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Better Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock for 2026: Palantir vs. BigBear.ai
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-11 18:33
Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies is positioned as a leader in the AI software market, showing significant growth potential compared to BigBear.ai, which is struggling with revenue decline and reliance on government contracts [4][12][18]. Palantir Technologies - Palantir's stock price increased by 146% in 2025, indicating strong investor interest [2]. - The company reported a 110% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share in Q3, reaching $0.21, a significant acceleration from the previous year's 43% growth [8]. - Palantir booked $2.76 billion in contracts in the last quarter, a 2.5 times increase from the previous year, contributing to a remaining deal value (RDV) growth of 91% to $8.6 billion [9]. - The company is expected to grow its revenue by 40% in 2026, driven by a strong revenue backlog and new customer acquisitions [18]. - Palantir's gross margin stands at 80.81%, reflecting its operational efficiency [6]. BigBear.ai - BigBear.ai's stock price increased by 50% in 2025, but the company faced a 20% year-over-year revenue drop in Q3, totaling $33.1 million [2][14]. - The company is heavily reliant on government contracts, which can be affected by budget and timing issues, leading to revenue visibility concerns [14][17]. - BigBear.ai's acquisition of Ask Sage for $250 million aims to enhance its offerings, with Ask Sage's annual recurring revenue projected to reach $25 million, a sixfold increase from last year [15][16]. - The company has a backlog of $376 million, but only $50 million is funded, raising concerns about future revenue recognition [17]. - BigBear.ai's revenue growth is expected to be 23% in 2026, while its bottom line is projected to remain negative [18]. Comparative Analysis - Palantir is viewed as the better investment option due to its strong growth trajectory and ability to justify its higher valuation with a sales multiple of 182, compared to BigBear.ai's 14 [19]. - Despite BigBear.ai's lower valuation, its declining revenue and reliance on government contracts make it a riskier investment compared to Palantir [19].
Varonis Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRNS) Sees Optimistic Price Target Amidst Revenue Challenges
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-29 20:24
Core Insights - Varonis Systems, Inc. specializes in data security and analytics, focusing on protecting enterprise data from insider threats and cyberattacks [1] - Truist Financial has set a price target of $50 for Varonis, indicating a potential upside of approximately 51.28% from its current price of $33.05 [2][6] Financial Performance - Varonis reported third-quarter earnings of $0.06 per share, an improvement from $0.01 per share in the previous year, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3] - Total revenues for Varonis increased by 9.1% year over year to $161.58 million, although this was 2.71% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3][6] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $3.87 billion and a trading volume of 18,010,273 shares on NASDAQ [5] Revenue Growth - A notable highlight for Varonis is the 117.7% year-over-year increase in SaaS revenues, which has helped mitigate declines in other segments [4][6] - The strong performance in SaaS offerings and the Managed Data Detection & Response platform has been a key driver of the company's overall performance [4] Consistency in Performance - Despite missing revenue estimates this quarter, Varonis has consistently surpassed Zacks Consensus Estimates in the past four quarters, achieving an average surprise of 92.86% [5][6]