, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge in the market [7] - The profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been slightly adjusted to 1.38 billion yuan and 1.72 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2028 at 2.15 billion yuan [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025A, 2026E, 2027E, and 2028E are 6.79 billion, 9.18 billion, 11.47 billion, 14.32 billion, and 17.68 billion yuan, respectively [1] - Net profit projections for the same years are 781.21 million, 1.10 billion, 1.38 billion, 1.72 billion, and 2.15 billion yuan, respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2025 is projected at 2.77 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 19.05 [1]
上美股份(02145):净利润预计同比增长42-44%,多品牌与渠道优化驱动高增
Guoxin Securities· 2026-03-09 14:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1][5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 9.1 to 9.2 billion with a year-on-year growth of 34.0% to 35.4%, and a net profit of 1.14 to 1.16 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.9% to 44.4% for 2025 [2][3] - The successful implementation of a multi-brand and multi-category strategy has allowed the main brand, Han Shu, to solidify its skincare foundation while expanding into makeup and men's products. The new baby skincare brand, Newpage, has also seen significant revenue growth, creating a second growth curve with high certainty [2][8] - The company's growth certainty and profit resilience are significantly better than the industry average, supported by continuous optimization of channel structure and breakthroughs in R&D [2][8] Financial Forecasts - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 1.107 billion, 1.388 billion, and 1.702 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20, 16, and 13 [2][8] - For the second half of 2025, revenue is expected to be between 4.99 to 5.09 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 51.7% to 54.8%, and a net profit of 580 to 600 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49.5% to 54.6% [3][8] - The net profit margin for 2025 is estimated to be around 12.5% to 12.6%, an increase of approximately 0.7% to 0.8% compared to 2024 [3]
上美股份(02145):25H1业绩预告亮眼看好多品牌协同发展
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-08 10:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of RMB 40.9 billion to RMB 41.1 billion in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.8% to 17.3%. The net profit is projected to be between RMB 5.4 billion and RMB 5.6 billion, showing a significant increase of 30.9% to 35.8% year-on-year. Key growth drivers include the multi-category layout of the Han Shu brand and significant revenue growth from the new baby skincare brand Newpage [8] - The company plans to build a matrix of six major segments over the next decade, including mass skincare, personal care, maternal and infant products, medical aesthetics, color cosmetics, and high-end skincare. The main brand Han Shu has shown strong momentum, particularly on Douyin, and other brands are expected to replicate this success, contributing to performance growth [8] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of RMB 10.2 billion, RMB 12.8 billion, and RMB 15.5 billion from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.1%, 25.2%, and 20.9% respectively. The strong brand momentum of Han Shu and the successful establishment of a self-broadcasting system are expected to drive steady growth [8] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is forecasted to grow from RMB 6.79 billion in 2024 to RMB 11.70 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 62.1%, 27.8%, 16.8%, and 15.5% respectively [9] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from RMB 781 million in 2024 to RMB 1.55 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 69.4%, 31.1%, 25.2%, and 20.9% respectively [9] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 23.0%, 35.7%, 31.9%, 28.5%, and 25.7% from 2023 to 2027 [6][9]